Triplex
54 Groshon Ave · Yonkers, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +6.7/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$850,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
3-family home in Yonkers featuring 10 bedrooms and 3 bathrooms. Spacious units; finished basement with 2 bedrooms. Property needs work.
Key facts
- 2,178 sq ft lot
- Built 1898
- Listed 17 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $850k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($28k/yr) — positive. Per door: $780/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $850k).
- Recommended offer: $837k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 5.3% in Yonkers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#528 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A, commute B; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Yonkers City School District (suburban): math 41% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #413 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 183 active listings in the ZIP; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $9,244/mo this rent would consume 171% of the median local household income ($65k/yr) (locally 6045% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $26k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $238k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($837k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $140k; list at $850k implies a 507% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.80%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $835,968
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Ludlow St | 0.25mi | 7/3.0 (-1) | 2,446 (-9%) | 5mo | $760,000 | $311 | 64 |
| 156 Beech St | 0.49mi | 8/3.0 | 2,526 (-6%) | 8mo | $825,000 | $327 | 61 |
| 157 Waverly St | 0.35mi | 9/3.0 (+1) | 2,315 (-14%) | 11mo | $750,000 | $324 | 46 |
| 198 Elm St | 0.66mi | 9/3.0 (+1) | 2,772 (+3%) | 19mo | $665,000 | $240 | 43 |
| 13 Cedar St | 0.69mi | 8/3.0 | 2,454 (-9%) | 20mo | $715,000 | $291 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.39% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $23,961
- Equity at exit
- $126,738
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $266,363
- Equity at exit
- $73,492
Cash invested: $238,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 5 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Yonkers
- 5 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+20
ZIP-level market 10701
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 183
- Price-to-rent
- 23.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $9,244 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,457
- Tax from tax record
- −$151 /mo · $1,818/yr
- Insurance
- −$354
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,941
- Net cashflow
- $2,340
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 3 | 1 | $9,243 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $3,081 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $3,081 |
| #3 | 3 | 1 | $3,081 |
| Total (3 units) | $9,244 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $212,500
- Closing costs
- $25,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-03-26status Pending
-
2026-03-07$850,000 Active
-
1987-09-11soldstatus $140,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,818 · $151/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,091 · $674/mo
- Expected delta
- +$6,274/yr (+$523/mo · 345.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $110,928
- − Mortgage interest
- −$47,613
- − Property taxes
- −$1,818
- − Insurance
- −$4,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,874
- − Management
- −$8,874
- − Depreciation
- −$24,727
- Taxable income
- $14,771
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,545
- After-tax cash flow
- $24,530/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yonkers City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3631920
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 14.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,042
- Composite
- 41.43/100
- National rank
- #3471
- State rank
- #413 of 590 in NY
Livability — Yonkers
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #528
- US rank
- #9394
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yonkers, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 212,407
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 70,676
- Household income
- $64,776
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6045.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 52% White 21% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Russian 1% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 35% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 42% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -373.14%
- Current HPI
- 332.0999
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.39%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+507.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-26 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-07 Listed $850,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1987-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-23.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,818 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…