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208 W Jay St
D+ Composite 47.63
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +6.8/10.0
  • DSCR +5.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$104,000

208 W Jay St · Dunkirk, IN 47336
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,166 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1916 3,920 sqft lot $89/sqft · 11% above area Est $94k · 11% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step into this charming, move-in-ready 2-bedroom home that has been thoughtfully updated throughout. Recent improvements include new flooring, updated windows, durable vinyl siding, a high-efficiency gas furnace, water heater, and an upgraded electrical panel for added peace of mind. The spacious great room offers plenty of room for relaxing or entertaining, making it the perfect gathering space for family and friends. With its modern updates and inviting layout, this home is ready for you to settle in and enjoy. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a beautifully refreshed home with all the major updates already completed!

Key facts

  • Durable vinyl siding
  • Spacious great room
  • Updated windows

Tags

NEW FLOORINGUPDATED WINDOWSDURABLE VINYL SIDINGHIGH-EFFICIENCY GAS FURNACEUPGRADED ELECTRICAL PANELSPACIOUS GREAT ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $104k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($829/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (4.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (4.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#404 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Jay School Corporation (rural): math 38% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #175 of 301 in IN (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: West Jay Elementary (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #550 of 994 statewide, top 57%, 249 students, 75% FRL); Jay County Jr/Sr High School (math 34% / reading 41%, grade F, #245 of 369 statewide, top 67%, 1,242 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 44% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 19 units permitted in Jay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($719 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.6% local appreciation)).
  • Jay County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($101k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $85k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $99,722 (4.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.96%
Cap rate
7.09%
Cash-on-cash
2.85%
DSCR
1.13
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$93,917
List price
$104,000
Delta
10.74%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
324 W Jay St 0.09mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,038 (-11%) 2mo $163,000 $157 71
141 Highland Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 1,165 (-0%) 4mo $104,000 $89 68
434 N Main St 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,146 (-2%) 3mo $91,000 $79 67
201 S Meridian St 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,312 (+12%) 5mo $125,000 $95 62
922 S Main St 0.31mi 2/1.0 1,268 (+9%) 10mo $55,500 $44 62
218 Moore Ave 0.30mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,188 (+2%) 17mo $135,000 $114 62
202 Shadyside St 0.68mi 2/1.0 1,224 (+5%) 1mo $142,500 $116 59
702 S Franklin St 0.13mi 2/2.0 1,010 (-13%) 11mo $135,000 $134 58
235 Moore Ave 0.33mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,075 (-8%) 14mo $163,000 $152 52
631 N Hickory St 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,274 (+9%) 9mo $142,000 $111 41
343 E Ohio St 0.68mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,267 (+9%) 13mo $100,000 $79 38
804 N Main St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,225 (+5%) 19mo $112,500 $92 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
1.70×
Total profit
$20,508
Equity at exit
$50,555
10-year hold
IRR
13.6%
Equity multiple
3.15×
Total profit
$62,583
Equity at exit
$80,999

Cash invested: $29,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47336

Home prices YoY
1.6%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$997 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$545
Tax est. 1.5%
$130 /mo · $1,560/yr
Insurance
$43
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$209
Net cashflow
$69

Break-even live

Break-even rent $910
Max offer price $104,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $141 -5% $105 +0% $69 +5% $33 +10% $-3
Rent -10% $-10 -5% $30 +0% $69 +5% $108 +10% $148
Rate -1.0pp $121 -0.5pp $96 base $69 +0.5pp $42 +1.0pp $15

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,000
Closing costs
$3,120
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    statusdays on market $104,000 Pending 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $104,000 Active 57 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $104,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $104,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-05
    days on market $104,000 Active 53 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $104,000 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $104,000 Active 50 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $104,000 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $104,000 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $104,000 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-04-30
    price $104,000 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Step into this charming, move-in-ready 2-bedroom home that has been thoughtfully updated throughout. Recent improvements include new flooring, updated windows, durable vinyl siding, a high-efficiency gas furnace, water heater, and an upgraded electrical panel for added peace of mind. The spacious great room offers plenty of room for relaxing or entertaining, making it the perfect gathering space for family and friends. With its modern updates and inviting layout, this home is ready for you to settle in and enjoy. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a beautifully refreshed home with all the major updates already completed!

  12. 2026-04-13
    listed $109,000 Active 634-char remark
    Show marketing remark (634 chars)

    Step into this charming, move-in-ready 2-bedroom home that has been thoughtfully updated throughout. Recent improvements include new flooring, updated windows, durable vinyl siding, a high-efficiency gas furnace, water heater, and an upgraded electrical panel for added peace of mind. The spacious great room offers plenty of room for relaxing or entertaining, making it the perfect gathering space for family and friends. With its modern updates and inviting layout, this home is ready for you to settle in and enjoy. Don’t miss this opportunity to own a beautifully refreshed home with all the major updates already completed!

  13. 2025-01-09
    soldstatus $85,000 Closed 240-char remark
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Ready to move into - refreshed 2 bedroom home! This home features many new updates including flooring, windows, vinyl siding, high efficiency gas furnace, water heater, fuse panel, etc. The large great room has plenty of room for gathering.

  14. 2025-01-09
    soldstatus $85,000 Closed
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Ready to move into - refreshed 2 bedroom home! This home features many new updates including flooring, windows, vinyl siding, high efficiency gas furnace, water heater, fuse panel, etc. The large great room has plenty of room for gathering.

  15. 2024-11-25
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Ready to move into - refreshed 2 bedroom home! This home features many new updates including flooring, windows, vinyl siding, high efficiency gas furnace, water heater, fuse panel, etc. The large great room has plenty of room for gathering.

  16. 2024-11-25
    status Pending 240-char remark
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Ready to move into - refreshed 2 bedroom home! This home features many new updates including flooring, windows, vinyl siding, high efficiency gas furnace, water heater, fuse panel, etc. The large great room has plenty of room for gathering.

  17. 2024-11-16
    status Active 240-char remark
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Ready to move into - refreshed 2 bedroom home! This home features many new updates including flooring, windows, vinyl siding, high efficiency gas furnace, water heater, fuse panel, etc. The large great room has plenty of room for gathering.

  18. 2024-11-16
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Ready to move into - refreshed 2 bedroom home! This home features many new updates including flooring, windows, vinyl siding, high efficiency gas furnace, water heater, fuse panel, etc. The large great room has plenty of room for gathering.

  19. 2024-11-01
    status Pending 240-char remark
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Ready to move into - refreshed 2 bedroom home! This home features many new updates including flooring, windows, vinyl siding, high efficiency gas furnace, water heater, fuse panel, etc. The large great room has plenty of room for gathering.

  20. 2024-11-01
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Ready to move into - refreshed 2 bedroom home! This home features many new updates including flooring, windows, vinyl siding, high efficiency gas furnace, water heater, fuse panel, etc. The large great room has plenty of room for gathering.

  21. 2024-10-31
    listed $89,900 Active 240-char remark
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Ready to move into - refreshed 2 bedroom home! This home features many new updates including flooring, windows, vinyl siding, high efficiency gas furnace, water heater, fuse panel, etc. The large great room has plenty of room for gathering.

  22. 2024-10-31
    listed $89,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (240 chars)

    Ready to move into - refreshed 2 bedroom home! This home features many new updates including flooring, windows, vinyl siding, high efficiency gas furnace, water heater, fuse panel, etc. The large great room has plenty of room for gathering.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,967
− Mortgage interest
−$5,826
− Property taxes
−$1,560
− Insurance
−$520
− Repairs & maintenance
−$957
− Management
−$957
− Depreciation
−$3,025
Taxable loss
−$879
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$211
After-tax cash flow
$1,040/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jay School Corporation
NCES district ID
1804980
Math proficiency
38% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$40,841
Composite
31.56/100
National rank
#5954
State rank
#175 of 301 in IN

Livability — Dunkirk

Score
64/100
State rank
#404
US rank
#14764

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dunkirk, IN
Population (ZIP)
2,793

Population outlook (Jay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,586 people
By 2030
20,155 · -2.1%
By 2040
19,274 · -6.4%
By 2050
18,203 · -11.6%
By 2075
15,062 · -26.8%
By 2100
10,857 · -47.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 4% Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jay

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.2) · D 21.6% · R 76.7% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-47.3pp toward R · 2008: -7.8pp · 2024: -55.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.2 2020: R+52.4 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+20.0 2008: R+7.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.64%
Current HPI
238.768
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15.7% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $104,000 IRMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $109,000 IRMLS
  • 2025-01-09 Sold (MLS) $85,000 IRMLS
  • 2025-01-09 Sold (MLS) $85,000 RRELMS
  • 2024-11-25 Pending IRMLS
  • 2024-11-25 Pending RRELMS
  • 2024-11-16 Relisted RRELMS
  • 2024-11-16 Relisted IRMLS
  • 2024-11-01 Pending RRELMS
  • 2024-11-01 Pending IRMLS
  • 2024-10-31 Listed $89,900 RRELMS
  • 2024-10-31 Listed $89,900 IRMLS

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $140 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…