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1054 Oak St
B Composite 73.83
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0

$37,900

1054 Oak St · Montgomery, AL 36108
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,278 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 132 Days on market
Built 1940 6,098 sqft lot $30/sqft · 80% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

!!! INVESTORS OPPORTUNITY !!!. THE POSSIBILITIES ARE ENDLESS WITH THIS MIX USE ZONED RESIDENTIAL/COMMERCIAL TEAR DOWN PROPERTY! HERE'S YOUR CHANCE FOR YOU TO DEVELOP A MULTIPLE FAMILY, A CULTURAL COMMUNITY CENTER, ENTERTAINMENT SPACE, ETC, ,,

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1940

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $690 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $38k).
  • Recommended offer: $33k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 28.1% vs local median 6.0% in Montgomery — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#138 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Montgomery County (urban): math 9% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #106 of 129 in AL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 460 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($262 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
  • Montgomery County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($33k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $7k; list at $38k implies a 441% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $33,352 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.04%
Cap rate
28.15%
Cash-on-cash
78.05%
DSCR
4.47
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$21,104
List price
$37,900
Delta
79.58%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1136 Persons St 0.22mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,320 (+3%) 6mo $10,000 $8 74
317 Georgia St 0.58mi 2/1.0 1,232 (-4%) 4mo $16,000 $13 64
1148 Bragg St 0.14mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,456 (+14%) 6mo $18,000 $12 60
2128 Early St 0.31mi 2/1.0 1,119 (-12%) 10mo $30,000 $27 56
1402 Bragg St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,232 (-4%) 18mo $52,000 $42 55
2134 Early St 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,350 (+6%) 24mo $70,000 $52 51
1208 S Holt St 0.31mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,404 (+10%) 14mo $17,000 $12 51
840 Hill St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,188 (-7%) 21mo $35,000 $29 50
1555 Sierra St 0.49mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,151 (-10%) 21mo $42,700 $37 38
612 Clarke St 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,424 (+11%) 17mo $83,000 $58 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.71% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
82.3%
Equity multiple
5.52×
Total profit
$47,932
Equity at exit
$16,419
10-year hold
IRR
82.0%
Equity multiple
11.34×
Total profit
$109,756
Equity at exit
$24,830

Cash invested: $10,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36108

Home prices YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
65
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,153 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$199
Tax from tax record
$6 /mo · $77/yr
Insurance
$16
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$690

Break-even live

Break-even rent $280
Max offer price $37,900
Occupancy floor 35%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $712 -5% $701 +0% $690 +5% $636 +10% $623
Rent -10% $599 -5% $645 +0% $690 +5% $736 +10% $781
Rate -1.0pp $709 -0.5pp $700 base $690 +0.5pp $680 +1.0pp $670

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,475
Closing costs
$1,137
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
24 Flood St Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1140 $1,000 $0.88 22d 1 0.93mi
1314 S Court St Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.0 1650 $1,495 $0.91 14d 1 0.96mi
545 Clay St Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.0 1104 $1,050 $0.95 45d 1 0.99mi
605 Maxwell Blvd Montgomery, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 971 $1,943 $2.00 14d 11 1.05mi
3225 McElvy St Montgomery, AL 3.0 2.0 1258 $1,350 $1.07 14d 1 1.07mi
1301 S Perry St Unit A Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1100 $950 $0.86 14d 1 1.10mi
1020 S Lawrence St Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1711 $2,000 $1.17 14d 1 1.12mi
3220 Doris Cir Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1139 $1,100 $0.97 45d 1 1.16mi
1259 S Lawrence St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1728 $1,300 $0.75 45d 1 1.17mi
2654 Rutland St Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 1176 $1,075 $0.91 22d 1 1.21mi
207 Montgomery St Montgomery, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 890 $1,785 $2.01 14d 4 1.26mi
718 W Edgemont Ave Unit A Montgomery, AL 3.0 1.0 875 $875 $1.00 45d 1 1.31mi
718 W Edgemont Ave Unit B Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 875 $800 $0.91 22d 1 1.31mi
105 Arlington Rd Unit B Montgomery, AL 2.0 1.0 1100 $925 $0.84 45d 1 1.37mi
2655 W Edgemont Ave Montgomery, AL 2.0 2.0 1743 $875 $0.50 45d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $37,900 Active 132 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $37,900 Active 129 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $37,900 Active 128 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $37,900 Active 127 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $37,900 Active 126 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $37,900 Active 124 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $37,900 Active 123 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $37,900 Active 121 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $37,900 Active 120 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $37,900 Active 119 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $37,900 Active 118 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $37,900 Active 114 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $37,900 Active 113 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $37,900 Active 112 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $37,900 Active 111 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $37,900 Active 110 DOM
  17. 2026-02-09
    listed $37,900 Active 243-char remark
    Show marketing remark (243 chars)

    !!! INVESTORS OPPORTUNITY !!!. THE POSSIBILITIES ARE ENDLESS WITH THIS MIX USE ZONED RESIDENTIAL/COMMERCIAL TEAR DOWN PROPERTY! HERE'S YOUR CHANCE FOR YOU TO DEVELOP A MULTIPLE FAMILY, A CULTURAL COMMUNITY CENTER, ENTERTAINMENT SPACE, ETC, ,,

  18. 2023-10-19
    soldstatus $7,000 Closed 177-char remark
    Show marketing remark (177 chars)

    THE HOME NEEDS LOTS OF LOVE, BUT WITH NEW PAINT, ROOF, AND MODIFY FLOOR IN HALLWAY YOU WILL HAVE A EXCELLENT RENTAL OR HOMR FOR YOURSELF. WITH THIS PRICE HOW COULD YOU GO WRONG?

  19. 2023-10-18
    status Pending 177-char remark
    Show marketing remark (177 chars)

    THE HOME NEEDS LOTS OF LOVE, BUT WITH NEW PAINT, ROOF, AND MODIFY FLOOR IN HALLWAY YOU WILL HAVE A EXCELLENT RENTAL OR HOMR FOR YOURSELF. WITH THIS PRICE HOW COULD YOU GO WRONG?

  20. 2023-10-05
    historical Contingent 177-char remark
    Show marketing remark (177 chars)

    THE HOME NEEDS LOTS OF LOVE, BUT WITH NEW PAINT, ROOF, AND MODIFY FLOOR IN HALLWAY YOU WILL HAVE A EXCELLENT RENTAL OR HOMR FOR YOURSELF. WITH THIS PRICE HOW COULD YOU GO WRONG?

  21. 2023-10-03
    listed $7,000 Active 177-char remark
    Show marketing remark (177 chars)

    THE HOME NEEDS LOTS OF LOVE, BUT WITH NEW PAINT, ROOF, AND MODIFY FLOOR IN HALLWAY YOU WILL HAVE A EXCELLENT RENTAL OR HOMR FOR YOURSELF. WITH THIS PRICE HOW COULD YOU GO WRONG?

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$77 · $6/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$155 · $13/mo
Expected delta
+$79/yr (+$7/mo · 102.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,840
− Mortgage interest
−$2,123
− Property taxes
−$77
− Insurance
−$190
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,107
− Management
−$1,107
− Depreciation
−$1,103
Taxable income
$8,134
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,952
After-tax cash flow
$6,330/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County
NCES district ID
0102430
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,902
Composite
17.24/100
National rank
#9093
State rank
#106 of 129 in AL

Livability — Montgomery

Score
65/100
State rank
#138
US rank
#13416

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Montgomery, AL
City population
175,913
Population (ZIP)
15,549

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
224,008 people
By 2030
221,460 · -1.1%
By 2040
214,179 · -4.4%
By 2050
204,912 · -8.5%
By 2075
177,821 · -20.6%
By 2100
145,134 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 82% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Solid D (+30.7) · D 64.8% · R 34.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+11.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: 30.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+30.7 2020: D+31.5 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+24.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.71%
Current HPI
95.2405
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+441.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-09 Listed $37,900 MAAR
  • 2023-10-19 Sold (MLS) $7,000 MAAR
  • 2023-10-18 Pending MAAR
  • 2023-10-05 Contingent MAAR
  • 2023-10-03 Listed $7,000 MAAR

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $77 · -21.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…