8 Salt Creek Rd · Garden City, GA 31405

$165,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,297 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market

Built 1969 0.99 ac lot Est $210k · 21% under

---

Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +22.5/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +7.2/10.0
• 1% rule +6.1/10.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.3/5.0
• Schools +2.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Asset to be sold under a sealed bid process. Contact agent for bid package and access. Home requires gut and complete renovation.

Key facts

• 0.99 acre lot
• Garage
• Built 1969

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached 1-car garage
• Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; Attached property with no common walls; Single-story
• Construction: Brick construction; Asphalt roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Built on lot with interior placement
• Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Lagoon view

Interior

• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling; Other heating; No central air reported
• Interior features: Electric water heater
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
• Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.2% in Garden City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 57/100 on livability (#477 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
• Savannah-Chatham County (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #134 of 174 in GA (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 276 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,694 units permitted in Chatham County in 2024 (973 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Chatham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $45k; list at $165k implies a 267% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $165,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.11% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.32%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.24%
• DSCR: 1.32
• GRM: 7.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $210,114
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
13 Tower Dr	0.35mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,436 (+11%)	12mo	$225,000	$157	46
130 Salt Creek Rd	0.67mi	3/2.0	1,411 (+9%)	14mo	$228,000	$162	38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -8.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.69×
• Total profit: $-14,305
• Equity at exit: $24,602

10-year hold

• IRR: -3.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.78×
• Total profit: $-10,145
• Equity at exit: $14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 31405

• Home prices YoY: -32.4%
• Rents YoY: -0.7%
• Active inventory: 276
• Price-to-rent: 7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,830 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$865
• Tax from tax record: −$233 /mo · $2,795/yr
• Insurance: −$69
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$384
• Net cashflow: $279

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,477

Max offer price $165,000

Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $372	-5% $325	+0% $279	+5% $232	+10% $185
Rent	-10% $134	-5% $206	+0% $279	+5% $351	+10% $423
Rate	-1.0pp $362	-0.5pp $321	base $279	+0.5pp $236	+1.0pp $192

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $41,250
• Closing costs: $4,950
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
4932 Pineland Dr Savannah, GA	2.0	2.0	1100	$1,300	$1.18	45d	1	0.43mi
100 Town Center Dr Savannah, GA	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1159	$2,280	$1.97	15d	30	1.34mi
175 Salt Landing Cir Savannah, GA	3.0	2.0	1449	$2,300	$1.59	45d	1	1.49mi

Listing history 8 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $165,000 Active 10 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $165,000 Active 7 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $165,000 Active 6 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $165,000 Active 5 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $165,000 Active 4 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $165,000 Active 2 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   remarks 129-char remark
8. 2026-06-13
   listed $165,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,795 · $233/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,795 · $233/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,960
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,243
• − Property taxes: −$2,795
• − Insurance: −$825
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,757
• − Management: −$1,757
• − Depreciation: −$4,800
• Taxable income: $783
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$188
• After-tax cash flow: $3,157/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Savannah-Chatham County
• NCES district ID: 1301020
• Math proficiency: 20% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 26% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $47,443
• Composite: 20.14/100
• National rank: #8639
• State rank: #134 of 174 in GA

Livability — Garden City

• Score: 57/100
• State rank: #477
• US rank: #22346

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Garden City, GA
• County: Chatham County · 271,602 people
• City population: 11,791
• Metro: Savannah, GA
• Population (ZIP): 40,764
• Household income: $65,710
• Rent vs Own: 47.9% rent · 52.1% own
• Severe rent burden: 1712.0

Population outlook (Chatham County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 332,584 people
• By 2030: 355,508 · +6.9%
• By 2040: 400,030 · +20.3%
• By 2050: 443,019 · +33.2%
• By 2075: 534,579 · +60.7%
• By 2100: 583,863 · +75.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 47% White 38% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Italian 1% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada, China, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chatham

• 2024 margin: D (+18.0) · D 58.6% · R 40.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.6pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 18.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+18.0 2020: D+18.8 2016: D+14.5 2012: D+12.0 2008: D+14.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -147.33%
• Current HPI: 307.4442
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.66%
• Metro: Savannah, GA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

+266.7% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-11 Listed $165,000 Hive MLS
• 1990-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,795 · +50.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.