665 S Harrison St · Thompson, IA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +6.6/10.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$108,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3BR/2BA Ranch
Key facts
- 0.55 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1966
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.55 acres (110 x 210)
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $108k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $107k (1.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $107k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#575 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, schools F.
- North Iowa Community School District (rural): math 56% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #252 of 289 in IA (top 87%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($750 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
- Winnebago County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.46%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $34,104
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 174 4th St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,117 (-5%) | 9mo | $32,000 | $29 | 67 |
| 337 Cemetery Rd | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,144 (-3%) | 22mo | $79,000 | $69 | 57 |
| 145 S Madison St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,096 (-7%) | 8mo | $12,800 | $12 | 53 |
| 325 S Monroe St | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,286 (+9%) | 22mo | $15,000 | $12 | 39 |
| 387 1st Ave W | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,016 (-14%) | 17mo | $88,000 | $87 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $21,189
- Equity at exit
- $49,768
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $64,241
- Equity at exit
- $77,469
Cash invested: $30,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50478
- Home prices YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,070 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$569
- Tax from tax record
- −$118 /mo · $1,420/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$225
- Net cashflow
- $113
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,125
- Closing costs
- $3,255
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-17status $108,500 Pending 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $108,500 Active Under Contract 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $108,500 Active Under Contract 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $108,500 Active Under Contract 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $108,500 Active Under Contract 24 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $108,500 Active Under Contract 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $108,500 Active Under Contract 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $108,500 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $108,500 Active Under Contract 18 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $108,500 Active Under Contract 16 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $108,500 Active Under Contract 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $108,500 Active Under Contract 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $108,500 Active Under Contract 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $108,500 Active Under Contract 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $108,500 Active Under Contract 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20Active Under Contract
-
2026-05-16$108,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,420 · $118/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,562 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- +$142/yr (+$12/mo · 10.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,842
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,078
- − Property taxes
- −$1,420
- − Insurance
- −$542
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,027
- − Management
- −$1,027
- − Depreciation
- −$3,156
- Taxable loss
- −$409
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$98
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,453/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Iowa Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1905750
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,123
- Composite
- 49.23/100
- National rank
- #2034
- State rank
- #252 of 289 in IA
Livability — Thompson
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #575
- US rank
- #13076
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Thompson, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 689
Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,099 people
- By 2030
- 9,831 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 9,326 · -7.7%
- By 2050
- 9,073 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 9,448 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 10,279 · +1.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 16% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 29% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.7) · D 33.9% · R 64.6% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -30.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.7 2020: R+26.3 2016: R+26.5 2012: R+0.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 3.16%
- Current HPI
- 81.3956
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed — IAR
- 2026-05-16 Listed $108,500 IAR
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,420 · +8.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…