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27262 Seaside Rd
C- Composite 50.15
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$135,000

27262 Seaside Rd · Cape Charles, VA 23313
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,780 sqft · SingleFamily · 5 Days on market
Built 1754 Poor condition 0.79 ac lot $76/sqft · 63% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Property is AS IS WHERE IS - Tax Map 106A-1-B-1 (rear lot) being sold with dwelling - PRIME SEASIDE LOCATION - 1 acre lot, mature trees, quiet street - Fix Up/Repair/Renovate or Tear Down and start anew. Inside dwelling has useable materials. CAUTION WHEN ENTERING KITCHEN AREA AS FLOORING IS UNSTABLE IN SOME SPOTS. Roof has large hole.

Key facts

  • Picturesque location
  • Modern windows
  • Easy access to cbbt

Tags

INVESTMENT POTENTIALNEW ROOFMODERN WINDOWSSPACIOUS EAT IN KITCHENPICTURESQUE LOCATIONEASY ACCESS TO CBBT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Residential zoning; Fixer condition
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Composition roof; Built with see remarks (additional construction details)
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Storm door(s); Chesapeake Bay frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Flooring: Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Other interior features; Double-pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $94 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (3.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $130k (3.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 1.2% in Cape Charles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#420 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+; Watch: employment C-, housing C-, cost of living D+.
  • Northampton County Public School District (rural): math 36% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #103 of 131 in VA (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 164 units permitted in Northampton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Northampton County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $135k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1754 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $129,951 (3.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1754 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.13%
Cash-on-cash
2.97%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$363,476
List price
$135,000
Delta
-62.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5134 Hortense Ln 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,004 (+13%) 1mo $369,000 $184 59
5120 Hortense Ln 0.19mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,578 (-11%) 7mo $357,000 $226 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
10.3%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$22,247
Equity at exit
$60,702
10-year hold
IRR
12.6%
Equity multiple
2.88×
Total profit
$70,887
Equity at exit
$93,549

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23313

Active inventory
2
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$94

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $187 -5% $140 +0% $94 +5% $47 +10% $0
Rent -10% $-9 -5% $42 +0% $94 +5% $145 +10% $196
Rate -1.0pp $162 -0.5pp $128 base $94 +0.5pp $59 +1.0pp $23

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-02
    status Pending 1017-char remark
  2. 2026-04-27
    listed $135,000 Active 1017-char remark
  3. 2021-05-12
    soldstatus $55,000 338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (338 chars)

    Property is AS IS WHERE IS - Tax Map 106A-1-B-1 (rear lot) being sold with dwelling - PRIME SEASIDE LOCATION - 1 acre lot, mature trees, quiet street - Fix Up/Repair/Renovate or Tear Down and start anew. Inside dwelling has useable materials. CAUTION WHEN ENTERING KITCHEN AREA AS FLOORING IS UNSTABLE IN SOME SPOTS. Roof has large hole.

  4. 2021-03-23
    listed $35,000 338-char remark
    Show marketing remark (338 chars)

    Property is AS IS WHERE IS - Tax Map 106A-1-B-1 (rear lot) being sold with dwelling - PRIME SEASIDE LOCATION - 1 acre lot, mature trees, quiet street - Fix Up/Repair/Renovate or Tear Down and start anew. Inside dwelling has useable materials. CAUTION WHEN ENTERING KITCHEN AREA AS FLOORING IS UNSTABLE IN SOME SPOTS. Roof has large hole.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,594
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,248
− Management
−$1,248
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$1,090
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$262
After-tax cash flow
$1,386/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and renovations to bring it up to a livable condition. Significant structural issues and major repairs are needed to stabilize the home and improve its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exposed framing in kitchen — Structural integrity compromised
  • Major Exposed framing in bath — Structural integrity compromised
  • Major Large hole in roof — Structural integrity compromised
  • Major Exposed framing in exterior — Structural integrity compromised
  • Major Exposed framing in interior walls — Structural integrity compromised
  • Major Exposed framing in windows — Structural integrity compromised
  • Major Exposed framing in foundation/structure — Structural integrity compromised
  • Major Exposed framing in HVAC/mechanicals — Structural integrity compromised

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale New roof — Fixes major structural issue
  • Resale New flooring — Improves living space
  • Resale New windows — Enhances energy efficiency
  • Resale New HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances property's visual appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exposed framing in kitchen · Structural integrity compromised Major $15,000–50,000
Exposed framing in bath · Structural integrity compromised Major $15,000–50,000
Large hole in roof · Structural integrity compromised Major $15,000–50,000
Exposed framing in exterior · Structural integrity compromised Major $15,000–50,000
Exposed framing in interior walls · Structural integrity compromised Major $15,000–50,000
Exposed framing in windows · Structural integrity compromised Major $15,000–50,000
Exposed framing in foundation/structure · Structural integrity compromised Major $15,000–50,000
Exposed framing in HVAC/mechanicals · Structural integrity compromised Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 8 items $120,000–400,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale New roof — Fixes major structural issue
  • Resale New flooring — Improves living space
  • Resale New windows — Enhances energy efficiency
  • Resale New HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances property's visual appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northampton County Public School District
NCES district ID
5102710
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -33.00%
Reading proficiency
62% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$37,253
Composite
40.63/100
National rank
#3687
State rank
#103 of 131 in VA

Livability — Cape Charles

Score
61/100
State rank
#420
US rank
#18001

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing C- Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

No demographic data for this ZIP.

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+285.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-02 Pending ESAR
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $135,000 ESAR
  • 2021-05-12 Sold (MLS) $55,000 ESAR
  • 2021-03-23 Listed $35,000 ESAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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