501 W Scharbauer Dr #12 · Midland, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Cute condo with so much space. This place has closets EVERYWHERE. Appliances pass with home. Great community pool and wreck room. Assigned parking. This unit is very spacious. The bedroom is huge and it has a ton of storage. Washer/Dryer hookups inside the pool room that is one door down. Currently rented but must sell as an owner occupied.
Key facts
- Community pool
- Washer dryer hookups
- Assigned parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $115 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.7% in Midland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#57 in TX, #2,192 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, commute D+.
- Midland ISD (urban): math 34% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #477 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 452 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,504 units permitted in Midland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($105k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Midland County population projected at +83% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 139 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 139 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.15%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.56% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-5,978
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $2,877
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79705
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 452
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,379 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,236/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$419
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$290
- Net cashflow
- $115
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405 Humble Ave Midland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 876 | $1,250 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 2301 N Pecos St Midland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1053 | $1,562 | $1.48 | 21d | 3 | 0.23mi |
| 2301 N Pecos St Midland, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $1,612 | $1.49 | 43d | 2 | 0.23mi |
| 407 W Spruce Ave Unit A-1 Midland, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $1,600 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1104 N Carrizo St Midland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,400 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1102 N Carrizo St Midland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,400 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1101 N Carrizo St Unit 6 Midland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 915 | $1,500 | $1.64 | 13d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3600 Edwards St Midland, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 980 | $1,443 | $1.47 | 13d | 19 | 1.05mi |
| 1212 E Wadley Ave Midland, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 643 | $875 | $1.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1212 E Wadley Ave Unit 1003 Midland, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 643 | $906 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1212 E Wadley Ave Unit 938 Midland, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 583 | $820 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1212 E Wadley Ave Unit 1223 Midland, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 932 | $1,138 | $1.22 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1212 E Wadley Ave Apt 823 Midland, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 643 | $906 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1212 E Wadley Ave Unit 928 Midland, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 583 | $820 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3700 N A St Midland, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 971 | $1,449 | $1.49 | 13d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3700 N Edwards St Midland, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 957 | $1,291 | $1.35 | 13d | 18 | 1.25mi |
| 1402 W Tennessee Ave Midland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,500 | $2.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1210 W Texas Ave Unit 15 Midland, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $419 · $5,028/yr
- Likely covers
- poolparking
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $80,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $80,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $80,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $80,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $80,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-03-11price $80,000 342-char remark
Show marketing remark (342 chars)
Cute condo with so much space. This place has closets EVERYWHERE. Appliances pass with home. Great community pool and wreck room. Assigned parking. This unit is very spacious. The bedroom is huge and it has a ton of storage. Washer/Dryer hookups inside the pool room that is one door down. Currently rented but must sell as an owner occupied.
-
2026-01-31$85,000 Active 342-char remark
Show marketing remark (342 chars)
Cute condo with so much space. This place has closets EVERYWHERE. Appliances pass with home. Great community pool and wreck room. Assigned parking. This unit is very spacious. The bedroom is huge and it has a ton of storage. Washer/Dryer hookups inside the pool room that is one door down. Currently rented but must sell as an owner occupied.
-
2014-02-27soldstatus
-
2012-02-17soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,236 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,464 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- +$228/yr (+$19/mo · 18.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,553
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,236
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,324
- − Management
- −$1,324
- − HOA
- −$5,028
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $431
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$104
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,274/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Midland ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4830570
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,457
- Composite
- 31.63/100
- National rank
- #5938
- State rank
- #477 of 826 in TX
Livability — Midland
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #2192
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Midland, TX
- County
- Midland County · 168,494 people
- City population
- 168,494
- Metro
- Midland, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 46,653
- Household income
- $105,310
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1557.0
Population outlook (Midland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 220,895 people
- By 2030
- 253,667 · +14.8%
- By 2040
- 325,498 · +47.4%
- By 2050
- 404,168 · +83.0%
- By 2075
- 609,802 · +176.1%
- By 2100
- 760,172 · +244.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 43% Two or more races 20% Black 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 24% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Midland
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.5) · D 19.3% · R 79.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.3pp toward R · 2008: -57.3pp · 2024: -60.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.5 2020: R+56.6 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+61.5 2008: R+57.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -300.44%
- Current HPI
- 207.2904
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.56%
- Metro
- Midland, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-5.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $80,000 PBBOR
- 2026-01-31 Listed $85,000 PBBOR
- 2014-02-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-02-17 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,236 · -6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…