801 W Patton Ave · Montgomery, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 3 bedroom 1 bath home great for a 1st time home buyer or investor looking for a great deal. This home has a formal living room and dining room with a den, must see to appreciate all it has to offer, schedule your showing before it' gone.
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1953
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Brick construction; Slab foundation; City lot with approximately 113 x 60 dimensions
- Construction: Built (year per public records); Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Front porch; Outdoor storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the first floor
- Flooring: Wood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
- Interior features: Wood flooring; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Cap rate 23.5% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
- Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 59% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 61.44%
- DSCR
- 3.73
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $59,015
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3920 Oak St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,625 (+2%) | 4mo | $110,000 | $68 | 84 |
| 901 National St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,554 (-3%) | 15mo | $102,000 | $66 | 64 |
| 620 Clover Hill Dr | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,376 (-14%) | 10mo | $15,000 | $11 | 62 |
| 4016 Berwick Dr | 0.22mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,380 (-14%) | 10mo | $51,000 | $37 | 52 |
| 308 National St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,514 (-5%) | 21mo | $52,000 | $34 | 42 |
| 124 National St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,474 (-8%) | 19mo | $37,850 | $26 | 38 |
| 204 National St | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,728 (+8%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $81 | 36 |
| 4510 Rosa Parks Ave | 0.60mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,772 (+11%) | 16mo | $73,435 | $41 | 35 |
| 3472 Rosa L Parks Ave | 0.65mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,364 (-14%) | 8mo | $34,000 | $25 | 34 |
| 313 W Patton Ave | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,360 (-15%) | 22mo | $42,001 | $31 | 29 |
| 3945 S Court St | 0.74mi | 3/3.0 | 1,400 (-12%) | 19mo | $105,000 | $75 | 21 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $10,632
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 27.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.43×
- Total profit
- $34,080
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36105
- Home prices YoY
- -32.6%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,283 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$14 /mo · $165/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $290
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $319 | -5% $304 | +0% $290 | +5% $276 | +10% $262 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $189 | -5% $240 | +0% $290 | +5% $341 | +10% $392 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $315 | -0.5pp $303 | base $290 | +0.5pp $277 | +1.0pp $264 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4037 Oak St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 370 Collinwood Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,000 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 3616 Gaston Ave Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1629 | $1,300 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 3577 Whiting Ave Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1269 | $1,150 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4148 Edgar D Nixon Ave Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1208 | $1,200 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3220 Doris Cir Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1139 | $1,100 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3544 Southmont Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1774 | $1,300 | $0.73 | 21d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2655 W Edgemont Ave Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1743 | $875 | $0.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 3608 Wilmington Rd Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1160 | $950 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3225 McElvy St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1258 | $1,350 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2654 Rutland St Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,075 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3515 Norman Bridge Rd Unit A Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,150 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3304 Gilmer Ave Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2009 | $1,400 | $0.70 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 3338 S Hull St Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1311 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 21d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 548 Winston Dr Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1396 | $1,000 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 139 Mount Vernon Dr Unit A Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $1,000 | $0.59 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 105 Arlington Rd Unit B Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $925 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3543 Berkley Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2067 | $1,575 | $0.76 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3737 Wesley Dr Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,280 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3386 Lexington Rd Unit B Montgomery, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1950 | $900 | $0.46 | 21d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3701 Wesley Dr Unit 3737 Montgomery, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,280 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3720 Stanley Dr Montgomery, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1719 | $1,650 | $0.96 | 21d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-31status $50,000 Pending 2 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $50,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-26$50,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $165 · $14/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $205 · $17/mo
- Expected delta
- +$40/yr (+$3/mo · 24.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,395
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$165
- − Insurance
- −$5,368
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,232
- − Management
- −$1,232
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $3,143
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$754
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,728/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montgomery County
- NCES district ID
- 0102430
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -21.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,902
- Composite
- 17.24/100
- National rank
- #9093
- State rank
- #106 of 129 in AL
Livability — Montgomery
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #13416
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montgomery, AL
- County
- Montgomery County · 190,016 people
- City population
- 175,913
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,207
- Household income
- $41,486
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 679.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 224,008 people
- By 2030
- 221,460 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 214,179 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 204,912 · -8.5%
- By 2075
- 177,821 · -20.6%
- By 2100
- 145,134 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -31.17%
- Current HPI
- 64.4673
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Montgomery, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $50,000 MAAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…