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234 Providence Ln
D Composite 43.67
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$36,000

234 Providence Ln · River Ridge, LA 70062
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,356 sqft · SingleFamily · 7 Days on market
Built 1970

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Sold as-is. No repairs will be made. Property is in poor condition and is best suited as a tear-down. Land value opportunity. Bring offers!

Key facts

  • Built 1970
  • Listed 7 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $36k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $36k).
  • Cap rate 42.2% vs local median 3.9% in River Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#31 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $249 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.9% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $36,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.92%
Cap rate
42.21%
Cash-on-cash
128.27%
DSCR
6.71
GRM
1.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$221,028
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
229 Providence Ln 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,400 (+3%) 12mo $217,000 $155 79
324 Filmore St 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,520 (+12%) 1mo $292,500 $192 72
308 Florida St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,331 (-2%) 3mo $121,000 $91 71
119 Providence Ln 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,540 (+14%) 11mo $251,000 $163 59
312 Sophia St 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,465 (+8%) 14mo $317,575 $217 51
229 N Atlanta St 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,260 (-7%) 0mo $124,000 $98 50
216 N Cumberland St 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,266 (-7%) 10mo $157,000 $124 48
220 Grove Ave 0.62mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,250 (-8%) 2mo $243,000 $194 47
236 Florida St St 0.50mi 3/1.0 1,189 (-12%) 12mo $236,000 $198 46
1101 Fairway Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,444 (+6%) 12mo $235,000 $163 45
304 N Cumberland St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,250 (-8%) 6mo $131,000 $105 43
1023 S Starrett Rd 0.49mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,534 (+13%) 5mo $98,000 $64 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.82×
Total profit
$58,673
Equity at exit
$5,368
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.34×
Total profit
$134,465
Equity at exit
$3,113

Cash invested: $10,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70062

Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
1.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,771 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$189
Tax from tax record
$118 /mo · $1,411/yr
Insurance
$15
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$372
Net cashflow
$1,011

Break-even live

Break-even rent $491
Max offer price $36,000
Occupancy floor 38%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,000
Closing costs
$1,080
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 26 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
621 S Bengal Rd Metairie, LA 3.0 2.0 900 $1,600 $1.78 3d 1 0.23mi
1916 4th St Kenner, LA 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 14d 1 0.67mi
927 Compromise St Unit A Kenner, LA 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,100 $0.85 24d 1 0.69mi
929 Compromise St Kenner, LA 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,400 $0.93 24d 1 0.69mi
413 Maryland Ave Metairie, LA 3.0 2.0 1330 $1,400 $1.05 24d 1 0.70mi
10613 Chadwick Dr New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1460 $2,200 $1.51 2d 1 0.74mi
1300 Webster St Kenner, LA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 44d 1 0.79mi
1300 Webster St Kenner, LA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,700 $1.42 24d 1 0.79mi
216 Trudeau Dr Metairie, LA 4.0 3.0 1825 $2,800 $1.53 4d 1 0.90mi
10017 River Rd Westwego, LA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 3d 1 0.93mi
129 Stewart Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1466 $1,950 $1.33 24d 1 1.03mi
1711 Moisant St Kenner, LA 2.0 1.0 1097 $1,575 $1.44 4d 1 1.08mi
512 N Howard Ave Metairie, LA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,650 $1.65 4d 1 1.12mi
527 Little Farms Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1855 $2,800 $1.51 24d 1 1.12mi
1001 Maine Ave Kenner, LA 2.0 1.0 985 $1,600 $1.62 44d 1 1.15mi
1001 Minnesota Ave Kenner, LA 3.0 2.0 1800 $2,100 $1.17 44d 1 1.21mi
1108 Maryland Ave Kenner, LA 3.0 1.0 1050 $2,050 $1.95 14d 1 1.22mi
808 Cynthia Ave Metairie, LA 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,100 $1.40 14d 1 1.23mi
310 N Wilson St Metairie, LA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,175 $1.31 24d 1 1.25mi
220 Azalea Dr Westwego, LA 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,675 $1.29 4d 1 1.35mi
128 Phyllis Ct New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1264 $2,400 $1.90 24d 1 1.36mi
240 Azalea Dr Westwego, LA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,480 $1.35 24d 1 1.39mi
240 Azalea Dr Westwego, LA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 44d 1 1.39mi
606 N Wilson St Metairie, LA 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,800 $1.50 44d 1 1.39mi
705 N Lester Ave Metairie, LA 3.0 2.0 1334 $2,100 $1.57 44d 1 1.40mi
1217 N Cumberland St Metairie, LA 3.0 1.0 1022 $2,100 $2.05 4d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-24
    status Pending 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    Sold as-is. No repairs will be made. Property is in poor condition and is best suited as a tear-down. Land value opportunity. Bring offers!

  2. 2026-04-24
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    Sold as-is. No repairs will be made. Property is in poor condition and is best suited as a tear-down. Land value opportunity. Bring offers!

  3. 2026-04-16
    listed $36,000 Active 139-char remark
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    Sold as-is. No repairs will be made. Property is in poor condition and is best suited as a tear-down. Land value opportunity. Bring offers!

  4. 2026-04-16
    listed $36,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (139 chars)

    Sold as-is. No repairs will be made. Property is in poor condition and is best suited as a tear-down. Land value opportunity. Bring offers!

  5. 2000-05-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,411 · $118/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,411 · $118/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 59% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,249
− Mortgage interest
−$2,017
− Property taxes
−$1,411
− Insurance
−$978
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,700
− Management
−$1,700
− Depreciation
−$1,047
Taxable income
$12,397
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,975
After-tax cash flow
$9,157/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson Parish
NCES district ID
2200840
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -36.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -30.00%
Median HH income
$48,421
Composite
25.19/100
National rank
#7511
State rank
#44 of 98 in LA

Livability — River Ridge

Score
73/100
State rank
#31
US rank
#5069

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A- Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
River Ridge, LA
County
Jefferson Parish · 426,999 people
City population
27,386
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
Population (ZIP)
17,771
Household income
$51,477
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
1082.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
451,696 people
By 2030
455,451 · +0.8%
By 2040
458,308 · +1.5%
By 2050
461,031 · +2.1%
By 2075
476,351 · +5.5%
By 2100
499,377 · +10.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 37% Black 29% White 27% Two or more races 17% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
R (+12.9) · D 42.5% · R 55.5% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+13.6pp toward D · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -12.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+12.9 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+14.8 2012: R+18.4 2008: R+26.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -108.55%
Current HPI
105.3411
Rent YoY
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Pending AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Pending GSREIN
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $36,000 GSREIN
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $36,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2000-05-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,411 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…