CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1120 Girard St
B- Composite 68.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.0/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

1120 Girard St · Metropolis, IL 62960
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,147 sqft · SingleFamily · 11 Days on market
Built 1950 6,000 sqft lot Est $72k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great house in a great location! This two bedroom home has been well maintained and is ready for its next owner. The house is situated on a nice corner lot and has a fenced-in yard, enclosed back porch and a detached garage.

Key facts

  • Fenced backyard
  • Corner lot
  • Detached garage

Tags

CORNER LOTDETACHED GARAGEFENCED BACKYARDCENTRAL AIR REPLACED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property located in unincorporated Metropolis; directions: From Hwy 45 to E 12th Street. Property is on the corner of 12th St and Girard.
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (1 garage space, 1 total parking space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story layout; Fee simple ownership; Built prior to 1978 (estimated age 71–80 years)
  • Construction: Frame and Masonite construction
  • Exterior features: Corner lot with dimensions approximately 50 x 120

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet in living room and bedrooms; Hardwood in dining room; Laminate in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Five total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $241 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($984 rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 5.3% in Metropolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#217 in IL, #4,091 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, commute F, employment D-.
  • Massac UD 1 (rural): math 24% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #318 of 620 in IL (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Massac County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Massac County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 8 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
10.43%
Cash-on-cash
14.76%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$72,261
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1120 Girard St 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,147 (0%) 0mo $60,000 $52 100
1018 Girard St 0.07mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,197 (+4%) 0mo $19,000 $16 84
1302 Catherine St 0.10mi 2/1.0 1,064 (-7%) 7mo $93,900 $88 78
307 E 8th St 0.27mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,125 (-2%) 0mo $70,500 $63 77
718 Girard St 0.30mi 2/1.0 1,200 (+5%) 8mo $73,000 $61 71
1002 Ferry St 0.20mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,200 (+5%) 8mo $59,000 $49 69
1806 Market St 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,094 (-5%) 2mo $94,500 $86 65
404 E 7th St 0.39mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,088 (-5%) 7mo $37,500 $34 63
212 E 19th St St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (-13%) 4mo $140,000 $140 51
508 Hillcrest St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,216 (+6%) 3mo $118,500 $97 48
113 E 21st St 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,216 (+6%) 6mo $76,500 $63 48
528 W 20th St 0.73mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,231 (+7%) 2mo $130,000 $106 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.3%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$4,055
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
14.8%
Equity multiple
2.20×
Total profit
$23,469
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62960

Home prices YoY
-19.6%
Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$984 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$141 /mo · $1,689/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$207
Net cashflow
$241

Break-even live

Break-even rent $679
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-04
    listed $69,900 Active
  3. 2022-07-14
    soldstatus $70,000 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Great house in a great location! This two bedroom home has been well maintained and is ready for its next owner. The house is situated on a nice corner lot and has a fenced-in yard, enclosed back porch and a detached garage.

  4. 2022-07-14
    soldstatus $70,000 Closed 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Great house in a great location! This two bedroom home has been well maintained and is ready for its next owner. The house is situated on a nice corner lot and has a fenced-in yard, enclosed back porch and a detached garage.

  5. 2022-06-02
    historical Under Contract 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Great house in a great location! This two bedroom home has been well maintained and is ready for its next owner. The house is situated on a nice corner lot and has a fenced-in yard, enclosed back porch and a detached garage.

  6. 2021-11-23
    listed $73,900 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Great house in a great location! This two bedroom home has been well maintained and is ready for its next owner. The house is situated on a nice corner lot and has a fenced-in yard, enclosed back porch and a detached garage.

  7. 2021-11-23
    listed $73,900 Active 224-char remark
    Show marketing remark (224 chars)

    Great house in a great location! This two bedroom home has been well maintained and is ready for its next owner. The house is situated on a nice corner lot and has a fenced-in yard, enclosed back porch and a detached garage.

  8. 2021-08-06
    historical
  9. 2021-08-06
    historical
  10. 2016-01-22
    historical
  11. 2015-11-20
    historical
  12. 2009-09-23
    soldstatus $76,500
  13. 2009-09-23
    soldstatus $76,500
  14. 2009-09-23
    soldstatus $76,500
  15. 2009-08-19
    listed $79,900
  16. 2009-08-19
    listed $79,900
  17. 2007-07-03
    soldstatus $65,000
  18. 2007-07-03
    soldstatus $65,000
  19. 2007-05-03
    listed $75,000
  20. 2007-05-03
    listed $75,000
  21. 2006-07-26
    soldstatus $50,000
  22. 2006-06-20
    listed $54,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,689 · $141/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,689 · $141/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,805
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$1,689
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$944
− Management
−$944
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$1,929
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$463
After-tax cash flow
$2,426/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Massac UD 1
NCES district ID
1725000
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$41,431
Composite
22.06/100
National rank
#8192
State rank
#318 of 620 in IL

Livability — Metropolis

Score
75/100
State rank
#217
US rank
#4091

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Metropolis, IL
Population (ZIP)
10,823

Population outlook (Massac County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,461 people
By 2030
12,675 · -5.8%
By 2040
11,124 · -17.4%
By 2050
9,711 · -27.9%
By 2075
7,253 · -46.1%
By 2100
5,666 · -57.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 7% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Massac

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.8) · D 25.2% · R 74.0%
2008→2024 swing
-25.4pp toward R · 2008: -23.4pp · 2024: -48.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.8 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+49.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+23.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.38%
Current HPI
137.0772
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+28.3% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Pending MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $69,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-14 Sold (MLS) $70,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-14 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-02 Contingent RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-23 Listed $73,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-23 Listed $73,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-08-06 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-01-22 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-11-20 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $76,500 Public Records
  • 2009-09-23 Sold (MLS) $76,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-09-23 Sold (MLS) $76,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-08-19 Listed $79,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-08-19 Listed $79,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-07-03 Sold (MLS) $65,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-07-03 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-05-03 Listed $75,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-05-03 Listed $75,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-07-26 Sold (MLS) $50,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-06-20 Listed $54,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,689 · -3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…