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27 Mechanic St
B+ Composite 76.05
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$37,500

27 Mechanic St · Hoosick Falls, NY 12090
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 714 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1885 8,712 sqft lot ↓ 25% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY/STATELY VICT./WILL MAKE A BEAUTIF 1 FAM OR INCOME PRODUCING 2 FAM. LOVELY WOODWORK; 2YR OLD OHW FURN./ALUM SIDING/ HSE HAS HW FLRS; STAINED GLASS/NICE DETAIL/BEAUT.LOT/2C GAR/

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1885

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $688 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $38k).
  • Recommended offer: $36k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.3% vs local median 4.6% in Hoosick Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#371 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Hoosick Falls Central School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #469 of 755 in NY (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hoosick Falls Elementary School (math 54% / reading 64%, grade B-, #745 of 2,108 statewide, top 39%, 398 students, 53% FRL); Hoosick Falls Middle School (325 students, 54% FRL); Hoosick Falls High School (math 87% / reading 82%, grade A, #379 of 1,100 statewide, top 36%, 329 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 35% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 72% at this address vs 49% district-wide (+23 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Hoosick Falls Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 405 units permitted in Rensselaer County in 2024 (224 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $642 of equity ($259 loan paydown + $383 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Rensselaer County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $36,375 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.20%
Cap rate
28.32%
Cash-on-cash
78.67%
DSCR
4.50
GRM
2.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.02% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
81.7%
Equity multiple
5.25×
Total profit
$44,599
Equity at exit
$12,842
10-year hold
IRR
82.5%
Equity multiple
10.76×
Total profit
$102,452
Equity at exit
$17,096

Cash invested: $10,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12090

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
53
Price-to-rent
2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,199 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$197
Tax est. 1.5%
$47 /mo · $562/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$688

Break-even live

Break-even rent $328
Max offer price $37,500
Occupancy floor 38%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $714 -5% $701 +0% $688 +5% $675 +10% $662
Rent -10% $594 -5% $641 +0% $688 +5% $736 +10% $783
Rate -1.0pp $707 -0.5pp $698 base $688 +0.5pp $679 +1.0pp $669

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,375
Closing costs
$1,125
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
22 4th St Hoosick Falls, NY 1.0 1.0 500 $1,199 $2.40 15d 1 0.63mi
152 Main St Hoosick Falls, NY 1.0 1.0 450 $1,200 $2.67 15d 1 0.83mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-03-15
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-11
    price $37,500
  3. 2026-02-04
    listed $40,000 Active
  4. 2002-12-02
    soldstatus $45,000 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY/STATELY VICT./WILL MAKE A BEAUTIF 1 FAM OR INCOME PRODUCING 2 FAM. LOVELY WOODWORK; 2YR OLD OHW FURN./ALUM SIDING/ HSE HAS HW FLRS; STAINED GLASS/NICE DETAIL/BEAUT.LOT/2C GAR/

  5. 2002-10-03
    historical 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY/STATELY VICT./WILL MAKE A BEAUTIF 1 FAM OR INCOME PRODUCING 2 FAM. LOVELY WOODWORK; 2YR OLD OHW FURN./ALUM SIDING/ HSE HAS HW FLRS; STAINED GLASS/NICE DETAIL/BEAUT.LOT/2C GAR/

  6. 2001-12-13
    soldstatus $6,000
  7. 2001-05-09
    listed $49,900 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    UNIQUE OPPORTUNITY/STATELY VICT./WILL MAKE A BEAUTIF 1 FAM OR INCOME PRODUCING 2 FAM. LOVELY WOODWORK; 2YR OLD OHW FURN./ALUM SIDING/ HSE HAS HW FLRS; STAINED GLASS/NICE DETAIL/BEAUT.LOT/2C GAR/

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,393
− Mortgage interest
−$2,101
− Property taxes
−$562
− Insurance
−$188
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,151
− Management
−$1,151
− Depreciation
−$1,091
Taxable income
$8,148
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,956
After-tax cash flow
$6,305/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hoosick Falls Central School District
NCES district ID
3614760
Math proficiency
52% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,349
Composite
44.44/100
National rank
#6093
State rank
#469 of 755 in NY

Livability — Hoosick Falls

Score
72/100
State rank
#371
US rank
#6412

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime B+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hoosick Falls, NY
Population (ZIP)
5,874

Population outlook (Rensselaer County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
162,400 people
By 2030
161,746 · -0.4%
By 2040
158,095 · -2.7%
By 2050
152,966 · -5.8%
By 2075
140,767 · -13.3%
By 2100
124,727 · -23.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 5% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rensselaer

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-8.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.3pp · 2024: 1.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.4 2020: D+5.6 2016: R+2.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+9.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.02%
Current HPI
218.9096
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-24.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-15 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $37,500 Global MLS
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $40,000 Global MLS
  • 2002-12-02 Sold (MLS) $45,000 Global MLS
  • 2002-10-03 Listing Removed Global MLS
  • 2001-12-13 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
  • 2001-05-09 Listed $49,900 Global MLS

Property tax history

+8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,037 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…