17676 Addison St · Southfield, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.4/15.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$208,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very Cozy Newly Renovated Ranch. Super Convenient Location. Close To Major Hwy , Shopping And Entertainments. New Kitchen, New Floors, New Windows, New Paint, Stainless Steel Appliances. New Sewer Pipe . Turn Key Home. Must Come And See !!!
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Built 1976
- Listed 31 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $208k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-43 ($-514/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $200k (3.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (4.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $199k (4.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.6% in Southfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#248 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, crime F.
- Southfield Public School District (urban): math 17% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #392 of 540 in MI (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.1%/yr); 95 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 19 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $208k implies a 732% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.88%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $207,410
- List price
- $208,000
- Delta
- 0.28%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24735 Lathrup Blvd | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 | 1,527 (+0%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $98 | 95 |
| 17391 George Washington Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,462 (-4%) | 3mo | $247,500 | $169 | 81 |
| 24650 Lathrup Blvd | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,579 (+4%) | 9mo | $315,000 | $199 | 78 |
| 17095 George Washington Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,577 (+3%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $133 | 75 |
| 17357 New Hampshire Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,666 (+9%) | 13mo | $243,000 | $146 | 61 |
| 18516 Addison Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,649 (+8%) | 10mo | $312,000 | $189 | 60 |
| 25640 Grand Concourse St | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 | 1,590 (+4%) | 7mo | $275,000 | $173 | 59 |
| 24555 Harden Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,662 (+9%) | 3mo | $245,000 | $147 | 57 |
| 17251 Lee St | 0.23mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,753 (+15%) | 7mo | $182,000 | $104 | 53 |
| 17347 Lincoln Dr | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,317 (-14%) | 10mo | $290,000 | $220 | 43 |
| 18550 Mount Vernon St | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,742 (+14%) | 10mo | $380,000 | $218 | 42 |
| 16952 Mount Vernon St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,316 (-14%) | 11mo | $260,000 | $198 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-25,762
- Equity at exit
- $31,013
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $22,560
- Equity at exit
- $17,984
Cash invested: $58,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48075
- Rents YoY
- 8.1%
- Active inventory
- 95
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,993 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,091
- Tax from tax record
- −$440 /mo · $5,279/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$419
- Net cashflow
- $-43
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $75 | -5% $16 | +0% $-43 | +5% $-102 | +10% $-161 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-200 | -5% $-122 | +0% $-43 | +5% $36 | +10% $115 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $62 | -0.5pp $10 | base $-43 | +0.5pp $-97 | +1.0pp $-152 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,000
- Closing costs
- $6,240
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23600 Lamplighter Dr Southfield, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1085 | $1,765 | $1.63 | 3d | 15 | 0.89mi |
| 16176 Cumberland Rd Southfield, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,675 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 15570 Mount Vernon St Southfield, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2100 | $2,200 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 15800 Providence Dr Southfield, MI | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1140 | $1,895 | $1.66 | 3d | 22 | 1.01mi |
| 15341 Marlow St Oak Park, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2097 | $2,200 | $1.05 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 23300 Providence Dr Southfield, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1342 | $1,749 | $1.30 | 0d | 14 | 1.07mi |
| 16200 W 9 Mile Rd Southfield, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 971 | $1,700 | $1.75 | 6d | 2 | 1.08mi |
| 17440 W Eleven Mile Rd Lathrup Village, MI | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1264 | $1,949 | $1.54 | 6d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 25221 W Rue Versailles Dr Oak Park, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,055 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 25026 E Rue Versailles Dr Oak Park, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 932 | $1,740 | $1.87 | 0d | 10 | 1.12mi |
| 25582 Saint James Southfield, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1539 | $2,600 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 25582 Saint James Southfield, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1539 | $2,550 | $1.66 | 0d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 25582 Saint James Southfield, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1539 | $2,600 | $1.69 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 16500 N Park Dr Southfield, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1500 | $2,289 | $1.53 | 0d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 19500 W 11 Mile Rd Lathrup Village, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1393 | $1,520 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 20300 Civic Center Dr Southfield, MI | 4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1200 | $1,986 | $1.65 | 0d | 14 | 1.38mi |
| 25600 Briar Dr Oak Park, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 1.5 | 1235 | $1,935 | $1.57 | 25d | 7 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 44 events
-
2026-05-18status Pending 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Very Cozy Newly Renovated Ranch. Super Convenient Location. Close To Major Hwy , Shopping And Entertainments. New Kitchen, New Floors, New Windows, New Paint, Stainless Steel Appliances. New Sewer Pipe . Turn Key Home. Must Come And See !!!
-
2026-05-18status Pending 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Very Cozy Newly Renovated Ranch. Super Convenient Location. Close To Major Hwy , Shopping And Entertainments. New Kitchen, New Floors, New Windows, New Paint, Stainless Steel Appliances. New Sewer Pipe . Turn Key Home. Must Come And See !!!
-
2026-04-18$208,000 Active 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Very Cozy Newly Renovated Ranch. Super Convenient Location. Close To Major Hwy , Shopping And Entertainments. New Kitchen, New Floors, New Windows, New Paint, Stainless Steel Appliances. New Sewer Pipe . Turn Key Home. Must Come And See !!!
-
2026-04-18$208,000 Active 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Very Cozy Newly Renovated Ranch. Super Convenient Location. Close To Major Hwy , Shopping And Entertainments. New Kitchen, New Floors, New Windows, New Paint, Stainless Steel Appliances. New Sewer Pipe . Turn Key Home. Must Come And See !!!
-
2026-04-14historical $208,000 240-char remark
Show marketing remark (240 chars)
Very Cozy Newly Renovated Ranch. Super Convenient Location. Close To Major Hwy , Shopping And Entertainments. New Kitchen, New Floors, New Windows, New Paint, Stainless Steel Appliances. New Sewer Pipe . Turn Key Home. Must Come And See !!!
-
2026-02-03historical
-
2026-02-03historical
-
2025-11-25$229,000 Active
-
2025-11-25$229,000 Active
-
2025-10-16historical
-
2025-10-16historical
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2025-08-28price $249,500
-
2025-08-27price $249,500
-
2025-07-31$258,000 Active
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2025-07-31$258,000 Active
-
2025-07-26historical
-
2023-06-28historical
-
2022-11-09historical
-
2022-11-09historical
-
2022-11-09historical
-
2022-10-18$168,000 Active
-
2022-10-18$168,000 Active
-
2022-10-18$168,000
-
2010-05-11soldstatus $25,000
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2010-05-11soldstatus $25,000
-
2010-04-16historical
-
2010-03-30$25,000
-
2010-03-30$25,000
-
2009-12-31historical
-
2009-10-23historical
-
2009-09-28$100,000
-
2009-04-23$100,000
-
2006-02-21historical
-
2005-12-16$169,900
-
2002-06-12historical
-
2002-05-31$135,900
-
2002-05-31historical
-
2001-11-15$135,900
-
2001-11-05historical
-
2001-09-04$144,900
-
2000-06-08historical
-
2000-01-12$149,000
-
1998-06-30historical
-
1998-02-20$110,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,279 · $440/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,279 · $440/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,916
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,651
- − Property taxes
- −$5,279
- − Insurance
- −$1,040
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,913
- − Management
- −$1,913
- − Depreciation
- −$6,051
- Taxable loss
- −$3,931
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$944
- After-tax cash flow
- $429/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Southfield Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2632310
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,400
- Composite
- 23.77/100
- National rank
- #7814
- State rank
- #392 of 540 in MI
Livability — Southfield
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #248
- US rank
- #6175
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Southfield, MI
- County
- Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
- City population
- 54,914
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,841
- Household income
- $65,384
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1336.0
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 26% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -209.20%
- Current HPI
- 190.3275
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.06%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+89.1% since first listed44 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-18 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-18 Listed $208,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-18 Listed $208,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-14 Coming Soon $208,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-03 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-03 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-11-25 Listed $229,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-25 Listed $229,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-16 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-10-16 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-08-28 Price Changed $249,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-08-27 Price Changed $249,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-31 Listed $258,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-31 Listed $258,000 REALCOMP
- 2025-07-26 Coming Soon — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-06-28 Rental Removed — REALSOURCE
- 2022-11-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-11-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-11-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-10-18 Listed $168,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-10-18 Listed $168,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-18 Listed $168,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-05-11 Sold (MLS) $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-05-11 Sold (MLS) $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-04-16 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2010-03-30 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2010-03-30 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-12-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-10-23 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2009-09-28 Listed $100,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-04-23 Listed $100,000 REALCOMP
- 2006-02-21 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2005-12-16 Listed $169,900 REALCOMP
- 2002-06-12 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2002-05-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2002-05-31 Listed $135,900 REALCOMP
- 2001-11-15 Listed $135,900 REALCOMP
- 2001-11-05 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2001-09-04 Listed $144,900 REALCOMP
- 2000-06-08 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2000-01-12 Listed $149,000 REALCOMP
- 1998-06-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 1998-02-20 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,279 · +81.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…