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31 Village Rd
B- Composite 69.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$99,900

31 Village Rd · West Mahanoy, PA 17946
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,792 sqft · SingleFamily · 63 Days on market
Built 1931 7,405 sqft lot $56/sqft · 132% above area ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

If you're looking for a home out of all the hustle & bustle this home has the prefect setting. Mountain views and a quiet small town feel is what this property offers. This home has almost 1800 sq ft of living area consisting of 4 bedrooms and 1 1/2 baths with the half bath being on the main level. There is a large basement for storage as well as a full walk up attic. Out back there is an oversized 2 car detached garage 24 X 24 and there is also OSP available. Immediate possession available!

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1931

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Shenandoah Valley SD (town): math 20% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #454 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $93,906 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.37%
Cash-on-cash
14.57%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$43,064
List price
$99,900
Delta
131.98%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
511 Mount Olive Blvd 0.54mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,950 (+9%) 13mo $33,000 $17 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
2.20×
Total profit
$33,679
Equity at exit
$44,919
10-year hold
IRR
22.3%
Equity multiple
4.20×
Total profit
$89,630
Equity at exit
$69,226

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17946

Active inventory
1
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,304 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$340

Break-even live

Break-even rent $874
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $409 -5% $374 +0% $340 +5% $305 +10% $270
Rent -10% $237 -5% $288 +0% $340 +5% $391 +10% $443
Rate -1.0pp $390 -0.5pp $365 base $340 +0.5pp $314 +1.0pp $287

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $99,900 Pending 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,900 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $99,900 Active 51 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,900 Active 50 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
  13. 2026-05-17
    price $99,900 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    If you're looking for a home out of all the hustle & bustle this home has the prefect setting. Mountain views and a quiet small town feel is what this property offers. This home has almost 1800 sq ft of living area consisting of 4 bedrooms and 1 1/2 baths with the half bath being on the main level. There is a large basement for storage as well as a full walk up attic. Out back there is an oversized 2 car detached garage 24 X 24 and there is also OSP available. Immediate possession available!

  14. 2026-04-13
    listed $109,900 Active 502-char remark
    Show marketing remark (502 chars)

    If you're looking for a home out of all the hustle & bustle this home has the prefect setting. Mountain views and a quiet small town feel is what this property offers. This home has almost 1800 sq ft of living area consisting of 4 bedrooms and 1 1/2 baths with the half bath being on the main level. There is a large basement for storage as well as a full walk up attic. Out back there is an oversized 2 car detached garage 24 X 24 and there is also OSP available. Immediate possession available!

  15. 2021-03-23
    historical
  16. 2020-12-15
    price $145,000
  17. 2020-10-22
    price $155,000
  18. 2020-09-30
    listed $160,000 Active
  19. 2016-12-09
    soldstatus $122,000
  20. 2016-10-27
    historical
  21. 2016-10-14
    listed $120,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,644
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,498
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,252
− Management
−$1,252
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$2,641
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$634
After-tax cash flow
$3,440/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shenandoah Valley SD
NCES district ID
4221490
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$31,968
Composite
23.58/100
National rank
#7851
State rank
#454 of 539 in PA

Livability — West Mahanoy

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
187

Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
137,447 people
By 2030
133,121 · -3.1%
By 2040
124,172 · -9.7%
By 2050
115,611 · -15.9%
By 2075
100,796 · -26.7%
By 2100
86,667 · -36.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (100%)
Race & ethnicity
White 100%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5%
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 12%

Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
2008→2024 swing
-33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.8% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Price Changed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2021-03-23 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-12-15 Price Changed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-10-22 Price Changed $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2020-09-30 Listed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-12-09 Sold (MLS) $122,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-10-27 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2016-10-14 Listed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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