111 Grove St N · Hebron, ND
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,289 – $2,393
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Owner has placed new carpeting in the home and new kitchen appliances. This home is ready for you move in! Located in Hebron - quick drive to Bismarck or Dickinson.
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1935
Property features AI
Finance
- Other:
- Financial info:
- HOA & community:
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Security:
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property type
- Construction:
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.16 acres (50 x 140); Low density residential zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms:
- Flooring:
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Partially finished basement; Total of 8 rooms
- Laundry & utility:
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $641 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#86 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Hebron 13 (rural): math 55% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #22 of 169 in ND (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Hebron Elementary School (math 54% / reading 54%, grade C, #39 of 236 statewide, top 21%, 84 students, 33% FRL); Hebron High School (math 54% / reading 44%, grade D, #19 of 144 statewide, top 19%, 73 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 33% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 94 units permitted in Morton County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Morton County population projected at +48% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; 29% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 49.98%
- DSCR
- 3.22
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 55.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.08×
- Total profit
- $47,463
- Equity at exit
- $24,730
- IRR
- 54.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.25×
- Total profit
- $111,709
- Equity at exit
- $38,112
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58638
- Active inventory
- 15
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,231 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$19 /mo · $234/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $641
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $673 | -5% $657 | +0% $641 | +5% $626 | +10% $610 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $544 | -5% $593 | +0% $641 | +5% $690 | +10% $739 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $669 | -0.5pp $655 | base $641 | +0.5pp $627 | +1.0pp $613 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $55,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $55,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $55,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $55,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $55,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $55,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-04-21$55,000 Active
-
2023-09-06historical 165-char remark
Show marketing remark (165 chars)
Owner has placed new carpeting in the home and new kitchen appliances. This home is ready for you move in! Located in Hebron - quick drive to Bismarck or Dickinson.
-
2020-08-17soldstatus $42,500
-
2019-11-22$49,900 165-char remark
Show marketing remark (165 chars)
Owner has placed new carpeting in the home and new kitchen appliances. This home is ready for you move in! Located in Hebron - quick drive to Bismarck or Dickinson.
-
2014-05-06soldstatus $50,000
-
2005-05-02soldstatus $8,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $234 · $19/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $539 · $45/mo
- Expected delta
- +$305/yr (+$25/mo · 130.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,768
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$234
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,181
- − Management
- −$1,181
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $7,215
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,732
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,965/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hebron 13
- NCES district ID
- 3809180
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,358
- Composite
- 48.87/100
- National rank
- #4493
- State rank
- #22 of 169 in ND
Livability — Hebron
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #86
- US rank
- #7926
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hebron, ND
- Population (ZIP)
- 949
Population outlook (Morton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,682 people
- By 2030
- 39,967 · +9.0%
- By 2040
- 46,921 · +27.9%
- By 2050
- 54,157 · +47.6%
- By 2075
- 73,661 · +100.8%
- By 2100
- 89,885 · +145.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 7% Native American 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 19% Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 4%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Morton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.8) · D 22.2% · R 75.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.7pp toward R · 2008: -21.0pp · 2024: -53.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.8 2020: R+50.4 2016: R+53.0 2012: R+31.1 2008: R+21.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
||
Price history
+587.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $55,000 Badlands BOR MLS
- 2023-09-06 Delisted — Badlands BOR MLS
- 2020-08-17 Sold (Public Records) $42,500 Public Records
- 2019-11-22 Listed $49,900 Badlands BOR MLS
- 2014-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2005-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $234 · -82.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…