806 Leswood Ct · Dundalk, MD
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$72,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Updates are Complete in this 2 BR / 1 FB Home- New Kitchen, New Bath, New Floors, New Stainless Appliances-New Granite Countertops- New Lighting and Fresh Paint-Open Dining and Living Areas-- Great Location Near Shopping, Dining, Schools and Commuter Interstates. Water Access is Available at Local Marinas and Parks. Residents Must Be Approved By Community Management. Present Lot Rent is $795.00
Key facts
- New floors
- New lighting
- New bath
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $72k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $915 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $72k).
- Recommended offer: $64k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 6.2% in Dundalk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#16 in MD, #510 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 236 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $501 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 230 days — a 12% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 32y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $7k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $21k; list at $72k implies a 245% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 230 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 54.08%
- DSCR
- 3.41
- GRM
- 3.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $84,444
- List price
- $72,500
- Delta
- -10.59%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 48.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.03×
- Total profit
- $41,296
- Equity at exit
- $10,810
- IRR
- 53.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.47×
- Total profit
- $90,803
- Equity at exit
- $6,268
Cash invested: $20,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21222
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 236
- Price-to-rent
- 3.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,792 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$380
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$91 /mo · $1,088/yr
- Insurance
- −$30
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$376
- Net cashflow
- $915
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,125
- Closing costs
- $2,175
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4004 Saint Monica Dr Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,925 | $1.88 | 5d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4004 St Monica Dr Unit 1 Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,895 | $1.85 | 5d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 7860 Saint Claire Ln Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $2,200 | $2.15 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3427 North Point Rd Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $2,250 | $2.23 | 20d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 7851 Saint Fabian Ln Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,595 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3413 Wallford Dr Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1016 | $2,000 | $1.97 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3221 Wallford Dr Unit 3221 Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,750 | $1.74 | 5d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3221 Wallford Dr Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,750 | $1.74 | 3d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 1610 Melbourne Rd Dundalk, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 664 | $1,240 | $1.87 | 12d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3000 Wallford Dr Dundalk, MD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 717 | $1,330 | $1.85 | 2d | 35 | 1.31mi |
| 909 S Marlyn Ave Essex, MD | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 888 | $1,375 | $1.55 | 5d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 311 Wise Ave Dundalk, MD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 818 | $1,045 | $1.28 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 11 Seabright Ave Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,874 | $1.98 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7 Robinson Ave Dundalk, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,600 | $2.36 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 36 events
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2026-06-18price $72,500 Active 230 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $75,500 Active 230 DOM
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2026-06-17remarks 412-char remark
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2026-06-17days on market $75,500 Active 229 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $75,500 Active 228 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $75,500 Active 227 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $75,500 Active 225 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $75,500 Active 221 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $75,500 Active 220 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $75,500 Active 219 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $75,500 Active 216 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $75,500 Active 215 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $75,500 Active 214 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $75,500 Active 213 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $75,500 Active 212 DOM
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2026-05-13price $75,500 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Updates are Complete in this 2 BR / 1 FB Home- New Kitchen, New Bath, New Floors, New Stainless Appliances-New Granite Countertops- New Lighting and Fresh Paint-Open Dining and Living Areas-- Great Location Near Shopping, Dining, Schools and Commuter Interstates. Water Access is Available at Local Marinas and Parks. Residents Must Be Approved By Community Management. Present Lot Rent is $795.00
-
2025-10-31$79,500 Active 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
Updates are Complete in this 2 BR / 1 FB Home- New Kitchen, New Bath, New Floors, New Stainless Appliances-New Granite Countertops- New Lighting and Fresh Paint-Open Dining and Living Areas-- Great Location Near Shopping, Dining, Schools and Commuter Interstates. Water Access is Available at Local Marinas and Parks. Residents Must Be Approved By Community Management. Present Lot Rent is $795.00
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2014-10-27historical
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2014-10-27historical Withdrawn
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2014-08-01historical Withdrawn
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2014-08-01historical
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2014-06-12Active
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2014-06-12$32,500
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2014-06-05price
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2014-05-06price
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2014-04-29Active
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2014-04-29$19,500
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2010-12-07historical
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2010-12-07historical Expired
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2010-07-23Active
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2010-07-22$23,500
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2002-03-04soldstatus $21,000
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2002-02-08historical
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2001-09-05$25,900
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1994-10-07historical
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1994-04-07
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,508
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,061
- − Property taxes
- −$1,088
- − Insurance
- −$362
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,721
- − Management
- −$1,721
- − Depreciation
- −$2,109
- Taxable income
- $10,446
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,507
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,472/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400120
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7948
- State rank
- #11 of 24 in MD
Livability — Dundalk
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #510
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dundalk, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 59,407
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,407
- Household income
- $64,141
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2566.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 885,518 people
- By 2030
- 909,272 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 951,547 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 990,955 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 1,086,411 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 1,135,078 · +28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 18% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -251.44%
- Current HPI
- 228.4218
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.09%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+191.5% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $75,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-10-31 Listed $79,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-10-27 Delisted — MRIS
- 2014-10-27 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-08-01 Delisted — MRIS
- 2014-08-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-06-12 Listed — MRIS
- 2014-06-12 Listed $32,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-06-05 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2014-05-06 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2014-04-29 Listed — MRIS
- 2014-04-29 Listed $19,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-12-07 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-12-07 Delisted — MRIS
- 2010-07-23 Listed — MRIS
- 2010-07-22 Listed $23,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2002-03-04 Sold (MLS) $21,000 MRIS
- 2002-02-08 Delisted — MRIS
- 2001-09-05 Listed $25,900 MRIS
- 1994-10-07 Delisted — MRIS
- 1994-04-07 Listed — MRIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…