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1862 N 2753rd Rd 🏷️ Likely Rental
B- Composite 66.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.6/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

1862 N 2753rd Rd · Ottawa, IL 61350
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,072 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 132 Days on market
Built 1969 0.57 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Rutland School District. There are 2 homes are on one lot. There is an additional 200'x41.58' south adjacent lot. The 2 lots together make a total land area of . 55 Acres. There is a 790 square foot 2 bedroom home above a 3 car garage. Currently rented for $450 per month. The tenant has been there for over 30 years. The fair market rent should be closer to $600 per month. The ranch home is incomplete. Rooms and sizes are listed above. It has a 1 car attached garage. Note: The taxes reflect PIN 154322700 and half of 1907413000.

Key facts

  • Total land area
  • Fair market rent
  • Additional lot

Tags

RUTLAND SCHOOL DISTRICTADDITIONAL LOTTOTAL LAND AREARENTED FOR $450TENANT FOR OVER 30 YEARSFAIR MARKET RENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area measured/taped
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 3 garage spaces; Total of 9 parking spaces
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Frame construction
  • Exterior features: Half-acre lot (approx. 0.50–0.99 acre); Lot dimensions: 200 x 81 x 178 x 124; School bus service

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 10 x 22)
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level (approximately 10 x 13); Bedroom — main level (approximately 10 x 12); Bedroom — main level (approximately 9 x 10)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $140,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$561,512) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $504 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.1% in Ottawa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#172 in IL, #3,175 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, amenities D, commute F.
  • Ottawa Twp Hsd 140 (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #545 of 919 in IL (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Ottawa Township High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #319 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 1,261 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 208 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 82 units permitted in LaSalle County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • LaSalle County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $140k implies a 833% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $123,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.62%
Cash-on-cash
15.44%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$561,512
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9 Windward Way 0.72mi 3/3.0 2,160 (+4%) 8mo $585,000 $271 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.2%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$9,431
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
15.6%
Equity multiple
2.26×
Total profit
$49,533
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61350

Home prices YoY
-31.5%
Active inventory
208
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,782 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$111 /mo · $1,331/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$374
Net cashflow
$504

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,144
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $584 -5% $544 +0% $504 +5% $465 +10% $425
Rent -10% $364 -5% $434 +0% $504 +5% $575 +10% $645
Rate -1.0pp $575 -0.5pp $540 base $504 +0.5pp $468 +1.0pp $431

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $140,000 Active 132 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $140,000 Active 130 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 129 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 128 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 127 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on marketlisting id $140,000 Active 126 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 132 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $140,000 Active 130 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $140,000 Active 129 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 126 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 125 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 124 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $140,000 Active 121 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $140,000 Active 119 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 118 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 117 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $140,000 Active 116 DOM
  18. 2026-02-09
    listed $140,000 Active 533-char remark
    Show marketing remark (533 chars)

    Rutland School District. There are 2 homes are on one lot. There is an additional 200'x41.58' south adjacent lot. The 2 lots together make a total land area of . 55 Acres. There is a 790 square foot 2 bedroom home above a 3 car garage. Currently rented for $450 per month. The tenant has been there for over 30 years. The fair market rent should be closer to $600 per month. The ranch home is incomplete. Rooms and sizes are listed above. It has a 1 car attached garage. Note: The taxes reflect PIN 154322700 and half of 1907413000.

  19. 2026-02-03
    listed $140,000 Active
  20. 2008-06-24
    historical
  21. 2007-11-14
    listed
  22. 2004-02-03
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,331 · $111/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,254 · $188/mo
Expected delta
+$924/yr (+$77/mo · 69.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,385
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$1,331
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,711
− Management
−$1,711
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$4,018
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$964
After-tax cash flow
$5,089/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ottawa Twp Hsd 140
NCES district ID
1730330
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$47,828
Composite
26.85/100
National rank
#12528
State rank
#545 of 919 in IL

Livability — Ottawa

Score
77/100
State rank
#172
US rank
#3175

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ottawa, IL
County
La Salle County · 41,676 people
City population
23,713
Metro
Ottawa, IL
Population (ZIP)
23,713
Household income
$77,921
Rent vs Own
25.9% rent · 74.1% own
Severe rent burden
628.0

Population outlook (LaSalle County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
107,080 people
By 2030
104,196 · -2.7%
By 2040
97,413 · -9.0%
By 2050
90,294 · -15.7%
By 2075
76,252 · -28.8%
By 2100
61,339 · -42.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · LaSalle

2024 margin
R (+18.5) · D 40.1% · R 58.6% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-29.6pp toward R · 2008: 11.1pp · 2024: -18.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.5 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+14.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+11.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.46%
Current HPI
183.6833
Rent YoY
Metro
Ottawa, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+833.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $140,000 NWIAR
  • 2026-02-03 Listed $140,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-06-24 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-11-14 Listed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-9.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,331 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…