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738 Bryant Landing Rd
C+ Composite 62.33
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$125,000

738 Bryant Landing Rd · Wewahitchka, FL 32465
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured public records · 245 Days on market
Built 1992 0.57 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NICE 3BD/2BA MOBILE HOME LOCATED IN THE BRYANT LANDING COMMUNITY! This is a wonderful location just a few hundred yards from the Chipola River with excellent fishing and hunting in the area! Relax on your large open back deck or close it in as a screen porch or sun room. Really nice ramp to launch your boat for freshwater fishing second to none! This long lot extends into the river low lands with several species of wild game for your hunting pleasure. The Chipola River merges with the Apalachicola River just a short distance from the property and allows you to boat all the way to the Gulf of Mexico. Wonderfully situated only minutes from the coast. .. .enjoy beautiful beaches, saltwater fishing and the best fresh seafood around! NO HOA FEES, but community water & sewer are $200 per year. Take a look today and make an offer!

Key facts

  • Chipola river
  • Two full bathrooms
  • Laundry hookups

Tags

BRYANT'S LANDING COMMUNITYCHIPOLA RIVERFUNCTIONAL LIVING KITCHEN AREASPLIT-BEDROOM FLOORPLANTWO FULL BATHROOMSLAUNDRY HOOKUPS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present; Boat facilities; Short-term rentals allowed

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public sewer
  • Home design: Double wide manufactured home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Boat slip; Deck; Shed(s); Paved lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom (first level); Primary bedroom (first level)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Living room; Primary bedroom

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (4.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.5% in Wewahitchka — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#386 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gulf (rural): math 47% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #49 of 73 in FL (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 167 active listings in the ZIP; 302 units permitted in Gulf County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Gulf County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 245 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $57k; list at $125k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 245 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
8.01%
Cash-on-cash
6.12%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$35,520
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
712 Bryant Landing Rd 0.03mi 2/1.0 (-1) 942 (-2%) 5mo $35,000 $37 82

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.7%
Equity multiple
3.27×
Total profit
$79,403
Equity at exit
$112,610
10-year hold
IRR
25.0%
Equity multiple
7.42×
Total profit
$224,812
Equity at exit
$242,848

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32465

Home prices YoY
25.5%
Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $740/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$178

Break-even live

Break-even rent $974
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $249 -5% $214 +0% $178 +5% $143 +10% $108
Rent -10% $84 -5% $131 +0% $178 +5% $226 +10% $273
Rate -1.0pp $241 -0.5pp $210 base $178 +0.5pp $146 +1.0pp $113

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $125,000 Active 245 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $125,000 Active 244 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $125,000 Active 243 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $125,000 Active 242 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $125,000 Active 241 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $125,000 Active 239 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $125,000 Active 238 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $125,000 Active 236 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $125,000 Active 235 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $125,000 Active 234 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $125,000 Active 233 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $125,000 Active 230 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $125,000 Active 228 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 227 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 226 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,000 Active 225 DOM
  17. 2026-02-24
    price $125,000
  18. 2025-10-19
    listed $129,000 Active
  19. 2020-06-17
    soldstatus $57,000
  20. 2020-06-16
    soldstatus $57,000 841-char remark
    Show marketing remark (841 chars)

    NICE 3BD/2BA MOBILE HOME LOCATED IN THE BRYANT LANDING COMMUNITY! This is a wonderful location just a few hundred yards from the Chipola River with excellent fishing and hunting in the area! Relax on your large open back deck or close it in as a screen porch or sun room. Really nice ramp to launch your boat for freshwater fishing second to none! This long lot extends into the river low lands with several species of wild game for your hunting pleasure. The Chipola River merges with the Apalachicola River just a short distance from the property and allows you to boat all the way to the Gulf of Mexico. Wonderfully situated only minutes from the coast. .. .enjoy beautiful beaches, saltwater fishing and the best fresh seafood around! NO HOA FEES, but community water & sewer are $200 per year. Take a look today and make an offer!

  21. 2019-08-28
    listed $64,900 841-char remark
    Show marketing remark (841 chars)

    NICE 3BD/2BA MOBILE HOME LOCATED IN THE BRYANT LANDING COMMUNITY! This is a wonderful location just a few hundred yards from the Chipola River with excellent fishing and hunting in the area! Relax on your large open back deck or close it in as a screen porch or sun room. Really nice ramp to launch your boat for freshwater fishing second to none! This long lot extends into the river low lands with several species of wild game for your hunting pleasure. The Chipola River merges with the Apalachicola River just a short distance from the property and allows you to boat all the way to the Gulf of Mexico. Wonderfully situated only minutes from the coast. .. .enjoy beautiful beaches, saltwater fishing and the best fresh seafood around! NO HOA FEES, but community water & sewer are $200 per year. Take a look today and make an offer!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$740 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,038 · $86/mo
Expected delta
+$297/yr (+$25/mo · 40.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,396
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$740
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,152
− Management
−$1,152
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$89
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$21
After-tax cash flow
$2,120/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gulf
NCES district ID
1200690
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,047
Composite
38.63/100
National rank
#4154
State rank
#49 of 73 in FL

Livability — Wewahitchka

Score
71/100
State rank
#386
US rank
#6847

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,940

Population outlook (Gulf County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,677 people
By 2030
15,538 · -0.9%
By 2040
15,386 · -1.9%
By 2050
15,043 · -4.0%
By 2075
13,793 · -12.0%
By 2100
10,793 · -31.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Gulf

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.2) · D 22.6% · R 76.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.9pp toward R · 2008: -39.3pp · 2024: -54.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.2 2020: R+50.6 2016: R+49.5 2012: R+42.0 2008: R+39.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 85.74%
Current HPI
421.7879
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+92.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-24 Price Changed $125,000 CPARMLS
  • 2025-10-19 Listed $129,000 CPARMLS
  • 2020-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
  • 2020-06-16 Sold (MLS) $57,000 RAFGC
  • 2019-08-28 Listed $64,900 RAFGC

Property tax history

+9.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $740 · -7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…