🏷️ Likely Rental
1862 N 2753rd Rd · Ottawa, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Rutland School District. There are 2 homes are on one lot. There is an additional 200'x41.58' south adjacent lot. The 2 lots together make a total land area of . 55 Acres. There is a 790 square foot 2 bedroom home above a 3 car garage. Currently rented for $450 per month. The tenant has been there for over 30 years. The fair market rent should be closer to $600 per month. The ranch home is incomplete. Rooms and sizes are listed above. It has a 1 car attached garage. Note: The taxes reflect PIN 154322700 and half of 1907413000.
Key facts
- Total land area
- Fair market rent
- Additional lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area measured/taped
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 3 garage spaces; Total of 9 parking spaces
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Half-acre lot (approx. 0.50–0.99 acre); Lot dimensions: 200 x 81 x 178 x 124; School bus service
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 10 x 22)
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level (approximately 10 x 13); Bedroom — main level (approximately 10 x 12); Bedroom — main level (approximately 9 x 10)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $504 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.1% in Ottawa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#172 in IL, #3,175 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, amenities D, commute F.
- Ottawa Twp Hsd 140 (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #545 of 919 in IL (top 59%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Ottawa Township High School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #319 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 1,261 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 208 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 82 units permitted in LaSalle County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- LaSalle County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $15k; list at $140k implies a 833% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.44%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $561,512
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Windward Way | 0.72mi | 3/3.0 | 2,160 (+4%) | 8mo | $585,000 | $271 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $9,431
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.26×
- Total profit
- $49,533
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61350
- Home prices YoY
- -31.5%
- Active inventory
- 208
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,782 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,331/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$374
- Net cashflow
- $504
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $584 | -5% $544 | +0% $504 | +5% $465 | +10% $425 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $364 | -5% $434 | +0% $504 | +5% $575 | +10% $645 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $575 | -0.5pp $540 | base $504 | +0.5pp $468 | +1.0pp $431 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $140,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $140,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $140,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $140,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $140,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $140,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-02-09$140,000 Active 533-char remark
Show marketing remark (533 chars)
Rutland School District. There are 2 homes are on one lot. There is an additional 200'x41.58' south adjacent lot. The 2 lots together make a total land area of . 55 Acres. There is a 790 square foot 2 bedroom home above a 3 car garage. Currently rented for $450 per month. The tenant has been there for over 30 years. The fair market rent should be closer to $600 per month. The ranch home is incomplete. Rooms and sizes are listed above. It has a 1 car attached garage. Note: The taxes reflect PIN 154322700 and half of 1907413000.
-
2026-02-03$140,000 Active
-
2008-06-24historical
-
2007-11-14
-
2004-02-03soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,331 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,254 · $188/mo
- Expected delta
- +$924/yr (+$77/mo · 69.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,385
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,331
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,711
- − Management
- −$1,711
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $4,018
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$964
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,089/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ottawa Twp Hsd 140
- NCES district ID
- 1730330
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,828
- Composite
- 26.85/100
- National rank
- #12528
- State rank
- #545 of 919 in IL
Livability — Ottawa
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #172
- US rank
- #3175
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ottawa, IL
- County
- La Salle County · 41,676 people
- City population
- 23,713
- Metro
- Ottawa, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,713
- Household income
- $77,921
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 628.0
Population outlook (LaSalle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 107,080 people
- By 2030
- 104,196 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 97,413 · -9.0%
- By 2050
- 90,294 · -15.7%
- By 2075
- 76,252 · -28.8%
- By 2100
- 61,339 · -42.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · LaSalle
- 2024 margin
- R (+18.5) · D 40.1% · R 58.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.6pp toward R · 2008: 11.1pp · 2024: -18.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+18.5 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+14.4 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+11.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -84.46%
- Current HPI
- 183.6833
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ottawa, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+833.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-09 Listed $140,000 NWIAR
- 2026-02-03 Listed $140,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-06-24 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-11-14 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-9.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,331 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…