1634 Farmington Ave #2 · Bristol, CT
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$169,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Farmington Village - a well-maintained condominium community offering comfortable, single-level living at an affordable price point. This charming one-bedroom, one-bath unit on the 2nd floor features 704 sq ft of thoughtfully laid-out living space. The open layout connects the living room, dining area, and kitchen, creating a warm and functional flow throughout. Enjoy the ease of low-maintenance living with an HOA fee of just $238/month covering water, sewer, grounds maintenance, snow removal, trash pickup, road maintenance, and insurance - leaving you more time for what matters most. Additional highlights include a dedicated carport space, pet-friendly community (1 dog or 2 cats
Key facts
- $238 HOA
- Garage
- Built 1964
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with restrictions (typically 1 dog or 2 cats; confirm)
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee (includes trash, grounds maintenance, snow removal, water, sewer, property management, road maintenance, insurance); Has homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric domestic hot water
- Home design: Condominium (part of Farmington Village); Single-story unit
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Range/oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (single-level unit)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heat
- Interior features: Wall AC unit
- Laundry & utility: No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-106 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $150k (11.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $163k (3.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (11.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.3% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#21 in CT, #1,585 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute F.
- Farmington School District (suburban): math 65% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #18 of 153 in CT (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.00%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-33,976
- Equity at exit
- $25,198
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-37,624
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06085
- Home prices YoY
- -28.7%
- Active inventory
- 16
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,626 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$886
- Tax from tax record
- −$129 /mo · $1,552/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$238
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$341
- Net cashflow
- $-106
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,250
- Closing costs
- $5,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Lakeshore Dr Unit 8B-1 Farmington, CT | — | 1.0 | 600 | $1,295 | $2.16 | 19d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2 Brickyard Rd Unit 3B Farmington, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,550 | $2.14 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 7 Brickyard Rd Unit D Farmington, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,900 | $2.62 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5 Grandview Dr Unit 15C Farmington, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,650 | $2.28 | 11d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 25 Grandview Dr Farmington, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,850 | $2.55 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1254 Farmington Ave Unit C Farmington, CT | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $1,725 | $2.38 | 11d | 1 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $238 · $2,856/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrashlandscapingsnow removal
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $169,000 Under Contract 8 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $169,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $169,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $169,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $169,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $169,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-29$169,000 Active
-
2026-05-28historical $169,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,552 · $129/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,584 · $215/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,032/yr (+$86/mo · 66.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,511
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,467
- − Property taxes
- −$1,552
- − Insurance
- −$1,642
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,561
- − Management
- −$1,561
- − HOA
- −$2,856
- − Depreciation
- −$4,916
- Taxable loss
- −$4,045
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$971
- After-tax cash flow
- $-301/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Farmington School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901560
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $87,791
- Composite
- 63.76/100
- National rank
- #598
- State rank
- #18 of 153 in CT
Livability — Bristol
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #21
- US rank
- #1585
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 61,684
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,521
Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 1,063,519
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Asian 19% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 5% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 71% English-only · Other Indo-European 10% Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Capitol
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -76.01%
- Current HPI
- 189.1003
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
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| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $169,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-05-28 Coming Soon $169,000 Smart MLS
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,552 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…