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4718 Sale Ln
B Composite 74.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$170,000

4718 Sale Ln · Lake Charles, LA 70605
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,665 sqft · SingleFamily · 103 Days on market
Built 1970 0.40 ac lot $102/sqft · 17% below area Est $204k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Adorable 3 bed, 2 bath brick home conveniently located just minutes from McNeese University. This home offers granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a functional layout with comfortable living spaces. Enjoy a spacious fenced backyard that would be ideal for pets, entertaining, or relaxing evenings outdoors. Move-in ready and full of charm!

Key facts

  • Granite countertops
  • Fenced backyard
  • 0.4 acre lot

Tags

GRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESFENCED BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $559 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
  • Recommended offer: $155k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.3% in Lake Charles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#95 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
  • Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.1%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $115k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,700 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
10.24%
Cash-on-cash
14.10%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$204,083
List price
$170,000
Delta
-16.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1412 N Greenfield Cir N 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,674 (+0%) 1mo $207,500 $124 79
4402 Pleasant Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,672 (+0%) 2mo $244,000 $146 67
619 Central Pkwy 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,602 (-4%) 1mo $150,000 $94 64
1411 Jefferson Dr 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,908 (+15%) 1mo $235,000 $123 63
4539 Sale Ln 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,425 (-14%) 1mo $167,500 $118 63
4326 Pleasant Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,604 (-4%) 1mo $174,000 $108 60
4327 Christina St 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,576 (-5%) 2mo $223,000 $141 58
607 W Mcneese St St W 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,536 (-8%) 3mo $160,000 $104 57
717 University Dr Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,423 (-14%) 2mo $185,000 $130 49
401 Montclair St 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,760 (+6%) 4mo $263,000 $149 49
203 Heather St 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,490 (-10%) 4mo $210,000 $141 47
1108 Lakeridge Ln 0.70mi 3/3.0 1,814 (+9%) 3mo $235,000 $130 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
1.39×
Total profit
$18,702
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
22.2%
Equity multiple
3.32×
Total profit
$110,555
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70605

Rents YoY
15.1%
Active inventory
464
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,021 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $904/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$424
Net cashflow
$559

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,313
Max offer price $170,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $656 -5% $607 +0% $559 +5% $511 +10% $463
Rent -10% $400 -5% $479 +0% $559 +5% $639 +10% $719
Rate -1.0pp $645 -0.5pp $603 base $559 +0.5pp $515 +1.0pp $470

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
155 Heather St Lake Charles, LA 3.0 2.0 1316 $1,650 $1.25 14d 1 0.65mi
4326 Christina St Lake Charles, LA 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,770 $1.11 22d 1 0.66mi
716 Dianne Ln Lake Charles, LA 3.0 2.0 2200 $5,000 $2.27 45d 1 0.67mi
4650 Nelson Rd Lake Charles, LA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1032 $1,875 $1.82 14d 24 1.05mi
1711 Mignonette Ln Unit 13-C Lake Charles, LA 2.0 1.5 1275 $1,095 $0.86 45d 1 1.06mi
4021 Nelson Rd Lake Charles, LA 3.0 2.0 1362 $1,600 $1.17 45d 1 1.34mi
4015 Nelson Rd Lake Charles, LA 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,200 $0.92 45d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $170,000 Pending 103 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $170,000 Active 103 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $170,000 Active 102 DOM
  4. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $170,000 Active 99 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,000 Active 97 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $179,000 Active 96 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,000 Active 95 DOM
  8. 2026-05-30
    days on market $179,000 Active 94 DOM
  9. 2026-05-15
    price $179,000 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    Adorable 3 bed, 2 bath brick home conveniently located just minutes from McNeese University. This home offers granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a functional layout with comfortable living spaces. Enjoy a spacious fenced backyard that would be ideal for pets, entertaining, or relaxing evenings outdoors. Move-in ready and full of charm!

  10. 2026-04-08
    price $184,900 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    Adorable 3 bed, 2 bath brick home conveniently located just minutes from McNeese University. This home offers granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a functional layout with comfortable living spaces. Enjoy a spacious fenced backyard that would be ideal for pets, entertaining, or relaxing evenings outdoors. Move-in ready and full of charm!

  11. 2026-02-25
    listed $189,000 Active 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    Adorable 3 bed, 2 bath brick home conveniently located just minutes from McNeese University. This home offers granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a functional layout with comfortable living spaces. Enjoy a spacious fenced backyard that would be ideal for pets, entertaining, or relaxing evenings outdoors. Move-in ready and full of charm!

  12. 2015-02-05
    soldstatus
  13. 2014-11-12
    listed $149,900
  14. 2012-08-06
    soldstatus $115,000
  15. 2000-02-22
    soldstatus $74,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$904 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$935 · $78/mo
Expected delta
+$31/yr (+$3/mo · 3.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,257
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$904
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,941
− Management
−$1,941
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable income
$4,154
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$997
After-tax cash flow
$5,714/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Calcasieu Parish
NCES district ID
2200330
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -39.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -33.00%
Median HH income
$44,700
Composite
31.45/100
National rank
#5979
State rank
#29 of 98 in LA

Livability — Lake Charles

Score
68/100
State rank
#95
US rank
#9820

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lake Charles, LA
County
Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
City population
133,538
Metro
Lake Charles, LA
Population (ZIP)
40,482
Household income
$86,015
Rent vs Own
27.7% rent · 72.3% own
Severe rent burden
1328.0

Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
212,179 people
By 2030
218,199 · +2.8%
By 2040
228,486 · +7.7%
By 2050
236,208 · +11.3%
By 2075
251,696 · +18.6%
By 2100
247,848 · +16.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 12% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -102.68%
Current HPI
105.1903
Rent YoY
▲ 15.10%
Metro
Lake Charles, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+140.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $179,000 SWLAR
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $184,900 SWLAR
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $189,000 SWLAR
  • 2015-02-05 Sold (MLS) SWLAR
  • 2014-11-12 Listed $149,900 SWLAR
  • 2012-08-06 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
  • 2000-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $74,400 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $904 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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