4718 Sale Ln · Lake Charles, LA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Adorable 3 bed, 2 bath brick home conveniently located just minutes from McNeese University. This home offers granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a functional layout with comfortable living spaces. Enjoy a spacious fenced backyard that would be ideal for pets, entertaining, or relaxing evenings outdoors. Move-in ready and full of charm!
Key facts
- Granite countertops
- Fenced backyard
- 0.4 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.3% in Lake Charles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#95 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
- Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.1%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $115k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.10%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $204,083
- List price
- $170,000
- Delta
- -16.70%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1412 N Greenfield Cir N | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,674 (+0%) | 1mo | $207,500 | $124 | 79 |
| 4402 Pleasant Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,672 (+0%) | 2mo | $244,000 | $146 | 67 |
| 619 Central Pkwy | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,602 (-4%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $94 | 64 |
| 1411 Jefferson Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,908 (+15%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $123 | 63 |
| 4539 Sale Ln | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,425 (-14%) | 1mo | $167,500 | $118 | 63 |
| 4326 Pleasant Dr | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,604 (-4%) | 1mo | $174,000 | $108 | 60 |
| 4327 Christina St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,576 (-5%) | 2mo | $223,000 | $141 | 58 |
| 607 W Mcneese St St W | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (-8%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $104 | 57 |
| 717 University Dr Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,423 (-14%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $130 | 49 |
| 401 Montclair St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,760 (+6%) | 4mo | $263,000 | $149 | 49 |
| 203 Heather St | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,490 (-10%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $141 | 47 |
| 1108 Lakeridge Ln | 0.70mi | 3/3.0 | 1,814 (+9%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $130 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $18,702
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- 22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.32×
- Total profit
- $110,555
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70605
- Rents YoY
- 15.1%
- Active inventory
- 464
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,021 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $904/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$424
- Net cashflow
- $559
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $656 | -5% $607 | +0% $559 | +5% $511 | +10% $463 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $400 | -5% $479 | +0% $559 | +5% $639 | +10% $719 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $645 | -0.5pp $603 | base $559 | +0.5pp $515 | +1.0pp $470 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 155 Heather St Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $1,650 | $1.25 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4326 Christina St Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,770 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 716 Dianne Ln Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $5,000 | $2.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4650 Nelson Rd Lake Charles, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1032 | $1,875 | $1.82 | 14d | 24 | 1.05mi |
| 1711 Mignonette Ln Unit 13-C Lake Charles, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1275 | $1,095 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 4021 Nelson Rd Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $1,600 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 4015 Nelson Rd Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,200 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-09status $170,000 Pending 103 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $170,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $170,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $170,000 Active 99 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $179,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-05-15price $179,000 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Adorable 3 bed, 2 bath brick home conveniently located just minutes from McNeese University. This home offers granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a functional layout with comfortable living spaces. Enjoy a spacious fenced backyard that would be ideal for pets, entertaining, or relaxing evenings outdoors. Move-in ready and full of charm!
-
2026-04-08price $184,900 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Adorable 3 bed, 2 bath brick home conveniently located just minutes from McNeese University. This home offers granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a functional layout with comfortable living spaces. Enjoy a spacious fenced backyard that would be ideal for pets, entertaining, or relaxing evenings outdoors. Move-in ready and full of charm!
-
2026-02-25$189,000 Active 355-char remark
Show marketing remark (355 chars)
Adorable 3 bed, 2 bath brick home conveniently located just minutes from McNeese University. This home offers granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a functional layout with comfortable living spaces. Enjoy a spacious fenced backyard that would be ideal for pets, entertaining, or relaxing evenings outdoors. Move-in ready and full of charm!
-
2015-02-05soldstatus
-
2014-11-12$149,900
-
2012-08-06soldstatus $115,000
-
2000-02-22soldstatus $74,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $904 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $935 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- +$31/yr (+$3/mo · 3.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,257
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$904
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,941
- − Management
- −$1,941
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable income
- $4,154
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$997
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,714/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calcasieu Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200330
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,700
- Composite
- 31.45/100
- National rank
- #5979
- State rank
- #29 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lake Charles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #95
- US rank
- #9820
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Charles, LA
- County
- Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
- City population
- 133,538
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,482
- Household income
- $86,015
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1328.0
Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,179 people
- By 2030
- 218,199 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 228,486 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 236,208 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 251,696 · +18.6%
- By 2100
- 247,848 · +16.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.68%
- Current HPI
- 105.1903
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 15.10%
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+140.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $179,000 SWLAR
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $184,900 SWLAR
- 2026-02-25 Listed $189,000 SWLAR
- 2015-02-05 Sold (MLS) — SWLAR
- 2014-11-12 Listed $149,900 SWLAR
- 2012-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2000-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $74,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $904 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…