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209 S Roxford Rd
D+ Composite 49.41
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.5/30.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,999

209 S Roxford Rd · Kings Mountain, NC 28086
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,917 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1953 0.42 ac lot Est $351k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great investment opportunity located right off Business 74 in Kings Mountain. This home offers a quick commute to schools, grocery stores, and downtown KM. 3 bedroom, 2 bathrooms. With over 1,400 square feet, this property has significant potential. Features include: - Spacious Kitchen: Includes a breakfast area and charming built-ins for extra storage. - Large Living Room: Fills with plenty of natural sunlight. - 3 Bedrooms: Two bedrooms also feature functional built-ins. - Exterior: The home sits on a level . 42-acre lot with ample shade. Please let me know if you would like more information or to schedule a viewing.

Key facts

  • Spacious kitchen
  • Quick commute
  • Large living room

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYQUICK COMMUTESPACIOUS KITCHENBREAKFAST AREABUILT-INSLARGE LIVING ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport with 1 covered space
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Site-built construction
  • Construction: Brick, vinyl, and wood exterior materials; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Lot is approximately 0.42 acres; Roads are gravel and paved; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Wall oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 7 total rooms; Fireplace; Room levels: main floor
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located in a bathroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($519/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (16.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $167k (16.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.4% in Kings Mountain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#404 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Cleveland County Schools (rural): math 47% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #76 of 178 in NC (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: North Elementary (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #633 of 1,410 statewide, top 48%, 263 students, 99% FRL); Kings Mountain Middle (math 43% / reading 57%, grade C, #113 of 475 statewide, top 25%, 712 students, 67% FRL); Kings Mountain High (math 68% / reading 65%, grade B, #150 of 535 statewide, top 28%, 1,236 students, 56% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 461 units permitted in Cleveland County in 2024 (38 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cleveland County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $167,210 (16.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.55%
Cash-on-cash
0.93%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$350,811
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1305 Merrimont Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 2,051 (+7%) 2mo $499,000 $243 68
304 Ware St 0.58mi 3/2.5 1,968 (+3%) 2mo $300,000 $152 65
704 Marion St 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,928 (+1%) 4mo $320,000 $166 64
230 Colton Ct 0.37mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,764 (-8%) 0mo $323,000 $183 64
412 Scotland Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,710 (-11%) 1mo $327,400 $191 60
231 Colton Ct 0.37mi 3/2.5 2,175 (+14%) 0mo $350,000 $161 58
442 Phifer Rd 0.16mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,204 (+15%) 2mo $297,997 $135 57
424 Fulton Dr 0.35mi 3/2.5 1,718 (-10%) 8mo $350,000 $204 57
402 Scotland Dr 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,715 (-10%) 8mo $310,000 $181 52
438 Phifer Rd 0.20mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,204 (+15%) 10mo $320,000 $145 48
503 Deerfield Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 2,187 (+14%) 9mo $440,000 $201 37
304 Wintergreen Ct 0.56mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,201 (+15%) 9mo $495,000 $225 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.8%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-29,693
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
-6.2%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-22,469
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28086

Home prices YoY
-28.6%
Active inventory
193
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,672 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$146 /mo · $1,747/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$351
Net cashflow
$43

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,617
Max offer price $199,999
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $156 -5% $100 +0% $43 +5% $-13 +10% $-70
Rent -10% $-89 -5% $-23 +0% $43 +5% $109 +10% $175
Rate -1.0pp $144 -0.5pp $94 base $43 +0.5pp $-9 +1.0pp $-61

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $199,999 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $199,999 Active 35 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,999 Active 34 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,999 Active 33 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,999 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,999 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $199,999 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,999 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $199,999 Active 26 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,999 Active 25 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,999 Active 24 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,999 Active 23 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $199,999 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,999 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,999 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $199,999 Active 17 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active 16 DOM
  18. 2026-05-30
    days on market $215,000 Active 15 DOM
  19. 2026-05-15
    listed $215,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,747 · $146/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,747 · $146/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,065
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$1,747
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,605
− Management
−$1,605
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$2,913
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$699
After-tax cash flow
$1,218/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cleveland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700900
Math proficiency
47% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$38,501
Composite
40.03/100
National rank
#3823
State rank
#76 of 178 in NC

Livability — Kings Mountain

Score
63/100
State rank
#404
US rank
#15377

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kings Mountain, NC
County
Cleveland County · 83,736 people
City population
29,460
Metro
Shelby, NC
Population (ZIP)
29,460
Household income
$62,414
Rent vs Own
27.6% rent · 72.4% own
Severe rent burden
726.0

Population outlook (Cleveland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
93,671 people
By 2030
91,157 · -2.7%
By 2040
85,519 · -8.7%
By 2050
79,708 · -14.9%
By 2075
68,317 · -27.1%
By 2100
57,145 · -39.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Cleveland

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.0) · D 32.2% · R 67.2%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.9pp · 2024: -35.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.0 2020: R+32.8 2016: R+30.6 2012: R+20.5 2008: R+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.17%
Current HPI
248.0613
Rent YoY
Metro
Shelby, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $215,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,747 · +65.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…