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415 E Hubbard St
A Composite 86.57
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.4/10.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$79,000

415 E Hubbard St · Hamler, OH 43524
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,792 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 190 Days on market
Built 1978 8,712 sqft lot $44/sqft · 44% below area Est $142k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bring your vision to this spacious 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath home situated on a large lot in the heart of Hamler. Offering a large eat-in kitchen, multiple living spaces and first floor primary bedroom. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bath. The fenced backyard offers excellent outdoor potential, while the attached 2-car garage and extended driveway provide convenient parking and workspace options. Located on a quiet street near local amenities, parks, and schools, this home presents an excellent opportunity to customize and make it your own. Schedule your private tour today! This property has been placed in an online auction event. Being sold AS-IS, WHERE-IS. Subject to a 5% buyer's premiumpursuant to the Auction Participation Agreement and Terms & Conditions. Minimums will apply. Auction Dates 5/7/26 -5/12/26

Key facts

  • Quiet street
  • Large lot
  • Eat-in kitchen

Tags

LARGE LOTEAT-IN KITCHENFENCED BACKYARDQUIET STREETMULTIPLE LIVING SPACESFIRST FLOOR PRIMARY BEDROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $379 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#763 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Patrick Henry Local (rural): math 69% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #148 of 656 in OH (top 23%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
  • Henry County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $41k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $63k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,520 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
12.05%
Cash-on-cash
20.58%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$141,859
List price
$79,000
Delta
-44.31%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
210 E Hubbard St 0.14mi 4/2.5 1,612 (-10%) 7mo $225,000 $140 71
150 N 1st St 0.53mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,708 (-5%) 0mo $130,000 $76 60
435 S First St 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,756 (-2%) 23mo $179,900 $102 59
340 S 1st St 0.30mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,536 (-14%) 22mo $134,500 $88 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.77% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.3%
Equity multiple
2.87×
Total profit
$41,383
Equity at exit
$43,686
10-year hold
IRR
29.2%
Equity multiple
5.74×
Total profit
$104,791
Equity at exit
$74,517

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43524

Home prices YoY
2.7%
Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,205 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax from tax record
$125 /mo · $1,501/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$379

Break-even live

Break-even rent $724
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,000 Active 190 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,000 Active 189 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,000 Active 188 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,000 Active 187 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 185 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    pricedays on market $79,000 Active 184 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $85,681 Active 181 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,681 Active 180 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $85,681 Active 179 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $85,681 Active 178 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $85,681 Active 175 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $85,681 Active 174 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $85,681 Active 173 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $85,681 Active 172 DOM
  15. 2026-05-07
    price $85,681 847-char remark
    Show marketing remark (847 chars)

    Bring your vision to this spacious 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath home situated on a large lot in the heart of Hamler. Offering a large eat-in kitchen, multiple living spaces and first floor primary bedroom. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bath. The fenced backyard offers excellent outdoor potential, while the attached 2-car garage and extended driveway provide convenient parking and workspace options. Located on a quiet street near local amenities, parks, and schools, this home presents an excellent opportunity to customize and make it your own. Schedule your private tour today! This property has been placed in an online auction event. Being sold AS-IS, WHERE-IS. Subject to a 5% buyer's premiumpursuant to the Auction Participation Agreement and Terms & Conditions. Minimums will apply. Auction Dates 5/7/26 -5/12/26

  16. 2026-04-06
    price $93,131 847-char remark
    Show marketing remark (847 chars)

    Bring your vision to this spacious 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath home situated on a large lot in the heart of Hamler. Offering a large eat-in kitchen, multiple living spaces and first floor primary bedroom. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bath. The fenced backyard offers excellent outdoor potential, while the attached 2-car garage and extended driveway provide convenient parking and workspace options. Located on a quiet street near local amenities, parks, and schools, this home presents an excellent opportunity to customize and make it your own. Schedule your private tour today! This property has been placed in an online auction event. Being sold AS-IS, WHERE-IS. Subject to a 5% buyer's premiumpursuant to the Auction Participation Agreement and Terms & Conditions. Minimums will apply. Auction Dates 5/7/26 -5/12/26

  17. 2026-03-04
    price $101,229 847-char remark
    Show marketing remark (847 chars)

    Bring your vision to this spacious 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath home situated on a large lot in the heart of Hamler. Offering a large eat-in kitchen, multiple living spaces and first floor primary bedroom. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bath. The fenced backyard offers excellent outdoor potential, while the attached 2-car garage and extended driveway provide convenient parking and workspace options. Located on a quiet street near local amenities, parks, and schools, this home presents an excellent opportunity to customize and make it your own. Schedule your private tour today! This property has been placed in an online auction event. Being sold AS-IS, WHERE-IS. Subject to a 5% buyer's premiumpursuant to the Auction Participation Agreement and Terms & Conditions. Minimums will apply. Auction Dates 5/7/26 -5/12/26

  18. 2026-02-03
    price $110,032 847-char remark
    Show marketing remark (847 chars)

    Bring your vision to this spacious 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath home situated on a large lot in the heart of Hamler. Offering a large eat-in kitchen, multiple living spaces and first floor primary bedroom. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bath. The fenced backyard offers excellent outdoor potential, while the attached 2-car garage and extended driveway provide convenient parking and workspace options. Located on a quiet street near local amenities, parks, and schools, this home presents an excellent opportunity to customize and make it your own. Schedule your private tour today! This property has been placed in an online auction event. Being sold AS-IS, WHERE-IS. Subject to a 5% buyer's premiumpursuant to the Auction Participation Agreement and Terms & Conditions. Minimums will apply. Auction Dates 5/7/26 -5/12/26

  19. 2025-12-10
    listed $119,600 Active 847-char remark
    Show marketing remark (847 chars)

    Bring your vision to this spacious 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath home situated on a large lot in the heart of Hamler. Offering a large eat-in kitchen, multiple living spaces and first floor primary bedroom. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bath. The fenced backyard offers excellent outdoor potential, while the attached 2-car garage and extended driveway provide convenient parking and workspace options. Located on a quiet street near local amenities, parks, and schools, this home presents an excellent opportunity to customize and make it your own. Schedule your private tour today! This property has been placed in an online auction event. Being sold AS-IS, WHERE-IS. Subject to a 5% buyer's premiumpursuant to the Auction Participation Agreement and Terms & Conditions. Minimums will apply. Auction Dates 5/7/26 -5/12/26

  20. 2025-10-09
    price $63,340 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    All offers must have pre-approval letter. Subject to sellers purchase addendum. This property is approved for "ExpressPath Finacing", call the listing agent for more information

  21. 2006-11-16
    soldstatus $63,340
  22. 2006-11-14
    soldstatus $63,340 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    All offers must have pre-approval letter. Subject to sellers purchase addendum. This property is approved for "ExpressPath Finacing", call the listing agent for more information

  23. 2006-10-05
    price $69,900 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    All offers must have pre-approval letter. Subject to sellers purchase addendum. This property is approved for "ExpressPath Finacing", call the listing agent for more information

  24. 2006-07-06
    listed $69,900 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    All offers must have pre-approval letter. Subject to sellers purchase addendum. This property is approved for "ExpressPath Finacing", call the listing agent for more information

  25. 2006-06-23
    historical
  26. 2006-04-11
    listed $79,900
  27. 1996-04-02
    soldstatus $44,300
  28. 1992-10-30
    soldstatus $44,300
  29. 1991-10-31
    soldstatus $43,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,501 · $125/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,501 · $125/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 57% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,455
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$1,501
− Insurance
−$395
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,156
− Management
−$1,156
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$3,522
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$845
After-tax cash flow
$3,706/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Patrick Henry Local
NCES district ID
3904759
Math proficiency
69% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$50,401
Composite
59.81/100
National rank
#897
State rank
#148 of 656 in OH

Livability — Hamler

Score
64/100
State rank
#763
US rank
#13768

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hamler, OH
County
Henry · 27,211 people
City population
1,012
Population (ZIP)
1,012
Household income
$62,188
Rent vs Own
13.8% rent · 86.2% own

Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
27,204 people
By 2030
26,657 · -2.0%
By 2040
25,149 · -7.6%
By 2050
23,361 · -14.1%
By 2075
20,409 · -25.0%
By 2100
18,199 · -33.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% English 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
0% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Henry

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.7) · D 26.2% · R 72.9%
2008→2024 swing
-33.8pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -46.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.7 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+39.8 2012: R+18.6 2008: R+12.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.77%
Current HPI
183.7761
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+97.0% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $85,681 NORIS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $93,131 NORIS
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $101,229 NORIS
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $110,032 NORIS
  • 2025-12-10 Listed $119,600 NORIS
  • 2025-10-09 Price Changed $63,340 NORIS
  • 2006-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $63,340 Public Records
  • 2006-11-14 Sold (MLS) $63,340 NORIS
  • 2006-10-05 Price Changed $69,900 NORIS
  • 2006-07-06 Listed $69,900 NORIS
  • 2006-06-23 Listing Removed NORIS
  • 2006-04-11 Listed $79,900 NORIS
  • 1996-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $44,300 Public Records
  • 1992-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $44,300 Public Records
  • 1991-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,501 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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