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Fenwick Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 41.35
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$256,995

Fenwick Plan · Lowell, IN 46356
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,596 sqft · Townhouse · 262 Days on market
Good condition $125/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the Fenwick, a spacious two-story home designed for flexibility and comfort, featuring 1,596 square feet of modern living space. This new-construction home showcases an inviting open-concept layout, seamlessly connecting the great room, breakfast nook, and kitchen, anchored by a stylish center island workstation with sink, perfect for entertaining or daily life. The Fenwick provides several floorplan options tailored to your lifestyle. The Standard plan includes two bedrooms, a spacious loft, 1.5 baths, and a conveniently placed laundry room upstairs. For added comfort and luxury, you can enhance your home with optional customizations: Transform the loft into a third bedroom and choose the optional grand primary suite, which includes two spacious closets and an en-suite private bath, providing a personal retreat with ample storage. Alternatively, keep the two-bedroom-plus-loft configuration and simply add a private primary bedroom bathroom to elevate your comfort. Other customizations include a sunroom to flood your living space with natural light, a patio for outdoor relaxation, a formal kitchen layout for timeless style, or a basement for expanded living and storage. Built with quality craftsmanship, the Fenwick offers modern living at its best-adaptable, comfortable, and perfectly suited to your unique needs. Explore this versatile two-story home today and experience a floorplan designed just for you.

Key facts

  • Sunroom
  • Patio
  • Open-concept layout

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTCENTER ISLAND WORKSTATIONLAUNDRY ROOM UPSTAIRSSUNROOMPATIOFORMAL KITCHEN LAYOUT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $256,995 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $261,805.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $257k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-79 ($-944/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $250k (2.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (8.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $226k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.8% in Lowell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#51 in IN, #3,455 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Tri-Creek School Corporation (town): math 46% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #39 of 301 in IN (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Oak Hill Elementary School (math 69% / reading 54%, grade B, #117 of 994 statewide, top 12%, 563 students, 30% FRL); Lowell Middle School (math 36% / reading 54%, grade D, #81 of 330 statewide, top 25%, 742 students, 33% FRL); Lowell Senior High School (math 31% / reading 75%, grade C-, #99 of 369 statewide, top 27%, 1,033 students, 29% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 351 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 262 days — a 12% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $226,155 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 262 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
5.93%
Cash-on-cash
-1.29%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
9.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$261,805
List price
$256,995
Delta
-1.84%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
452 Greenbrier Ln 0.41mi 2/1.5 1,616 (+1%) 0mo $240,000 $149 79
425 Briarwood Ln 0.39mi 2/2.5 1,640 (+3%) 5mo $235,000 $143 69
313 Sweetbriar Ct 0.60mi 2/1.5 1,640 (+3%) 7mo $243,000 $148 61
231 Sweetbriar Ct 0.63mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,542 (-3%) 1mo $254,900 $165 59
231 Sweetbriar Ct 0.63mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,542 (-3%) 1mo $254,900 $165 59
18502 Percy Ln 0.39mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,717 (+8%) 7mo $282,000 $164 54
18552 Percy Ln 0.39mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,717 (+8%) 10mo $286,004 $167 52
230 Sweetbriar Ct 0.67mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,640 (+3%) 10mo $239,900 $146 51
18532 Percy Ln 0.39mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,767 (+11%) 7mo $263,444 $149 50
18582 Percy Ln 0.39mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,767 (+11%) 9mo $253,000 $143 47
8330 Kannon Dr 0.40mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,815 (+14%) 3mo $285,000 $157 47
8319 Kannon Dr 0.42mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,767 (+11%) 11mo $274,000 $155 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.4%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-47,321
Equity at exit
$39,036
10-year hold
IRR
-10.6%
Equity multiple
0.36×
Total profit
$-47,201
Equity at exit
$22,636

Cash invested: $73,306 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46356

Home prices YoY
-30.1%
Active inventory
351
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,349 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,373
Tax est. 1.5%
$327 /mo · $3,927/yr
Insurance
$109
HOA
$125
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$493
Net cashflow
$-79

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,448
Max offer price $250,424
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $102 -5% $12 +0% $-79 +5% $-169 +10% $-260
Rent -10% $-264 -5% $-171 +0% $-79 +5% $14 +10% $107
Rate -1.0pp $53 -0.5pp $-12 base $-79 +0.5pp $-146 +1.0pp $-216

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,451
Closing costs
$7,854
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8301 Kannon Dr Lowell, IN 3.0 2.5 1717 $2,800 $1.63 17d 1 0.43mi
510 Creekside Dr Lowell, IN 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 962 $1,490 $1.55 0d 7 0.45mi
8366 Kannon Dr Lowell, IN 3.0 2.5 1840 $2,450 $1.33 0d 1 0.48mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$125 · $1,500/yr

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $256,995 Active 262 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $256,995 Active 259 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $256,995 Active 258 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $256,995 Active 257 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $256,995 Active 256 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $256,995 Active 254 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $256,995 Active 250 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $256,995 Active 249 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $256,995 Active 248 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $256,995 Active 245 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $256,995 Active 244 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $256,995 Active 243 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $256,995 Active 242 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $256,995 Active 241 DOM
  15. 2026-03-10
    price $256,995 1436-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1436 chars)

    Discover the Fenwick, a spacious two-story home designed for flexibility and comfort, featuring 1,596 square feet of modern living space. This new-construction home showcases an inviting open-concept layout, seamlessly connecting the great room, breakfast nook, and kitchen, anchored by a stylish center island workstation with sink, perfect for entertaining or daily life. The Fenwick provides several floorplan options tailored to your lifestyle. The Standard plan includes two bedrooms, a spacious loft, 1.5 baths, and a conveniently placed laundry room upstairs. For added comfort and luxury, you can enhance your home with optional customizations: Transform the loft into a third bedroom and choose the optional grand primary suite, which includes two spacious closets and an en-suite private bath, providing a personal retreat with ample storage. Alternatively, keep the two-bedroom-plus-loft configuration and simply add a private primary bedroom bathroom to elevate your comfort. Other customizations include a sunroom to flood your living space with natural light, a patio for outdoor relaxation, a formal kitchen layout for timeless style, or a basement for expanded living and storage. Built with quality craftsmanship, the Fenwick offers modern living at its best-adaptable, comfortable, and perfectly suited to your unique needs. Explore this versatile two-story home today and experience a floorplan designed just for you.

  16. 2025-10-15
    price $251,995 1436-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1436 chars)

    Discover the Fenwick, a spacious two-story home designed for flexibility and comfort, featuring 1,596 square feet of modern living space. This new-construction home showcases an inviting open-concept layout, seamlessly connecting the great room, breakfast nook, and kitchen, anchored by a stylish center island workstation with sink, perfect for entertaining or daily life. The Fenwick provides several floorplan options tailored to your lifestyle. The Standard plan includes two bedrooms, a spacious loft, 1.5 baths, and a conveniently placed laundry room upstairs. For added comfort and luxury, you can enhance your home with optional customizations: Transform the loft into a third bedroom and choose the optional grand primary suite, which includes two spacious closets and an en-suite private bath, providing a personal retreat with ample storage. Alternatively, keep the two-bedroom-plus-loft configuration and simply add a private primary bedroom bathroom to elevate your comfort. Other customizations include a sunroom to flood your living space with natural light, a patio for outdoor relaxation, a formal kitchen layout for timeless style, or a basement for expanded living and storage. Built with quality craftsmanship, the Fenwick offers modern living at its best-adaptable, comfortable, and perfectly suited to your unique needs. Explore this versatile two-story home today and experience a floorplan designed just for you.

  17. 2025-10-02
    listed $249,995 Active 1436-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1436 chars)

    Discover the Fenwick, a spacious two-story home designed for flexibility and comfort, featuring 1,596 square feet of modern living space. This new-construction home showcases an inviting open-concept layout, seamlessly connecting the great room, breakfast nook, and kitchen, anchored by a stylish center island workstation with sink, perfect for entertaining or daily life. The Fenwick provides several floorplan options tailored to your lifestyle. The Standard plan includes two bedrooms, a spacious loft, 1.5 baths, and a conveniently placed laundry room upstairs. For added comfort and luxury, you can enhance your home with optional customizations: Transform the loft into a third bedroom and choose the optional grand primary suite, which includes two spacious closets and an en-suite private bath, providing a personal retreat with ample storage. Alternatively, keep the two-bedroom-plus-loft configuration and simply add a private primary bedroom bathroom to elevate your comfort. Other customizations include a sunroom to flood your living space with natural light, a patio for outdoor relaxation, a formal kitchen layout for timeless style, or a basement for expanded living and storage. Built with quality craftsmanship, the Fenwick offers modern living at its best-adaptable, comfortable, and perfectly suited to your unique needs. Explore this versatile two-story home today and experience a floorplan designed just for you.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,187
− Mortgage interest
−$14,665
− Property taxes
−$3,927
− Insurance
−$1,309
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,255
− Management
−$2,255
− HOA
−$1,500
− Depreciation
−$7,616
Taxable loss
−$5,341
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,282
After-tax cash flow
$338/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This Fenwick plan townhouse is in good condition with a modern design and ample living space. It is move-in ready with minor maintenance items to address.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and adds value.
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior trim — Enhances curb appeal and adds value.
  • Both Clean gutters — Improves drainage and prevents water damage

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tri-Creek School Corporation
NCES district ID
1811460
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$64,614
Composite
44.97/100
National rank
#2704
State rank
#39 of 301 in IN

Livability — Lowell

Score
76/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#3455

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
19,396
Population (ZIP)
19,396

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
484,026 people
By 2030
478,091 · -1.2%
By 2040
462,974 · -4.3%
By 2050
449,894 · -7.1%
By 2075
436,169 · -9.9%
By 2100
426,607 · -11.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 16% Iranian 10% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.73%
Current HPI
256.6224
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-10 Price Changed $256,995 Zillow
  • 2025-10-15 Price Changed $251,995 Zillow
  • 2025-10-02 Listed $249,995 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…