31 Village Rd · West Mahanoy, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 6.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.9/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you're looking for a home out of all the hustle & bustle this home has the prefect setting. Mountain views and a quiet small town feel is what this property offers. This home has almost 1800 sq ft of living area consisting of 4 bedrooms and 1 1/2 baths with the half bath being on the main level. There is a large basement for storage as well as a full walk up attic. Out back there is an oversized 2 car detached garage 24 X 24 and there is also OSP available. Immediate possession available!
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1931
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $340 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Shenandoah Valley SD (town): math 20% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #454 of 539 in PA (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 169 units permitted in Schuylkill County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Schuylkill County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1931 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1931 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.57%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $43,064
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- 131.98%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511 Mount Olive Blvd | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,950 (+9%) | 13mo | $33,000 | $17 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $33,679
- Equity at exit
- $44,919
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.20×
- Total profit
- $89,630
- Equity at exit
- $69,226
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17946
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,304 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $340
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $409 | -5% $374 | +0% $340 | +5% $305 | +10% $270 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $237 | -5% $288 | +0% $340 | +5% $391 | +10% $443 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $390 | -0.5pp $365 | base $340 | +0.5pp $314 | +1.0pp $287 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-16status $99,900 Pending 63 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-17price $99,900 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
If you're looking for a home out of all the hustle & bustle this home has the prefect setting. Mountain views and a quiet small town feel is what this property offers. This home has almost 1800 sq ft of living area consisting of 4 bedrooms and 1 1/2 baths with the half bath being on the main level. There is a large basement for storage as well as a full walk up attic. Out back there is an oversized 2 car detached garage 24 X 24 and there is also OSP available. Immediate possession available!
-
2026-04-13$109,900 Active 502-char remark
Show marketing remark (502 chars)
If you're looking for a home out of all the hustle & bustle this home has the prefect setting. Mountain views and a quiet small town feel is what this property offers. This home has almost 1800 sq ft of living area consisting of 4 bedrooms and 1 1/2 baths with the half bath being on the main level. There is a large basement for storage as well as a full walk up attic. Out back there is an oversized 2 car detached garage 24 X 24 and there is also OSP available. Immediate possession available!
-
2021-03-23historical
-
2020-12-15price $145,000
-
2020-10-22price $155,000
-
2020-09-30$160,000 Active
-
2016-12-09soldstatus $122,000
-
2016-10-27historical
-
2016-10-14$120,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,644
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$1,498
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,252
- − Management
- −$1,252
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $2,641
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$634
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,440/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shenandoah Valley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4221490
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,968
- Composite
- 23.58/100
- National rank
- #7851
- State rank
- #454 of 539 in PA
Livability — West Mahanoy
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 187
Population outlook (Schuylkill County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 137,447 people
- By 2030
- 133,121 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 124,172 · -9.7%
- By 2050
- 115,611 · -15.9%
- By 2075
- 100,796 · -26.7%
- By 2100
- 86,667 · -36.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5%
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 12%
Political lean MEDSL · Schuylkill
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.1) · D 28.5% · R 70.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -42.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.1 2020: R+39.9 2016: R+43.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-16.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Price Changed $99,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-03-23 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-12-15 Price Changed $145,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-10-22 Price Changed $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-09-30 Listed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-12-09 Sold (MLS) $122,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-10-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2016-10-14 Listed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…