415 E Hubbard St · Hamler, OH
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.57%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.4/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bring your vision to this spacious 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath home situated on a large lot in the heart of Hamler. Offering a large eat-in kitchen, multiple living spaces and first floor primary bedroom. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bath. The fenced backyard offers excellent outdoor potential, while the attached 2-car garage and extended driveway provide convenient parking and workspace options. Located on a quiet street near local amenities, parks, and schools, this home presents an excellent opportunity to customize and make it your own. Schedule your private tour today! This property has been placed in an online auction event. Being sold AS-IS, WHERE-IS. Subject to a 5% buyer's premiumpursuant to the Auction Participation Agreement and Terms & Conditions. Minimums will apply. Auction Dates 5/7/26 -5/12/26
Key facts
- Quiet street
- Large lot
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $379 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#763 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Patrick Henry Local (rural): math 69% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #148 of 656 in OH (top 23%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.8% local appreciation)).
- Henry County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 190 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $41k (34%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $63k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 190 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.58%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $141,859
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- -44.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 E Hubbard St | 0.14mi | 4/2.5 | 1,612 (-10%) | 7mo | $225,000 | $140 | 71 |
| 150 N 1st St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,708 (-5%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $76 | 60 |
| 435 S First St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,756 (-2%) | 23mo | $179,900 | $102 | 59 |
| 340 S 1st St | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,536 (-14%) | 22mo | $134,500 | $88 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.77% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.87×
- Total profit
- $41,383
- Equity at exit
- $43,686
- IRR
- 29.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.74×
- Total profit
- $104,791
- Equity at exit
- $74,517
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43524
- Home prices YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,205 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,501/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $379
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 190 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 189 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 188 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 187 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 185 DOM
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2026-06-12pricedays on market $79,000 Active 184 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $85,681 Active 181 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $85,681 Active 180 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $85,681 Active 179 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $85,681 Active 178 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $85,681 Active 175 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $85,681 Active 174 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $85,681 Active 173 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $85,681 Active 172 DOM
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2026-05-07price $85,681 847-char remark
Show marketing remark (847 chars)
Bring your vision to this spacious 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath home situated on a large lot in the heart of Hamler. Offering a large eat-in kitchen, multiple living spaces and first floor primary bedroom. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bath. The fenced backyard offers excellent outdoor potential, while the attached 2-car garage and extended driveway provide convenient parking and workspace options. Located on a quiet street near local amenities, parks, and schools, this home presents an excellent opportunity to customize and make it your own. Schedule your private tour today! This property has been placed in an online auction event. Being sold AS-IS, WHERE-IS. Subject to a 5% buyer's premiumpursuant to the Auction Participation Agreement and Terms & Conditions. Minimums will apply. Auction Dates 5/7/26 -5/12/26
-
2026-04-06price $93,131 847-char remark
Show marketing remark (847 chars)
Bring your vision to this spacious 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath home situated on a large lot in the heart of Hamler. Offering a large eat-in kitchen, multiple living spaces and first floor primary bedroom. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bath. The fenced backyard offers excellent outdoor potential, while the attached 2-car garage and extended driveway provide convenient parking and workspace options. Located on a quiet street near local amenities, parks, and schools, this home presents an excellent opportunity to customize and make it your own. Schedule your private tour today! This property has been placed in an online auction event. Being sold AS-IS, WHERE-IS. Subject to a 5% buyer's premiumpursuant to the Auction Participation Agreement and Terms & Conditions. Minimums will apply. Auction Dates 5/7/26 -5/12/26
-
2026-03-04price $101,229 847-char remark
Show marketing remark (847 chars)
Bring your vision to this spacious 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath home situated on a large lot in the heart of Hamler. Offering a large eat-in kitchen, multiple living spaces and first floor primary bedroom. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bath. The fenced backyard offers excellent outdoor potential, while the attached 2-car garage and extended driveway provide convenient parking and workspace options. Located on a quiet street near local amenities, parks, and schools, this home presents an excellent opportunity to customize and make it your own. Schedule your private tour today! This property has been placed in an online auction event. Being sold AS-IS, WHERE-IS. Subject to a 5% buyer's premiumpursuant to the Auction Participation Agreement and Terms & Conditions. Minimums will apply. Auction Dates 5/7/26 -5/12/26
-
2026-02-03price $110,032 847-char remark
Show marketing remark (847 chars)
Bring your vision to this spacious 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath home situated on a large lot in the heart of Hamler. Offering a large eat-in kitchen, multiple living spaces and first floor primary bedroom. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bath. The fenced backyard offers excellent outdoor potential, while the attached 2-car garage and extended driveway provide convenient parking and workspace options. Located on a quiet street near local amenities, parks, and schools, this home presents an excellent opportunity to customize and make it your own. Schedule your private tour today! This property has been placed in an online auction event. Being sold AS-IS, WHERE-IS. Subject to a 5% buyer's premiumpursuant to the Auction Participation Agreement and Terms & Conditions. Minimums will apply. Auction Dates 5/7/26 -5/12/26
-
2025-12-10$119,600 Active 847-char remark
Show marketing remark (847 chars)
Bring your vision to this spacious 4 bedroom, 2.5 bath home situated on a large lot in the heart of Hamler. Offering a large eat-in kitchen, multiple living spaces and first floor primary bedroom. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms and a full bath. The fenced backyard offers excellent outdoor potential, while the attached 2-car garage and extended driveway provide convenient parking and workspace options. Located on a quiet street near local amenities, parks, and schools, this home presents an excellent opportunity to customize and make it your own. Schedule your private tour today! This property has been placed in an online auction event. Being sold AS-IS, WHERE-IS. Subject to a 5% buyer's premiumpursuant to the Auction Participation Agreement and Terms & Conditions. Minimums will apply. Auction Dates 5/7/26 -5/12/26
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2025-10-09price $63,340 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
All offers must have pre-approval letter. Subject to sellers purchase addendum. This property is approved for "ExpressPath Finacing", call the listing agent for more information
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2006-11-16soldstatus $63,340
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2006-11-14soldstatus $63,340 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
All offers must have pre-approval letter. Subject to sellers purchase addendum. This property is approved for "ExpressPath Finacing", call the listing agent for more information
-
2006-10-05price $69,900 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
All offers must have pre-approval letter. Subject to sellers purchase addendum. This property is approved for "ExpressPath Finacing", call the listing agent for more information
-
2006-07-06$69,900 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
All offers must have pre-approval letter. Subject to sellers purchase addendum. This property is approved for "ExpressPath Finacing", call the listing agent for more information
-
2006-06-23historical
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2006-04-11$79,900
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1996-04-02soldstatus $44,300
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1992-10-30soldstatus $44,300
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1991-10-31soldstatus $43,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,501 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,501 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 57% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,455
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,501
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,156
- − Management
- −$1,156
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $3,522
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$845
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,706/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Patrick Henry Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904759
- Math proficiency
- 69% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,401
- Composite
- 59.81/100
- National rank
- #897
- State rank
- #148 of 656 in OH
Livability — Hamler
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #763
- US rank
- #13768
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hamler, OH
- County
- Henry · 27,211 people
- City population
- 1,012
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,012
- Household income
- $62,188
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 27,204 people
- By 2030
- 26,657 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 25,149 · -7.6%
- By 2050
- 23,361 · -14.1%
- By 2075
- 20,409 · -25.0%
- By 2100
- 18,199 · -33.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% English 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.7) · D 26.2% · R 72.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.8pp toward R · 2008: -12.9pp · 2024: -46.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.7 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+39.8 2012: R+18.6 2008: R+12.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.77%
- Current HPI
- 183.7761
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+97.0% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $85,681 NORIS
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $93,131 NORIS
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $101,229 NORIS
- 2026-02-03 Price Changed $110,032 NORIS
- 2025-12-10 Listed $119,600 NORIS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $63,340 NORIS
- 2006-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $63,340 Public Records
- 2006-11-14 Sold (MLS) $63,340 NORIS
- 2006-10-05 Price Changed $69,900 NORIS
- 2006-07-06 Listed $69,900 NORIS
- 2006-06-23 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2006-04-11 Listed $79,900 NORIS
- 1996-04-02 Sold (Public Records) $44,300 Public Records
- 1992-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $44,300 Public Records
- 1991-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,501 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…