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8831 Sioux Multi-family
D+ Composite 49.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,900

8831 Sioux · Redford, MI 48239
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,883 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1957 6,534 sqft lot $117/sqft · 10% below area Est $246k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

BRICK TRI-LEVEL CONTEMPORARY HOME WITH THREE BEDROOMS AND COMMON BATHROOM ON UPPER LEVEL. VERY LARGE FAMILY ROOM IN LOWER LEVEL WITH BAR AND RAISED BARK FIREPLACE. 2 CAR DETACHED GARAGE WITH SEPARATE WORKSHOP. ALL OFFERS ARE REQUIRED TO HAVE A 3% EMD DEPOSIT, CASH OFFERS REQUIRE 25% DOWN PAYMENT. PLEASE ALLOW 2-3 BUSINESS DAYS FOR SELLER RESPONSE. HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS BEING SUBMITTED 02/14/2014 AT 3PM.

Key facts

  • 6,534 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1957

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Tains Brothers Sub

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residential property; One story (above-grade finished area 1,883 square feet)
  • Construction: Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road frontage; Lot approximately 0.15 acres (62 x 105)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: 3 total rooms; Ground-level entry with steps; Sidewalks on the block

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath multifamily listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $138 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • South Redford School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #455 of 540 in MI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $220k implies a 340% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $219,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.05%
Cash-on-cash
2.69%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$245,553
List price
$219,900
Delta
-10.45%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.25% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.7%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-26,183
Equity at exit
$32,788
10-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-8,733
Equity at exit
$19,013

Cash invested: $61,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48239

Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,245 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,153
Tax from tax record
$391 /mo · $4,695/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$472
Net cashflow
$138

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,071
Max offer price $219,900
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,975
Closing costs
$6,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
25615 Tireman St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.5 1855 $1,900 $1.02 43d 1 0.96mi
11726 Deering St Livonia, MI 4.0 1.5 1248 $2,125 $1.70 1d 1 1.17mi
26101 W Warren St Dearborn Heights, MI 4.0 1.5 2359 $4,200 $1.78 43d 1 1.21mi
6810 Rosemary St Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.5 1700 $2,000 $1.18 1d 1 1.32mi
6644 Cronin Dr Dearborn Heights, MI 3.0 1.5 2250 $2,000 $0.89 43d 1 1.43mi
11141 Karen St Livonia, MI 3.0 1.0 1322 $1,950 $1.48 10d 1 1.43mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-11
    status Pending
  3. 2026-05-05
    listed $219,900 Active
  4. 2026-05-05
    listed $219,900 Active
  5. 2014-03-14
    soldstatus $50,000
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    BRICK TRI-LEVEL CONTEMPORARY HOME WITH THREE BEDROOMS AND COMMON BATHROOM ON UPPER LEVEL. VERY LARGE FAMILY ROOM IN LOWER LEVEL WITH BAR AND RAISED BARK FIREPLACE. 2 CAR DETACHED GARAGE WITH SEPARATE WORKSHOP. ALL OFFERS ARE REQUIRED TO HAVE A 3% EMD DEPOSIT, CASH OFFERS REQUIRE 25% DOWN PAYMENT. PLEASE ALLOW 2-3 BUSINESS DAYS FOR SELLER RESPONSE. HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS BEING SUBMITTED 02/14/2014 AT 3PM.

  6. 2014-03-14
    soldstatus $50,000
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    BRICK TRI-LEVEL CONTEMPORARY HOME WITH THREE BEDROOMS AND COMMON BATHROOM ON UPPER LEVEL. VERY LARGE FAMILY ROOM IN LOWER LEVEL WITH BAR AND RAISED BARK FIREPLACE. 2 CAR DETACHED GARAGE WITH SEPARATE WORKSHOP. ALL OFFERS ARE REQUIRED TO HAVE A 3% EMD DEPOSIT, CASH OFFERS REQUIRE 25% DOWN PAYMENT. PLEASE ALLOW 2-3 BUSINESS DAYS FOR SELLER RESPONSE. HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS BEING SUBMITTED 02/14/2014 AT 3PM.

  7. 2014-02-20
    historical
  8. 2014-02-12
    listed $37,900
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    BRICK TRI-LEVEL CONTEMPORARY HOME WITH THREE BEDROOMS AND COMMON BATHROOM ON UPPER LEVEL. VERY LARGE FAMILY ROOM IN LOWER LEVEL WITH BAR AND RAISED BARK FIREPLACE. 2 CAR DETACHED GARAGE WITH SEPARATE WORKSHOP. ALL OFFERS ARE REQUIRED TO HAVE A 3% EMD DEPOSIT, CASH OFFERS REQUIRE 25% DOWN PAYMENT. PLEASE ALLOW 2-3 BUSINESS DAYS FOR SELLER RESPONSE. HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS BEING SUBMITTED 02/14/2014 AT 3PM.

  9. 2014-02-12
    listed $37,900
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    BRICK TRI-LEVEL CONTEMPORARY HOME WITH THREE BEDROOMS AND COMMON BATHROOM ON UPPER LEVEL. VERY LARGE FAMILY ROOM IN LOWER LEVEL WITH BAR AND RAISED BARK FIREPLACE. 2 CAR DETACHED GARAGE WITH SEPARATE WORKSHOP. ALL OFFERS ARE REQUIRED TO HAVE A 3% EMD DEPOSIT, CASH OFFERS REQUIRE 25% DOWN PAYMENT. PLEASE ALLOW 2-3 BUSINESS DAYS FOR SELLER RESPONSE. HIGHEST AND BEST OFFERS BEING SUBMITTED 02/14/2014 AT 3PM.

  10. 2003-09-09
    soldstatus $168,500
  11. 2003-06-20
    soldstatus $168,500
  12. 2003-04-02
    listed $168,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,695 · $391/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,695 · $391/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,945
− Mortgage interest
−$12,318
− Property taxes
−$4,695
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,156
− Management
−$2,156
− Depreciation
−$6,397
Taxable loss
−$1,876
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$450
After-tax cash flow
$2,104/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
South Redford School District
NCES district ID
2632280
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$52,775
Composite
18.1/100
National rank
#8972
State rank
#455 of 540 in MI

Livability — Redford

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
36,976
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
36,976
Household income
$71,151
Rent vs Own
21.1% rent · 78.9% own
Severe rent burden
1052.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (58%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 58% White 34% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -202.97%
Current HPI
236.1136
Rent YoY
▲ 3.25%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+30.5% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $219,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $219,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-03-14 Sold (MLS) $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-03-14 Sold (MLS) $50,000 REALCOMP
  • 2014-02-20 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-02-12 Listed $37,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-02-12 Listed $37,900 REALCOMP
  • 2003-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $168,500 Public Records
  • 2003-06-20 Sold (MLS) $168,500 REALCOMP
  • 2003-04-02 Listed $168,500 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,695 · -4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…