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205 NE 9th St
D+ Composite 47.19
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$5,000

205 NE 9th St · Gainesville, FL 32601
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,230 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1941 9,583 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This cute 3bd/1ba vintage cottage, located in an ideal downtown location of Gainesville (Doig & Robertson subdivision), is ready and waiting for you to add some TLC to its charm. The bedrooms and living area are spacious and bright. A cute kitchen leads to the separate laundry room which leads outside to a wood deck complete with built-in seating. The finished open front porch--complete with a swinging chair and rocking chair--offers the perfect place to sit and read a book, study, or even keep your favorite plants. A chain-link fence provides the perfect area to keep your dog secure and safe or just to offer you a sense of privacy without feeling closed in. A/C was installed in 2013 and has a transferrable extended warranty. The main branch library, UF, Shands, shopping, restaurants are all conveniently accessible within minutes. This is your opportunity to own a home located in the much desired Duck Pond area. Don''t let this one get away!

Key facts

  • 9,583 sq ft lot
  • Built 1941
  • Listed 7 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: RMF7

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway; On-street parking
  • Utilities: Water: other source; Sewer: other
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Construction details: see remarks
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Other roof

Interior

  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Other flooring; One total room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $5k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $5k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in FL, #1,480 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Alachua (urban): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #30 of 73 in FL (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.2%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,774 units permitted in Alachua County in 2024 (984 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,615/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($30k/yr) (locally 3429% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $35 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $150 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Alachua County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.2% rent growth), your $1k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $5,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
32.30%
Cap rate
302.63%
Cash-on-cash
1058.34%
DSCR
48.09
GRM
0.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
59.27×
Total profit
$81,579
Equity at exit
$746
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
135.57×
Total profit
$188,400
Equity at exit
$432

Cash invested: $1,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32601

Home prices YoY
-27.7%
Rents YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
138
Price-to-rent
0.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,615 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$26
Tax from tax record
$13 /mo · $152/yr
Insurance
$2
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$339
Net cashflow
$1,235

Break-even live

Break-even rent $52
Max offer price $5,000
Occupancy floor 19%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,250
Closing costs
$150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $5,000 Active 8 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $5,000 Active 7 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $5,000 Active 6 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $5,000 Active 5 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $5,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    remarks 300-char remark
  7. 2026-06-03
    listed $5,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$152 · $13/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$152 · $13/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,378
− Mortgage interest
−$280
− Property taxes
−$152
− Insurance
−$25
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,550
− Management
−$1,550
− Depreciation
−$145
Taxable income
$15,675
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,762
After-tax cash flow
$11,055/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alachua
NCES district ID
1200030
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,683
Composite
43.31/100
National rank
#3038
State rank
#30 of 73 in FL

Livability — Gainesville

Score
81/100
State rank
#97
US rank
#1480

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gainesville, FL
County
Alachua County · 218,005 people
City population
188,348
Metro
Gainesville, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,180
Household income
$30,352
Rent vs Own
76.0% rent · 24.0% own
Severe rent burden
3429.0

Population outlook (Alachua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
289,834 people
By 2030
305,873 · +5.5%
By 2040
335,246 · +15.7%
By 2050
364,719 · +25.8%
By 2075
436,665 · +50.7%
By 2100
482,920 · +66.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Black 11% Asian 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Alachua

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.0) · D 59.7% · R 38.8% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-0.6pp no change · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: 21.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.0 2020: D+27.2 2016: D+22.5 2012: D+17.3 2008: D+21.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -125.81%
Current HPI
327.9985
Rent YoY
▲ 5.24%
Metro
Gainesville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-82.6% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $5,000 HAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2025-04-04 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-06 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-07 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-31 Price Changed $299,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-23 Price Changed $309,950 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-01-07 Price Changed $315,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-18 Price Changed $319,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-07 Price Changed $329,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-07 Listed $345,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $269,900 Public Records
  • 2022-01-11 Price Changed $1,650 RENT.
  • 2021-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $143,000 Public Records
  • 2021-01-27 Sold (MLS) $143,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-12-30 Listed $145,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-12-03 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
  • 2003-09-27 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-06-27 Listed $98,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1987-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,800 Public Records

Property tax history

-20.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $152 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…