148 2nd · McSherrystown, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 8.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$132,370
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Home sold as is, seller will do no repairs. Home is occupied, do not contact occupant for entrance. Home will need TLC. Nice 3 bedroom, 1 bath home in McSherrystown Boro. Close to shopping, schools and banks. Do not contact the occupant.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1985
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Total below-grade area 575 (unfinished per assessor); Above-grade finished area per assessor
- Financial info: Fee simple ownership
Exterior
- Parking: Detached rear-entry garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available
- Home design: Detached property
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Unknown roof; Other foundation details; Building not winterized; Built year per assessor
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.09 acres; Not in a federal flood zone; Other above-grade and below-grade structures
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas fuel; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Basement with dirt floor; Living room; Total of 6 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $132k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $120 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $132k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#1,000 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Conewago Valley SD (suburban): math 39% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #215 of 539 in PA (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 403 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $916 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Adams County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; list at $132k implies a 104% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.89%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $245,029
- List price
- $132,370
- Delta
- -41.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-13,735
- Equity at exit
- $19,737
- IRR
- -0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-1,828
- Equity at exit
- $11,445
Cash invested: $37,064 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17344
- Home prices YoY
- -18.5%
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,412 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$694
- Tax from tax record
- −$246 /mo · $2,957/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$297
- Net cashflow
- $120
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,092
- Closing costs
- $3,971
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65 North St Apt 62 McSherrystown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 65 North St Unit 88 McSherrystown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,425 | $1.43 | 13d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 65 North St Apt 81 McSherrystown, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,495 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 612 Maple Ave Hanover, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 607 3rd St Hanover, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1276 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 285 South St Hanover, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 13d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $132,370 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $132,370 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $132,370 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $132,370 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $132,370 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $132,370 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $132,370 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $143,880 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $143,880 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 237-char remark
-
2026-06-07days on market $143,880 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-04-25$143,880 Active 208-char remark
-
1995-02-21soldstatus $65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,957 · $246/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,957 · $246/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,948
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,415
- − Property taxes
- −$2,957
- − Insurance
- −$662
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,356
- − Management
- −$1,356
- − Depreciation
- −$3,851
- Taxable loss
- −$648
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$156
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,596/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Conewago Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4206550
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,603
- Composite
- 41.08/100
- National rank
- #3572
- State rank
- #215 of 539 in PA
Livability — McSherrystown
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #1000
- US rank
- #11007
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McSherrystown, PA
- City population
- 3,770
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,770
Population outlook (Adams County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,494 people
- By 2030
- 101,890 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 98,417 · -4.0%
- By 2050
- 92,014 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 76,128 · -25.7%
- By 2100
- 58,931 · -42.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Adams
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.6) · D 32.7% · R 66.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.1pp toward R · 2008: -19.6pp · 2024: -33.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.6 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.17%
- Current HPI
- 295.3816
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+103.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Price Changed $132,370 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-06-04 Listed $143,880 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-28 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-25 Listed $143,880 BRIGHT MLS
- 1995-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2026): $2,957 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…