2727 Ocean Pkwy Unit F5 · New York, NY
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.98%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.5/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRIME LOCATION ON OCEAN PKY, 1 BDM, WNDOW KIT,NEW CRPT, FRESHLY PAINTED, SUBEASR OK, CLOSE TOTHE BEACH, TRANSPT, SHOPPING, APT VACANT
Key facts
- Tile floor
- Quartz countertops
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Flip tax noted as a percentage
- Financial info: Unit currently tenant-occupied (monthly rent $2,150; lease ends 2026-07-01; sub-lease); Financing available: bank mortgage or cash; Typical down payment requirement noted as 20%
- HOA & community: Monthly maintenance common fee of $860; Management by Metro Management Development, Inc.; Fee includes assessment; Pets allowed (cats and dogs; medium weight limit under 35 lbs); Co-op shares listed as 345.00
Exterior
- Parking: Parking wait-list
- Security: Resident superintendent
- Utilities: Gas; Heat; Water; Sewer; Septic; Sprinkler system
- Home design: Residential property; Unit on floor 6
- Construction: No specific construction materials, roof, or foundation details provided
- Exterior features: Located on the 6th floor of the building; Building has 174 total units; Handicap access available; Property in Brooklyn near Shore Pkwy and Neptune Ave
Interior
- Kitchen: Stove; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One bedroom on the first floor
- Flooring: Hardwood floors; Tile floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: No central AC units reported
- Interior features: Elevator access; 9 ft+ ceilings throughout; Double-door bedroom closets
- Laundry & utility: Card-operated laundry in building; Resident superintendent on-site
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $299k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-395 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $299k).
- Recommended offer: $290k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 521 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,437/mo this rent would consume 69% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 7823% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($290k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 28% of rent; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 4.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.72%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-65,745
- Equity at exit
- $44,582
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-56,065
- Equity at exit
- $25,852
Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11235
- Rents YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 521
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,437 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,568
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$374 /mo · $4,485/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA est. from 1 same-building comp
- −$978
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$722
- Net cashflow
- $-395
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,750
- Closing costs
- $8,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 532 Neptune Ave Brooklyn, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 948 | $3,400 | $3.58 | 7d | 8 | 0.48mi |
| 2971 Shell Rd Unit 704 Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 826 | $3,950 | $4.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2971 Shell Rd Unit 711 Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $4,200 | $4.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2971 Shell Rd Unit 612 Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 907 | $4,150 | $4.58 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2971 Shell Rd Unit 720 Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $4,100 | $4.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2971 Shell Rd Unit 406 Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $3,550 | $3.86 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2971 Shell Rd Unit 508 Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 930 | $4,099 | $4.41 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1515 Surf Ave Brooklyn, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 706 | $3,120 | $4.42 | 2d | 15 | 0.98mi |
| 2483 W 16th St Brooklyn, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,800 | $2.25 | 20d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3000 Emmons Ave Unit 1 Brooklyn, NY | — | 1.0 | 536 | $3,273 | $6.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3000 Emmons Ave Unit 5 Brooklyn, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $4,085 | $4.86 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $299,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $299,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $299,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$299,000 Active
-
2000-12-18$74,900 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
PRIME LOCATION ON OCEAN PKY, 1 BDM, WNDOW KIT,NEW CRPT, FRESHLY PAINTED, SUBEASR OK, CLOSE TOTHE BEACH, TRANSPT, SHOPPING, APT VACANT
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 98% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,246
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,749
- − Property taxes
- −$4,485
- − Insurance
- −$2,292
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,300
- − Management
- −$3,300
- − HOA
- −$11,736
- − Depreciation
- −$8,698
- Taxable loss
- −$9,314
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,235
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,510/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This fully updated 1-bedroom condo is in good condition with a good location and easy access to public transportation and amenities. It has a good ROI potential with minor updates needed for curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint the exterior — improves curb appeal and resale value
- Both replace the carpet in the living room — carpet is worn and could be replaced with hardwood or tile
- Both install new blinds in the windows — new blinds improve privacy and energy efficiency
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint the exterior — improves curb appeal and resale value ↑
- Both replace the carpet in the living room — carpet is worn and could be replaced with hardwood or tile ↑
- Both install new blinds in the windows — new blinds improve privacy and energy efficiency ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 78,558
- Household income
- $59,661
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 7823.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Asian 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 15% Subsaharan African 12% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 63% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 24% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 48% Chinese 7% Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -181.73%
- Current HPI
- 303.6714
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.04%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+299.2% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $299,000 BNYMLS
- 2000-12-18 Listed $74,900 BNYMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…