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36934 Beth Ave
B Composite 72.43
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$132,000

36934 Beth Ave · Zephyrhills West, FL 33542
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Manufactured public records · 266 Days on market
Built 1977 5,600 sqft lot Est $180k · 27% under $36/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Motivated Seller! Owner financing is available. Looking for a home to get away from the northern winters? Step into this 2 bedroom, 2 bath home located in an active 55+ community. The home has vinyl siding, a metal roof-over and the A/C unit was installed in 2017. Walking into the home, the first room could be used as an office, craft room or den. The spacious living room has several windows that offer lots of natural light, and has Berber carpeting . The kitchen and dining area are open, for effortless socializing and entertaining. The kitchen, , is equipped with refrigerator, dishwasher, stove, and ample cabinetry, ensuring both functionality and style. The primary bedroom offers a peac

Key facts

  • Ample cabinetry
  • Metal roof-over
  • A/c unit installed

Tags

VINYL SIDINGMETAL ROOF-OVERA/C UNIT INSTALLEDOPEN KITCHEN DINING AREAAMPLE CABINETRYENSUITE BATHROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lease restrictions apply
  • HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly fee $36.25; annual fee $435); HOA includes security; Association amenities: clubhouse, pool, spa/hot tub, tennis courts, pickleball courts, shuffleboard, golf course, dog park; Senior community; Pets allowed (cats and dogs); Golf carts permitted; Deed restrictions

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 2 spaces
  • Security: Community security
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Water connected; Electricity connected; Cable connected; Phone available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story; Faces north; Completed condition
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Roof over; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a 0.13-acre lot (approx. 56 x 100)
  • Exterior features: Lighting; Rain gutters; Exterior storage; Paved lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Thermostat; Walk-in closets; Window treatments; Skylight(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Other laundry features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $132k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $132k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 7.8% in Zephyrhills West — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#772 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.6%/yr); 294 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $913 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 266 days — a 12% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $13k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,160 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 266 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
9.97%
Cash-on-cash
13.15%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$179,712
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5350 Amanda St 0.07mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,268 (+2%) 2mo $195,000 $154 87
5404 Waters St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,146 (-8%) 3mo $146,000 $127 79
5421 Powhattan St 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,232 (-1%) 3mo $145,000 $118 73
36946 Grace Ave 0.05mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,063 (-15%) 0mo $135,000 $127 66
5654 Arrowhead Dr 0.32mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,144 (-8%) 1mo $165,000 $144 65
36847 Jodi Ave 0.38mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,152 (-8%) 2mo $194,500 $169 63
36743 Tara Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,152 (-8%) 0mo $195,000 $169 62
5339 Montego Dr 0.67mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (0%) 4mo $160,000 $128 60
36946 Tara Ave 0.48mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,144 (-8%) 1mo $197,000 $172 58
36615 Dina Dr 0.47mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,360 (+9%) 3mo $160,000 $118 55
37303 Kinkaid Dr 0.64mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,120 (-10%) 0mo $108,750 $97 48
5823 Navaho Ct 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,410 (+13%) 3mo $210,000 $149 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.5%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-8,557
Equity at exit
$19,682
10-year hold
IRR
-1.8%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-3,733
Equity at exit
$11,413

Cash invested: $36,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33542

Home prices YoY
-20.6%
Rents YoY
-3.6%
Active inventory
294
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,748 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$692
Tax from tax record
$193 /mo · $2,314/yr
Insurance
$55
Flood insurance flood zone
−$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
HOA
$36
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$367
Net cashflow
$280

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,394
Max offer price $132,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $354 -5% $317 +0% $280 +5% $242 +10% $205
Rent -10% $142 -5% $211 +0% $280 +5% $349 +10% $418
Rate -1.0pp $346 -0.5pp $313 base $280 +0.5pp $245 +1.0pp $211

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,000
Closing costs
$3,960
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
36801 Camelia Ct Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 864 $1,350 $1.56 24d 1 0.27mi
5521 Barbara St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,800 $1.70 24d 1 0.42mi
36321 Stonewood Ln #103 Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 987 $1,525 $1.55 24d 1 0.87mi
5914 Willow Ridge Dr #101 Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 987 $1,500 $1.52 24d 1 0.87mi
36243 Lake Chase Blvd #203 Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.0 1278 $1,775 $1.39 24d 1 0.90mi
37902 7th Ave Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 1.0 900 $1,775 $1.97 24d 1 0.99mi
36106 Lake Chase Blvd #102 Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.0 1170 $1,650 $1.41 5d 1 1.00mi
36106 Lake Chase Blvd Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.0 1325 $1,700 $1.28 24d 1 1.00mi
37812 15th Ave Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,850 $1.85 24d 1 1.00mi
35940 Inspiration Dr Zephyrhills, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1034 $1,988 $1.92 2d 21 1.02mi
6302 Abbott Station Dr Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 1.0–2.5 855 $1,999 $2.34 2d 142 1.04mi
5237 1st St Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 1.0 964 $1,700 $1.76 24d 1 1.08mi
5143 1st St Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.0 1436 $1,750 $1.22 24d 1 1.09mi
36009 Deer Creek Dr #104 Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 1029 $1,450 $1.41 24d 1 1.11mi
36015 Deer Creek Dr #202 Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 1062 $1,450 $1.37 24d 1 1.12mi
6262 Maisie Rd Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.5 1363 $1,700 $1.25 24d 1 1.18mi
4639 Coral St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 1056 $1,250 $1.18 24d 1 1.18mi
37819 Alissa Dr Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 864 $1,450 $1.68 18d 1 1.20mi
6335 Maisie Rd Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.5 1363 $1,650 $1.21 21d 1 1.21mi
6246 Timberly Ln Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.5 1363 $1,900 $1.39 24d 1 1.21mi
37661 Aaralyn Rd Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.5 1363 $1,800 $1.32 24d 1 1.22mi
37732 Cecil Ln Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,800 $1.73 24d 1 1.28mi
37925 Date Palm Dr Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 1.5 720 $1,300 $1.81 24d 1 1.29mi
5441 6th St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.0 1014 $1,650 $1.63 24d 1 1.29mi
6633 Foxmoor Dr Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 24d 1 1.32mi
36095 Carriage Pine Ct Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.0 1461 $1,990 $1.36 24d 1 1.39mi
6195 Daerr Ridge St Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.5 1386 $2,000 $1.44 18d 1 1.40mi
4940 4th St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 2.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 24d 1 1.45mi
6773 Branham Mill Ct Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.0 1454 $1,950 $1.34 24d 1 1.45mi
6136 Pina Colada St Zephyrhills, FL 3.0 2.5 1386 $2,100 $1.52 13d 1 1.47mi
4111 Ryals Rd Zephyrhills, FL 4.0 3.0 1216 $2,195 $1.81 4d 1 1.47mi
5022 5th St Zephyrhills, FL 2.0 1.5 974 $1,595 $1.64 24d 1 1.47mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$36 · $432/yr

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $132,000 Active 266 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $132,000 Active 265 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $132,000 Active 264 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $132,000 Active 263 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $132,000 Active 261 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $132,000 Active 257 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $132,000 Active 256 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $132,000 Active 255 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $132,000 Active 252 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $132,000 Active 251 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $132,000 Active 250 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $132,000 Active 249 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $132,000 Active 248 DOM
  14. 2026-02-17
    price $132,000
  15. 2025-12-03
    price $135,000
  16. 2025-10-03
    status Active
  17. 2025-08-27
    status Pending
  18. 2025-08-18
    listed $145,000 Active
  19. 2024-03-07
    listed $145,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,314 · $193/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,314 · $193/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone A · 47% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,977
− Mortgage interest
−$7,394
− Property taxes
−$2,314
− Insurance
−$2,162
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,678
− Management
−$1,678
− HOA
−$432
− Depreciation
−$3,840
Taxable income
$1,478
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$355
After-tax cash flow
$3,002/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pasco
NCES district ID
1201530
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$45,039
Composite
43.14/100
National rank
#3074
State rank
#32 of 73 in FL

Livability — Zephyrhills West

Score
61/100
State rank
#772
US rank
#17403

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Zephyrhills West, FL
County
Pasco County · 524,098 people
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,612
Household income
$49,316
Rent vs Own
27.5% rent · 72.5% own
Severe rent burden
831.0

Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
570,045 people
By 2030
605,844 · +6.3%
By 2040
674,806 · +18.4%
By 2050
736,022 · +29.1%
By 2075
862,900 · +51.4%
By 2100
906,364 · +59.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pasco

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -81.25%
Current HPI
313.3993
Rent YoY
▼ -3.56%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-17 Price Changed $132,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-03 Price Changed $135,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-03 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-27 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-18 Listed $145,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-07 Listed $145,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,314 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…