27262 Seaside Rd · Cape Charles, VA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Property is AS IS WHERE IS - Tax Map 106A-1-B-1 (rear lot) being sold with dwelling - PRIME SEASIDE LOCATION - 1 acre lot, mature trees, quiet street - Fix Up/Repair/Renovate or Tear Down and start anew. Inside dwelling has useable materials. CAUTION WHEN ENTERING KITCHEN AREA AS FLOORING IS UNSTABLE IN SOME SPOTS. Roof has large hole.
Key facts
- Picturesque location
- Modern windows
- Easy access to cbbt
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Residential zoning; Fixer condition
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Composition roof; Built with see remarks (additional construction details)
- Exterior features: Front porch; Storm door(s); Chesapeake Bay frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Other interior features; Double-pane windows
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $94 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (3.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $130k (3.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 1.2% in Cape Charles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#420 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+; Watch: employment C-, housing C-, cost of living D+.
- Northampton County Public School District (rural): math 36% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #103 of 131 in VA (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 164 units permitted in Northampton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Northampton County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $135k implies a 145% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1754 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1754 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.97%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $363,476
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -62.86%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5134 Hortense Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,004 (+13%) | 1mo | $369,000 | $184 | 59 |
| 5120 Hortense Ln | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,578 (-11%) | 7mo | $357,000 | $226 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $22,247
- Equity at exit
- $60,702
- IRR
- 12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.88×
- Total profit
- $70,887
- Equity at exit
- $93,549
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23313
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $94
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $187 | -5% $140 | +0% $94 | +5% $47 | +10% $0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-9 | -5% $42 | +0% $94 | +5% $145 | +10% $196 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $162 | -0.5pp $128 | base $94 | +0.5pp $59 | +1.0pp $23 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-02status Pending 1017-char remark
-
2026-04-27$135,000 Active 1017-char remark
-
2021-05-12soldstatus $55,000 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Property is AS IS WHERE IS - Tax Map 106A-1-B-1 (rear lot) being sold with dwelling - PRIME SEASIDE LOCATION - 1 acre lot, mature trees, quiet street - Fix Up/Repair/Renovate or Tear Down and start anew. Inside dwelling has useable materials. CAUTION WHEN ENTERING KITCHEN AREA AS FLOORING IS UNSTABLE IN SOME SPOTS. Roof has large hole.
-
2021-03-23$35,000 338-char remark
Show marketing remark (338 chars)
Property is AS IS WHERE IS - Tax Map 106A-1-B-1 (rear lot) being sold with dwelling - PRIME SEASIDE LOCATION - 1 acre lot, mature trees, quiet street - Fix Up/Repair/Renovate or Tear Down and start anew. Inside dwelling has useable materials. CAUTION WHEN ENTERING KITCHEN AREA AS FLOORING IS UNSTABLE IN SOME SPOTS. Roof has large hole.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,594
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,248
- − Management
- −$1,248
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$1,090
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$262
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,386/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and renovations to bring it up to a livable condition. Significant structural issues and major repairs are needed to stabilize the home and improve its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exposed framing in kitchen — Structural integrity compromised
- Major Exposed framing in bath — Structural integrity compromised
- Major Large hole in roof — Structural integrity compromised
- Major Exposed framing in exterior — Structural integrity compromised
- Major Exposed framing in interior walls — Structural integrity compromised
- Major Exposed framing in windows — Structural integrity compromised
- Major Exposed framing in foundation/structure — Structural integrity compromised
- Major Exposed framing in HVAC/mechanicals — Structural integrity compromised
Value-add opportunities
- Resale New roof — Fixes major structural issue
- Resale New flooring — Improves living space
- Resale New windows — Enhances energy efficiency
- Resale New HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances property's visual appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exposed framing in kitchen · Structural integrity compromised | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exposed framing in bath · Structural integrity compromised | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Large hole in roof · Structural integrity compromised | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exposed framing in exterior · Structural integrity compromised | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exposed framing in interior walls · Structural integrity compromised | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exposed framing in windows · Structural integrity compromised | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exposed framing in foundation/structure · Structural integrity compromised | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Exposed framing in HVAC/mechanicals · Structural integrity compromised | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 8 items | $120,000–400,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale New roof — Fixes major structural issue ↑
- Resale New flooring — Improves living space ↑
- Resale New windows — Enhances energy efficiency ↑
- Resale New HVAC system — Improves comfort and energy efficiency ↑
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances property's visual appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northampton County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102710
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -33.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,253
- Composite
- 40.63/100
- National rank
- #3687
- State rank
- #103 of 131 in VA
Livability — Cape Charles
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #420
- US rank
- #18001
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
No demographic data for this ZIP.
Market trends
- HPI YoY
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- Current HPI
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- Rent YoY
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- Metro
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- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+285.7% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-02 Pending — ESAR
- 2026-04-27 Listed $135,000 ESAR
- 2021-05-12 Sold (MLS) $55,000 ESAR
- 2021-03-23 Listed $35,000 ESAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…