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5586 Pinson St
D Composite 40.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • DSCR +3.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$189,000

5586 Pinson St · Fort Worth, TX 76119
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1959 7,318 sqft lot Est $204k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

4 bedroom 1 bath single family home located at 5586 Pinson St in Ft Worth 76119.

Key facts

  • 7,318 sq ft lot
  • Built 1959
  • Listed 11 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing is active with an exclusive right to sell agreement; Possession at closing/funding
  • Financial info: Listing accepts Cash, Conventional, FHA, and VA financing
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: City water; City sewer; No municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1959
  • Exterior features: Lot less than 0.5 acre (approximately 0.168 acres); Subdivision: Parkside Add; Directions available

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; One living area; One dining area; 5 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $189k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-42 ($-508/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $182k (4.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (11.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $166k (11.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Fort Worth ISD (urban): math 18% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #742 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: W M Green El (math 10% / reading 23%, grade F, #3,946 of 4,322 statewide, top 92%, 564 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 73% district-wide (23 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.6%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $166,430 (11.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.02%
Cash-on-cash
-0.96%
DSCR
0.96
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$203,904
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5608 Burton Ave 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,156 (+0%) 2mo $205,000 $177 90
5616 Burton Ave 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,161 (+1%) 8mo $234,900 $202 83
5716 Burton Ave 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,159 (+1%) 5mo $226,000 $195 82
3501 Richardson Ct W 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,204 (+4%) 5mo $189,000 $157 78
5536 Alter Dr 0.20mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,037 (-10%) 7mo $220,000 $212 59
5234 Velma Dr 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,209 (+5%) 9mo $92,500 $77 59
3716 Clotell Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,218 (+6%) 1mo $220,000 $181 57
3712 Preston Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,222 (+6%) 4mo $199,000 $163 51
5636 Lester Granger Dr 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,052 (-9%) 8mo $170,000 $162 50
2917 Dillard St 0.53mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,230 (+7%) 8mo $225,000 $183 48
3720 Carey St 0.66mi 3/1.0 998 (-13%) 6mo $168,000 $168 42
5241 Carol Ave 0.51mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,289 (+12%) 8mo $199,500 $155 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.4%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-38,143
Equity at exit
$28,181
10-year hold
IRR
-24.8%
Equity multiple
-0.05×
Total profit
$-55,306
Equity at exit
$16,341

Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76119

Home prices YoY
-6.4%
Rents YoY
-1.6%
Active inventory
186
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,664 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$991
Tax from tax record
$287 /mo · $3,447/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$350
Net cashflow
$-42

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,718
Max offer price $181,522
Occupancy floor 98%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,250
Closing costs
$5,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3700 Radford Rd Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1124 $1,650 $1.47 24d 1 0.19mi
3700 Radford Rd Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1124 $1,650 $1.47 12d 1 0.19mi
3201 Mount Horum Way Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,699 $1.63 6d 1 0.35mi
5336 Cottey St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,699 $1.63 43d 1 0.43mi
5328 Carol Ave Fort Worth, TX 4.0 2.0 1230 $2,100 $1.71 43d 1 0.46mi
5636 Lester Granger Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1300 $1,495 $1.15 24d 1 0.49mi
3848 Waldorf St Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 734 $1,195 $1.63 5d 1 0.52mi
3865 Stalcup Rd Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,814 $1.66 6d 1 0.58mi
5818 Grayson St Unit 5818 Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1400 $2,000 $1.43 18d 1 0.67mi
5820 Grayson St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.5 1417 $1,895 $1.34 43d 1 0.68mi
5913 Montague St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,549 $1.42 14d 1 0.73mi
2128 R. W. Bivens Ln Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,615 $1.55 14d 1 0.80mi
5055 Virgil St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1089 $1,650 $1.52 24d 1 0.85mi
5011 Sunshine Dr Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 813 $1,515 $1.86 24d 1 0.86mi
1810 Wiseman Ave Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 43d 1 0.88mi
1804 Andrew Ave Fort Worth, TX 2.0 1.0 764 $1,395 $1.83 17d 1 0.92mi
5908 Oakdale Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,475 $1.35 6d 1 0.92mi
1736 Ransom Ter Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1322 $1,850 $1.40 15d 1 0.98mi
5910 Wilkes Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,445 $1.66 6d 1 1.01mi
5912 Wilkes Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 872 $1,499 $1.72 43d 1 1.05mi
4929 Willie St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1386 $1,650 $1.19 4d 1 1.14mi
2500 S Edgewood Ter Fort Worth, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1123 $1,895 $1.69 1d 34 1.38mi
4508 Wiman Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1045 $1,580 $1.51 6d 1 1.43mi
4217 Wilhelm St Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1380 $1,650 $1.20 43d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $189,000 Active 12 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $189,000 Active 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $189,000 Active 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $189,000 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $189,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $189,000 Active 3 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $189,000 Active 2 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    remarks 80-char remark
  9. 2026-06-07
    listed $189,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,447 · $287/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,459 · $288/mo
Expected delta
+$12/yr (+$1/mo · 0.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,972
− Mortgage interest
−$10,587
− Property taxes
−$3,447
− Insurance
−$945
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,598
− Management
−$1,598
− Depreciation
−$5,498
Taxable loss
−$3,701
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$888
After-tax cash flow
$380/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Worth ISD
NCES district ID
4819700
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$42,109
Composite
19.61/100
National rank
#8753
State rank
#742 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fort Worth

Score
80/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#1954

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Worth, TX
County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
911,619
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
52,974
Household income
$51,267
Rent vs Own
45.3% rent · 54.7% own
Severe rent burden
2221.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 51% Black 36% Two or more races 26% White 8% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 44%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
54% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -23.04%
Current HPI
336.7941
Rent YoY
▼ -1.61%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+73.6% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Listed $189,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-08-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-08-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2025-02-21 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2025-02-06 Price Changed $144,990 NTREIS
  • 2025-01-31 Price Changed $154,900 NTREIS
  • 2025-01-27 Price Changed $165,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-01-21 Price Changed $170,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-01-17 Price Changed $180,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-01-08 Listed $185,000 NTREIS
  • 2020-07-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-03-10 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-12-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-12-04 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2017-06-20 Listed $108,900 NTREIS
  • 2017-05-31 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+9.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,447 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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