1610 W Vondell Dr · Pahrump, NV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $490 – $910
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
JUST REDUCED!!! Beautiful property, must see. The property is very nicely landscaped with a pergola by the garden and a large carport. It is fully fenced with lots of trees and flowers. 2 large bedrooms, Dining room and living room.
Key facts
- Rural living
- Zoned for pets
- Pergola
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: One to five acre lot with desert landscaping and landscaped areas; Zoned to allow horses
Exterior
- Parking: Detached carport; Garage; Private parking; 3 carport spaces; RV parking possible with RV access
- Utilities: Electricity available; Septic available (septic tank installed); Private well water
- Home design: Single-story; Resale property; Faces south
- Construction: Flat metal roof; Mobile home dimensions approximately 52' x 27'
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Chain link fencing (full)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Disposal; Refrigerator; Kitchen with linoleum/vinyl flooring
- Bedrooms: 2 possible bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air (electric); Electric heating; Radiator heating
- Interior features: Unfurnished; Bedroom on main level; Primary bedroom downstairs
- Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup; Laundry in garage; Main level laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $172 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (11.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.4% in Pahrump — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#30 in NV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Nye County School District (rural): math 20% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #16 of 17 in NV (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 1116 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nye County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $97k; list at $170k implies a 75% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.33%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $268,785
- List price
- $170,000
- Delta
- -36.75%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1421 W Irons St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,378 (-2%) | 6mo | $252,000 | $183 | 74 |
| 1740 W Donner St | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,456 (+4%) | 3mo | $320,000 | $220 | 73 |
| 1831 W Wilson Rd | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (+4%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $172 | 70 |
| 1270 Gold Dust Ln | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,418 (+1%) | 8mo | $257,400 | $182 | 66 |
| 1801 W Irons St | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,224 (-13%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $106 | 65 |
| 421 S David St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,348 (-4%) | 15mo | $258,000 | $191 | 58 |
| 880 Luella Ct | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,410 (+0%) | 15mo | $240,000 | $170 | 50 |
| 881 Luella Ct | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (+9%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $195 | 50 |
| 1211 W Hardy Ln | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (-8%) | 12mo | $263,000 | $203 | 47 |
| 1050 W Donner St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-4%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $130 | 46 |
| 820 Luella Ct | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,203 (-14%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $166 | 34 |
| 581 Cynthia St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,566 (+12%) | 12mo | $280,000 | $179 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-17,090
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,762
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 71 Landlord-Friendly
- State Nevada
- 71 Landlord-Friendly · R+1
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 89048
- Home prices YoY
- -7.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 1116
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,505 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $658/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $172
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1480 W Irons St Pahrump, NV | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,600 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1860 W Wilson Rd Pahrump, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,690 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1111 Hardy Ln Unit B Pahrump, NV | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $1,425 | $0.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 521 Alaska Way Unit B Pahrump, NV | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1625 | $1,400 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2770 Rio Rico Dr Pahrump, NV | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1236 | $1,435 | $1.16 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $170,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $170,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $170,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $170,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $170,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $170,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $170,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $170,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $170,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $170,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $170,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $170,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $170,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $170,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-24$170,000 Active 577-char remark
-
2020-03-17soldstatus $97,000 Closed 235-char remark
Show marketing remark (235 chars)
JUST REDUCED!!! Beautiful property, must see. The property is very nicely landscaped with a pergola by the garden and a large carport. It is fully fenced with lots of trees and flowers. 2 large bedrooms, Dining room and living room.
-
2020-03-17soldstatus $97,000
Show marketing remark (235 chars)
JUST REDUCED!!! Beautiful property, must see. The property is very nicely landscaped with a pergola by the garden and a large carport. It is fully fenced with lots of trees and flowers. 2 large bedrooms, Dining room and living room.
-
2020-02-26status Pending 235-char remark
Show marketing remark (235 chars)
JUST REDUCED!!! Beautiful property, must see. The property is very nicely landscaped with a pergola by the garden and a large carport. It is fully fenced with lots of trees and flowers. 2 large bedrooms, Dining room and living room.
-
2020-02-03status Pending 235-char remark
Show marketing remark (235 chars)
JUST REDUCED!!! Beautiful property, must see. The property is very nicely landscaped with a pergola by the garden and a large carport. It is fully fenced with lots of trees and flowers. 2 large bedrooms, Dining room and living room.
-
2020-02-02historical
-
2020-01-30$119,500 Active 235-char remark
Show marketing remark (235 chars)
JUST REDUCED!!! Beautiful property, must see. The property is very nicely landscaped with a pergola by the garden and a large carport. It is fully fenced with lots of trees and flowers. 2 large bedrooms, Dining room and living room.
-
2019-10-29price $119,500
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2019-07-10$124,900 Active
-
2005-12-07soldstatus $63,000
-
2003-05-01soldstatus $38,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $658 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,003 · $84/mo
- Expected delta
- +$345/yr (+$29/mo · 52.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,059
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$658
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,445
- − Management
- −$1,445
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable loss
- −$806
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$193
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,254/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nye County School District
- NCES district ID
- 3200360
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,447
- Composite
- 22.43/100
- National rank
- #8110
- State rank
- #16 of 17 in NV
Livability — Pahrump
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #9226
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pahrump, NV
- County
- Nye County · 47,491 people
- City population
- 47,491
- Metro
- Pahrump, NV
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,486
- Household income
- $61,367
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 939.0
Population outlook (Nye County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 40,727 people
- By 2030
- 38,812 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 33,952 · -16.6%
- By 2050
- 29,393 · -27.8%
- By 2075
- 21,122 · -48.1%
- By 2100
- 14,400 · -64.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 12% Black 3% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nye
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.2) · D 28.0% · R 70.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.4pp · 2024: -42.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.2 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+42.0 2012: R+24.2 2008: R+13.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -21.52%
- Current HPI
- 277.4486
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.73%
- Metro
- Pahrump, NV
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.08%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NV)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Hotels / Casinos | 3 | $36B |
|
||
Price history
+347.4% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $170,000 GLVAR
- 2020-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
- 2020-03-17 Sold (MLS) $97,000 GLVAR
- 2020-02-26 Pending — GLVAR
- 2020-02-03 Pending — GLVAR
- 2020-02-02 Listing Removed — GLVAR
- 2020-01-30 Listed $119,500 GLVAR
- 2019-10-29 Price Changed $119,500 GLVAR
- 2019-07-10 Listed $124,900 GLVAR
- 2005-12-07 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
- 2003-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $658 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…