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220 S Elk #37 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 75.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

220 S Elk #37 · Hemet, CA 92543
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,080 sqft · Manufactured public records · 7 Days on market
Built 2005 Est $99k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Unlock the potential in this 3-bedroom, 2-bath manufactured home located in Hemet's Mirage Estates community! Offering a functional layout and plenty of opportunity to make it your own, this property is ideal for buyers seeking an affordable place to call home, those looking for a renovation project, or investors searching for their next opportunity. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, and everyday essentials. Property is being sold in present condition. Space rent approximately $810/month; buyer to verify with park management. Park approval required for owner occupancy.

Key facts

  • 2 garage spots
  • Community pool
  • Built 2005

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lease considered
  • Financial info: Land lease amount applies
  • HOA & community: Association amenities include pool, outdoor cooking area and picnic area; Land lease applies

Exterior

  • Parking: Two covered carport spaces (attached); Two garage spaces (total parking for four vehicles)
  • Security: Gated community; Resident manager
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available
  • Home design: Manufactured house; Attached property with one common wall; Single-story; Front entry
  • Construction: Year built per assessor; Built on typical manufactured-home foundation
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Community offers outdoor cooking area and picnic area; Curbs, street lighting and sidewalks in the neighborhood; Suburban setting; 0–1 unit/acre lot character

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven
  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms with bathtub
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling
  • Interior features: One-level home with front entry; Located in a gated community with a resident manager; All bedrooms on the main level; Fixer condition
  • Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry area; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $69,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$99,360) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 23.5% vs local median 4.8% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 270 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask is 43% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $43k; list at $70k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.61%
Cap rate
23.53%
Cash-on-cash
61.58%
DSCR
3.74
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$99,360
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1445 W Florida Ave #85 0.20mi 2/2.0 1,040 (-4%) 2mo $96,000 $92 84
1895 W Devonshire Ave #27 0.56mi 2/2.0 1,040 (-4%) 3mo $45,000 $43 65
360 Santa Clara Cir 0.61mi 2/2.0 1,120 (+4%) 3mo $224,000 $200 63
190 Santa Lucia 0.69mi 2/2.0 1,040 (-4%) 4mo $179,000 $172 59
220 San Carlos Dr 0.64mi 2/1.0 1,020 (-6%) 2mo $127,000 $125 55
1380 Cabrillo 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+7%) 2mo $260,000 $226 54
431 San Mateo Cir 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,040 (-4%) 3mo $118,000 $113 53
770 S Lyon 0.73mi 2/2.0 1,152 (+7%) 3mo $78,900 $68 52
430 N Palm #102 0.60mi 2/1.5 1,200 (+11%) 2mo $45,000 $38 50
575 S Lyon #110 0.57mi 2/2.0 940 (-13%) 2mo $52,500 $56 50
675 W Oakland Ave Unit G15 0.73mi 2/2.0 960 (-11%) 0mo $70,000 $73 47
460 San Mateo Cir 0.71mi 2/1.0 940 (-13%) 3mo $85,000 $90 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
59.1%
Equity multiple
3.57×
Total profit
$50,387
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
63.4%
Equity multiple
6.99×
Total profit
$117,231
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92543

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
270
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,827 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $522/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$384
Net cashflow
$1,004

Break-even live

Break-even rent $556
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,044 -5% $1,024 +0% $1,004 +5% $985 +10% $965
Rent -10% $860 -5% $932 +0% $1,004 +5% $1,076 +10% $1,149
Rate -1.0pp $1,040 -0.5pp $1,022 base $1,004 +0.5pp $986 +1.0pp $968

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1315 W Latham Ave Hemet, CA 3.0 2.5 1340 $2,550 $1.90 45d 1 0.26mi
165 N Hamilton Ave Unit 4 Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 768 $1,525 $1.99 23d 1 0.28mi
165 N Hamilton Ave Unit 3 Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 768 $1,450 $1.89 6d 1 0.28mi
250 N Elk St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,625 $1.81 15d 1 0.36mi
1850 Amberwood Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1170 $1,561 $1.33 45d 1 0.36mi
1461 W Mayberry Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1044 $1,750 $1.68 45d 1 0.38mi
471 S Simpson Ave Unit D Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $1,750 $1.94 45d 1 0.39mi
471 Whitney Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1085 $1,800 $1.66 6d 1 0.40mi
363 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,900 $1.58 5d 1 0.48mi
363 S Gilbert St Unit B Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,900 $1.58 15d 1 0.48mi
611 S Palm Ave Unit K Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1254 $1,895 $1.51 9d 1 0.49mi
2098 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 895 $2,035 $2.27 0d 1 0.54mi
1270 Rosalia Ave Unit 1 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,800 $2.00 45d 1 0.56mi
1521 W Westmont Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1197 $2,000 $1.67 45d 1 0.58mi
876 W Whittier Ave Unit 878 Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1127 $2,150 $1.91 25d 1 0.61mi
446 N Elk St Unit D Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 980 $1,675 $1.71 25d 1 0.63mi
1887 Calle Amargosa Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,545 $1.87 25d 1 0.68mi
101 San Mateo Cir Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1152 $1,790 $1.55 0d 1 0.70mi
341 Calle Nogales Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,395 $1.69 45d 1 0.71mi
120 Santa Lucia Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1197 $1,600 $1.34 45d 1 0.73mi
2403 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 910 $1,995 $2.19 9d 1 0.74mi
2469 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 910 $1,750 $1.92 25d 1 0.76mi
1862 Pueblo Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 977 $1,900 $1.94 45d 1 0.76mi
1862 Pueblo Dr Unit 1862 Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 977 $1,750 $1.79 25d 1 0.76mi
735 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1202 $2,400 $2.00 45d 1 0.77mi
2054 Avenida Olivos Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 820 $1,500 $1.83 45d 1 0.79mi
750 Santa Clara Cir Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 800 $1,400 $1.75 16d 1 0.82mi
663 Mariposa Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1440 $1,500 $1.04 25d 1 0.82mi
1964 W Oakland Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 977 $1,695 $1.73 19d 1 0.82mi
893 S Palm Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 720 $1,375 $1.91 6d 1 0.83mi
2120 San Bernardo Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $2,100 $2.54 45d 1 0.84mi
716 Robert Dr Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1450 $2,300 $1.59 6d 1 0.85mi
601 Corona St Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 882 $1,700 $1.93 0d 1 0.85mi
627 Solano Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 882 $1,800 $2.04 19d 1 0.86mi
2269 San Bernardo Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,650 $2.00 45d 1 0.90mi
683 Jonquil St Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1150 $2,448 $2.13 25d 1 0.94mi
528 San Marino St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,900 $2.30 45d 1 0.96mi
1931 Nuevo St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 820 $1,600 $1.95 45d 1 0.96mi
1933 Nuevo St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,700 $2.06 25d 1 0.97mi
1005 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.5 975 $1,825 $1.87 25d 2 1.01mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    status $69,900 Pending Sale 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $69,900 Active 2 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Coming Soon 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Coming Soon 6 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on marketlisting id $69,900 Coming Soon 2 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Coming Soon 7 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Coming Soon 6 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Coming Soon 5 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Coming Soon 4 DOM
  15. 2026-05-28
    historical $69,900
  16. 2018-11-30
    historical
  17. 2018-09-10
    listed $49,000 Active
  18. 2018-09-05
    historical
  19. 2018-07-10
    price $49,000
  20. 2018-05-17
    listed $54,000 Active
  21. 2009-12-03
    historical
  22. 2009-05-31
    price $52,500
  23. 2009-03-19
    listed $60,000
  24. 2008-01-06
    soldstatus $43,400
  25. 2007-11-20
    historical
  26. 2007-11-01
    historical
  27. 2007-10-24
    price $43,400
  28. 2007-10-13
    price $47,400
  29. 2007-10-02
    listed $49,900
  30. 2007-09-07
    listed $43,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$522 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$531 · $44/mo
Expected delta
+$9/yr (+$1/mo · 1.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,927
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$522
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,754
− Management
−$1,754
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$11,598
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,783
After-tax cash flow
$9,268/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hemet Unified
NCES district ID
0616920
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$39,962
Composite
25.16/100
National rank
#7517
State rank
#360 of 517 in CA

Livability — Hemet

Score
51/100
State rank
#1056
US rank
#25208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemet, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
137,670
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
39,937
Household income
$49,396
Rent vs Own
42.8% rent · 57.2% own
Severe rent burden
2144.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 54% White 30% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 48% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 38% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -147.46%
Current HPI
405.1277
Rent YoY
▲ 1.76%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+61.1% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Coming Soon $69,900 CRMLS
  • 2018-11-30 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2018-09-10 Listed $49,000 CRMLS
  • 2018-09-05 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2018-07-10 Price Changed $49,000 CRMLS
  • 2018-05-17 Listed $54,000 CRMLS
  • 2009-12-03 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2009-05-31 Price Changed $52,500 CRMLS
  • 2009-03-19 Listed $60,000 CRMLS
  • 2008-01-06 Sold (MLS) $43,400 CRMLS
  • 2007-11-20 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2007-11-01 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2007-10-24 Price Changed $43,400 CRMLS
  • 2007-10-13 Price Changed $47,400 CRMLS
  • 2007-10-02 Listed $49,900 CRMLS
  • 2007-09-07 Listed $43,400 CRMLS

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $522 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…