Duplex
5 W Pearl St · Albion, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.1/15.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
A spacious home currently rented along with an efficiency apartment, which could be used as an in-law apartment with kitchen, bath, living room and bedroom. Located in great neighborhood close to town. There are 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, if you include the efficiency apartment. Long term tenants. ..
Key facts
- Large sunroom
- Access to basement
- Well maintained
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R-1
- Financial info: Unit rents reported: $500 for the 2-bed unit, $400 for the 1-bed unit
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Duplex; Residential income property
- Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range/Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One unit with 2 bedrooms; One unit with 1 bedroom
- Bathrooms: One unit with 1 bathroom; One unit with 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Basement tenant use; Range/oven; Refrigerator
- Laundry & utility: Laundry available (in units)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $388 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $194/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $177k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#679 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Northwestern SD (town): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #333 of 539 in PA (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 19 active listings in the ZIP; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $180k implies a 414% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.24%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $154,350
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Market St | 0.16mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,118 (+3%) | 21mo | $159,900 | $75 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.44×
- Total profit
- $122,723
- Equity at exit
- $162,068
- IRR
- 26.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.79×
- Total profit
- $342,036
- Equity at exit
- $349,506
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16401
- Home prices YoY
- 18.6%
- Active inventory
- 19
- Price-to-rent
- 14.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,072 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$231 /mo · $2,766/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$435
- Net cashflow
- $388
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 2 | $2,072 |
| #1 | 3 | 2 | $1,036 |
| #2 | 3 | 2 | $1,036 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,072 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $179,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $179,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-31remarks 487-char remark
-
2026-05-31$179,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,766 · $231/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,804 · $234/mo
- Expected delta
- +$38/yr (+$3/mo · 1.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,864
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,766
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,989
- − Management
- −$1,989
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $1,909
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$458
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,197/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northwestern SD
- NCES district ID
- 4217880
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -22.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,180
- Composite
- 35.51/100
- National rank
- #4912
- State rank
- #333 of 539 in PA
Livability — Albion
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #679
- US rank
- #6635
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Albion, PA
- County
- Erie · 6,299 people
- Metro
- Erie, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,842
- Household income
- $67,976
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3.3
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 272,159 people
- By 2030
- 266,299 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 250,987 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 234,925 · -13.7%
- By 2075
- 199,164 · -26.8%
- By 2100
- 162,985 · -40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.0% · R 50.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.9pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -1.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.0 2020: D+1.0 2016: R+2.0 2012: D+16.9 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 36.45%
- Current HPI
- 232.9468
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+1283.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $179,900 GEBOR
- 2019-03-16 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2018-08-24 Listed $79,900 West Penn MLS
- 2018-03-17 Listed $79,900 GEBOR
- 1990-06-11 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 1990-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 1964-08-28 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2026): $2,766 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…