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297 Keasbey St
B+ Composite 79.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$129,900

297 Keasbey St · Salem, NJ 08079
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,382 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 113 Days on market
Built 1952 7,501 sqft lot Est $196k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor Special! Fixer-upper single-family home on a rare double lot (60x125) with R-2 zoning. Huge value-add potential for rehab, expansion, or redevelopment. Ideal opportunity for investors or developers seeking strong upside and solid returns. Key location access to major markets like Philadelphia, New York City, Baltimore, and DC, supported by key highways (NJ Turnpike, I-295, US-40), making it attractive for both residential demand and business growth. Sold strictly as-is. Buyer is responsible for all city inspections and certifications. Buyer to perform their own due diligence. Bring your vision and unlock the potential!

Key facts

  • Value-add potential
  • Double lot
  • Major markets

Tags

DOUBLE LOTR-2 ZONINGVALUE-ADD POTENTIALKEY LOCATION ACCESSMAJOR MARKETS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Near shopping, train, and public transit

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking; Parking width for 1 car
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas; Gas water heater; See remarks for additional utilities
  • Home design: Detached property; Three or more levels; Asphalt roof
  • Construction: See remarks for additional construction details
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch(es)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Separate dining area
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms; One bedroom
  • Flooring: Vinyl/linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Living room; Formal dining room; Kitchen; Full bath; Recreation room; Utility room; 10 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $718 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 8.4% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#462 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Salem City School District (town): math 6% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #464 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,181/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 663% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $404 of equity ($898 loan paydown + $-494 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 24y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $85k; list at $130k implies a 53% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,209 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
12.92%
Cash-on-cash
23.68%
DSCR
2.05
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$196,244
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
363 Grant St 0.27mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,424 (+3%) 0mo $250,000 $176 75
318 Fenwick Ave 0.22mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,344 (-3%) 3mo $191,250 $142 74
352 Allen Ave 0.15mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,460 (+6%) 6mo $225,000 $154 71
170 Johnson St 0.26mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,417 (+2%) 9mo $180,000 $127 67
272 E Broadway 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,500 (+8%) 1mo $65,000 $43 62
164 N Union St 0.20mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,516 (+10%) 9mo $199,000 $131 60
14 Yorke St 0.27mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,197 (-13%) 1mo $161,000 $135 57
304 New Market St 0.61mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,310 (-5%) 4mo $186,000 $142 51
207 9th St 0.38mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,562 (+13%) 8mo $230,000 $147 47
264 E Broadway 0.40mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,584 (+15%) 5mo $150,000 $95 46
200 Smith St 0.53mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,212 (-12%) 10mo $140,000 $116 40
115 Chestnut St 0.74mi 3/3.5 (-1) 1,282 (-7%) 8mo $185,000 $144 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.0%
Equity multiple
2.09×
Total profit
$39,716
Equity at exit
$35,268
10-year hold
IRR
27.5%
Equity multiple
3.98×
Total profit
$108,343
Equity at exit
$40,485

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08079

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,181 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$270 /mo · $3,236/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$458
Net cashflow
$718

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,272
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
332 E Broadway Salem, NJ 3.0 2.0 1844 $1,980 $1.07 44d 1 0.22mi
270-272 Grant St Salem, NJ 4.0 1.0 1644 $2,100 $1.28 5d 1 0.49mi
37 Eighth St Salem, NJ 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,850 $1.69 1d 1 0.66mi
23 7th St Unit B Salem, NJ 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 4d 1 0.73mi
695 Salem Quinton Rd Salem, NJ 4.0 1.0 1356 $2,400 $1.77 44d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 113 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 112 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 111 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 110 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 108 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $129,900 Active 107 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $129,900 Active 104 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $129,900 Active 103 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $129,900 Active 102 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $129,900 Active 99 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $129,900 Active 98 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $129,900 Active 97 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $129,900 Active 96 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $129,900 Active 95 DOM
  15. 2026-04-09
    historical
  16. 2026-03-04
    price $129,900
  17. 2026-03-04
    price $129,900
  18. 2026-02-26
    price $139,900
  19. 2026-02-25
    listed $139,900 Active
  20. 2026-02-25
    listed $139,900 Active
  21. 2026-02-09
    listed $149,900 Active
  22. 2006-01-31
    soldstatus $85,000
  23. 2003-01-13
    historical
  24. 2002-06-13
    listed $57,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,236 · $270/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,236 · $270/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 52% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,169
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$3,236
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,094
− Management
−$2,094
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$7,042
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,690
After-tax cash flow
$6,924/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salem City School District
NCES district ID
3414550
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$27,118
Composite
11.51/100
National rank
#9702
State rank
#464 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Salem

Score
61/100
State rank
#462
US rank
#17533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing F Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salem, NJ
County
Salem County · 24,175 people
City population
10,762
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
10,762
Household income
$54,641
Rent vs Own
42.5% rent · 57.5% own
Severe rent burden
663.0

Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,905 people
By 2030
57,351 · -4.3%
By 2040
51,837 · -13.5%
By 2050
46,356 · -22.6%
By 2075
36,452 · -39.2%
By 2100
28,907 · -51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Salem

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 39.6% · R 58.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.1pp toward R · 2008: 3.9pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+12.8 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+3.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.38%
Current HPI
258.0047
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+125.9% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-04 Price Changed $129,900 NJMLS
  • 2026-02-26 Price Changed $139,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $139,900 NJMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $139,900 CJMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2006-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2003-01-13 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-06-13 Listed $57,500 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,236 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…