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148 2nd
C Composite 57.11
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$132,370

148 2nd · McSherrystown, PA 17344
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,318 sqft · Other public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1985 3,920 sqft lot $100/sqft · 46% below area Est $245k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Home sold as is, seller will do no repairs. Home is occupied, do not contact occupant for entrance. Home will need TLC. Nice 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in McSherrystown Boro. Close to shopping, schools and banks. Do not contact the occupant.

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1985

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total below-grade area 575 (unfinished per assessor); Above-grade finished area per assessor
  • Financial info: Fee simple ownership

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached rear-entry garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available
  • Home design: Detached property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Unknown roof; Other foundation details; Building not winterized; Built year per assessor
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.09 acres; Not in a federal flood zone; Other above-grade and below-grade structures

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom (on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel; Electric hot water
  • Interior features: Basement with dirt floor; Living room; Total of 6 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $132k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $132k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#1,000 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Conewago Valley SD (suburban): math 39% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #215 of 539 in PA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 403 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $916 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Adams County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $65k; list at $132k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,370

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
7.38%
Cash-on-cash
3.89%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$245,029
List price
$132,370
Delta
-41.28%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.2%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-13,735
Equity at exit
$19,737
10-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-1,828
Equity at exit
$11,445

Cash invested: $37,064 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17344

Home prices YoY
-18.5%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,412 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$694
Tax from tax record
$246 /mo · $2,957/yr
Insurance
$55
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$297
Net cashflow
$120

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,260
Max offer price $132,370
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,092
Closing costs
$3,971
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
65 North St Apt 62 McSherrystown, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 43d 1 0.25mi
65 North St Unit 88 McSherrystown, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,425 $1.43 13d 1 0.25mi
65 North St Apt 81 McSherrystown, PA 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,495 $1.30 43d 1 0.25mi
612 Maple Ave Hanover, PA 2.0 2.0 900 $1,295 $1.44 13d 1 0.95mi
607 3rd St Hanover, PA 3.0 1.0 1276 $1,400 $1.10 21d 1 0.96mi
285 South St Hanover, PA 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,350 $1.35 13d 1 1.11mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $132,370 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $132,370 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $132,370 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $132,370 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $132,370 Active 9 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $132,370 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    pricedays on market $132,370 Active 6 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $143,880 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $143,880 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 237-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on marketlisting id $143,880 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-04-25
    listed $143,880 Active 208-char remark
  13. 1995-02-21
    soldstatus $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,957 · $246/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,957 · $246/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,948
− Mortgage interest
−$7,415
− Property taxes
−$2,957
− Insurance
−$662
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,356
− Management
−$1,356
− Depreciation
−$3,851
Taxable loss
−$648
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$156
After-tax cash flow
$1,596/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Conewago Valley SD
NCES district ID
4206550
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$54,603
Composite
41.08/100
National rank
#3572
State rank
#215 of 539 in PA

Livability — McSherrystown

Score
67/100
State rank
#1000
US rank
#11007

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
McSherrystown, PA
City population
3,770
Population (ZIP)
3,770

Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
102,494 people
By 2030
101,890 · -0.6%
By 2040
98,417 · -4.0%
By 2050
92,014 · -10.2%
By 2075
76,128 · -25.7%
By 2100
58,931 · -42.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Adams

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.7% · R 66.4%
2008→2024 swing
-14.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -33.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.6 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.17%
Current HPI
295.3816
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+103.6% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Price Changed $132,370 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $143,880 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-28 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $143,880 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1995-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,957 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…