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321 S Brownell St
D Composite 44.68
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.9/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$197,900

321 S Brownell St · La Porte, TX 77571
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,296 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1971 6,250 sqft lot Est $200k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

* * OPEN HOUSE on Saturday, 06/06/2026 from 12-2pm * * WALKING DISTANCE TO FISHING PIER! This fully renovated LaPorte stunner is a rare find. Enjoy a new home with an updated kitchen! The primary bedroom features a convenient, updated half-bath, while the secondary bedrooms share a beautifully redesigned full bath with custom tile work. Head out to the back to enjoy a spacious backyard—perfect for weekend BBQs and outdoor activities. Excellent location near La Porte schools, parks, and Sylvan Beach. Schedule your tour today!

Key facts

  • Spacious backyard
  • Updated half bath
  • Redesigned full bath

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENUPDATED HALF BATHREDESIGNED FULL BATHCUSTOM TILE WORKSPACIOUS BACKYARDEXCELLENT LOCATION NEAR PARKS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered
  • HOA & community: Community pool

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport; 1-car carport
  • Security: Owned security system; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Home design: Residential property; Faces west; Built in 1971; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Back yard fencing; Concrete road access; Other lot features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Kitchen/dining combo; Programmable thermostat; Low emissivity windows; Ventilation for improved indoor air quality; ENERGY STAR qualified appliances
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Dryer included

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $198k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-9 ($-103/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $196k (0.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $184k (7.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $184k (7.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.4% in La Porte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#360 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • La Porte ISD (suburban): math 41% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #260 of 826 in TX (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: La Porte J H (math 41% / reading 43%, grade D-, #572 of 1,662 statewide, top 36%, 527 students, 65% FRL); La Porte H S (math 24% / reading 46%, grade F, #954 of 1,632 statewide, top 59%, 2,069 students, 51% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $183,564 (7.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.25%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$199,584
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
309 S Brownell St 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,358 (+5%) 4mo $209,500 $154 86
510 S Ohio St 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,310 (+1%) 13mo $249,000 $190 78
125 S Nugent St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,237 (-5%) 11mo $128,500 $104 73
622 S Idaho St 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,200 (-7%) 4mo $184,900 $154 68
301 S Virginia St 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,273 (-2%) 5mo $194,900 $153 68
305 S Carroll St 0.20mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,167 (-10%) 4mo $155,000 $133 66
601 S Carroll St 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,403 (+8%) 11mo $259,900 $185 62
424 S Broadway St 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,337 (+3%) 4mo $159,000 $119 59
920 Oak Grove St 0.42mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,200 (-7%) 2mo $239,000 $199 59
503 S Kansas St 0.28mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,144 (-12%) 2mo $159,990 $140 59
801 S Idaho St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,152 (-11%) 11mo $220,000 $191 53
214 N 2nd St 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-4%) 12mo $174,900 $140 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.8%
Equity multiple
0.41×
Total profit
$-32,881
Equity at exit
$29,508
10-year hold
IRR
-8.9%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-30,427
Equity at exit
$17,111

Cash invested: $55,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77571

Home prices YoY
-28.9%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
337
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,836 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,038
Tax from tax record
$272 /mo · $3,264/yr
Insurance
$82
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$385
Net cashflow
$-9

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,846
Max offer price $196,386
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$49,475
Closing costs
$5,937
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
315 N 2nd St La Porte, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0 762 $1,259 $1.65 17d 1 0.69mi
319 S 6th St La Porte, TX 4.0 2.0 1812 $1,795 $0.99 24d 1 0.89mi
218 S 6th St La Porte, TX 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,925 $1.28 43d 1 0.90mi
803 S 4th St La Porte, TX 4.0 1.5 1688 $1,700 $1.01 5d 1 0.95mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $197,900 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $197,900 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $197,900 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $197,900 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $197,900 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $197,900 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $197,900 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    remarks 535-char remark
  9. 2026-06-07
    listed $197,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,264 · $272/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,622 · $302/mo
Expected delta
+$358/yr (+$30/mo · 11.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,028
− Mortgage interest
−$11,085
− Property taxes
−$3,264
− Insurance
−$1,787
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,762
− Management
−$1,762
− Depreciation
−$5,757
Taxable loss
−$3,390
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$814
After-tax cash flow
$711/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
La Porte ISD
NCES district ID
4826190
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$71,841
Composite
38.65/100
National rank
#4151
State rank
#260 of 826 in TX

Livability — La Porte

Score
70/100
State rank
#360
US rank
#7754

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
La Porte, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
38,543
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
38,543
Household income
$81,850
Rent vs Own
27.9% rent · 72.1% own
Severe rent burden
1176.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Hispanic / Latino 36% Two or more races 20% Black 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 31%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 21% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -103.81%
Current HPI
255.0768
Rent YoY
▲ 2.81%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $197,900 HARMLS
  • 2025-07-29 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,264 · +15.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…