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626 Rancho Dr
B- Composite 65.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.5/15.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

626 Rancho Dr · Norman, OK 73071
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 740 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1952 7,841 sqft lot Est $118k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

LOADS of POTENTIAL in this Charming little bungalow, walking distance to shops and restaurants, AND just a few minutes to the University! Original & refinished wood floors. Large backyard with storm shelter and shed/shop. Large carport and double wide concrete driveway. Sellers installed 4 mini-splits a few years ago--CHA still worked at that time but hasn't been used since. Needs a little work to be perfect but priced accordingly and for a quick sale! Seller prefers as-is offers and will not be able to make any repairs.

Key facts

  • Large backyard
  • Storm shelter
  • Large carport

Tags

WALKING DISTANCE TO SHOPSLARGE BACKYARDSTORM SHELTERSHED SHOPLARGE CARPORTDOUBLE WIDE CONCRETE DRIVEWAY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Vacant and available; Located in the Hanly addition
  • Financial info: Sold as-is; acceptable financing: Cash or Conventional; Not assumable
  • HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public utilities; Below-ground/outdoor storm shelter
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Faces east; Residential property
  • Construction: Frame construction with vinyl siding; Composition roof (replaced/updated 2023); Conventional foundation; Existing property
  • Exterior features: Open patio; Outbuilding(s); Combination fencing; Interior lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Freestanding gas range and oven
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Wood; Combination
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Zoned heating; Zoned cooling
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Combination of flooring types; Wood flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.6% in Norman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#1 in OK, #557 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
  • Norman (suburban): math 27% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #61 of 270 in OK (top 23%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Lincoln Es (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #107 of 845 statewide, top 14%, 283 students, 0% FRL); Norman Hs (math 27% / reading 44%, grade F, #46 of 447 statewide, top 10%, 2,137 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 39% district-wide (39 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 350 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 592 units permitted in Cleveland County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cleveland County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $36k; list at $100k implies a 174% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $99,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.98%
Cash-on-cash
9.59%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$118,400
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
418 S Stewart Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 750 (+1%) 8mo $159,900 $213 69
320 S Cook Ave 0.48mi 2/1.0 720 (-3%) 6mo $115,000 $160 68
629 Tollie Dr 0.08mi 2/1.0 840 (+14%) 8mo $140,000 $167 67
1505 Morland Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 721 (-3%) 13mo $95,000 $132 61
401 SE 12th St #217 0.34mi 1/1.0 (-1) 756 (+2%) 23mo $60,000 $79 57
517 E Linn St 0.46mi 2/1.0 776 (+5%) 17mo $135,000 $174 56
914 E Eufaula 0.48mi 2/1.0 648 (-12%) 6mo $116,000 $179 52
408 S Cook Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 800 (+8%) 22mo $99,000 $124 49
433 E Apache St 0.55mi 1/1.0 (-1) 644 (-13%) 8mo $90,000 $140 41
1028 E Main St 0.64mi 2/2.0 786 (+6%) 20mo $87,000 $111 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.8% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-2,208
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$15,369
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73071

Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
350
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,027 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$22 /mo · $265/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$216
Net cashflow
$223

Break-even live

Break-even rent $744
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1616 Alameda St Norman, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 975 $980 $1.01 23d 8 0.54mi
1149 W Brooks St Norman, OK 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1025 $1,053 $1.03 1d 7 0.61mi
1106 Arkansas St Norman, OK 1.0 1.0 568 $725 $1.28 23d 1 0.64mi
2023 Delaware Ln Norman, OK 2.0 1.0 720 $1,000 $1.39 23d 1 0.79mi
819 E Lindsey St Norman, OK 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 1d 1 0.83mi
1744 Classen Blvd Unit 2 Norman, OK 1.0 1.0 550 $750 $1.36 3d 1 0.85mi
746 S Jenkins Ave Unit 1/2 Norman, OK 1.0 1.0 500 $825 $1.65 14d 1 0.86mi
1115 Biloxi Dr Norman, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0 818 $909 $1.11 11d 3 0.89mi
430 E Tonhawa St Norman, OK 1.0 1.0 600 $875 $1.46 19d 1 0.91mi
430 E Tonhawa St Norman, OK 1.0 1.0 600 $875 $1.46 23d 1 0.91mi
203 E Brooks St Norman, OK 1.0 1.0 605 $1,000 $1.65 23d 1 0.92mi
602 Tiffin Ave Norman, OK 2.0 1.0 720 $1,249 $1.73 10d 1 0.96mi
1502 E Lindsey St Norman, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 755 $989 $1.31 2d 1 1.07mi
217 E Daws St Unit B Norman, OK 1.0 1.0 650 $900 $1.38 23d 1 1.09mi
222 S University Blvd Unit 2 Norman, OK 2.0 2.0 685 $2,055 $3.00 14d 1 1.15mi
222 S University Blvd Norman, OK 1.0 1.0 695 $2,275 $3.27 23d 1 1.15mi
213 Farmer St Unit 213 Norman, OK 2.0 1.0 700 $1,500 $2.14 3d 1 1.17mi
420 W Comanche St Norman, OK 1.0 1.0 580 $1,200 $2.07 14d 1 1.20mi
500 Stinson St Norman, OK 2.0 1.0 696 $1,000 $1.44 23d 1 1.23mi
303 E Himes St Unit 2 Norman, OK 2.0 1.0 671 $1,045 $1.56 23d 1 1.34mi
127 W Acres St Apt E Norman, OK 1.0 1.0 710 $850 $1.20 3d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 528-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    listed $99,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$265 · $22/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$899 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$634/yr (+$53/mo · 239.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,320
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$265
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$986
− Management
−$986
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$1,082
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$260
After-tax cash flow
$2,422/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Norman
NCES district ID
4021720
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$48,940
Composite
25.67/100
National rank
#7395
State rank
#61 of 270 in OK

Livability — Norman

Score
85/100
State rank
#1
US rank
#557

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Norman, OK
County
Cleveland County · 239,547 people
City population
123,141
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
Population (ZIP)
43,798
Household income
$64,007
Rent vs Own
51.8% rent · 48.2% own
Severe rent burden
1903.0

Population outlook (Cleveland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
323,621 people
By 2030
349,070 · +7.9%
By 2040
400,168 · +23.7%
By 2050
454,101 · +40.3%
By 2075
602,926 · +86.3%
By 2100
734,485 · +127.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Two or more races 12% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 3% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cleveland

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 41.4% · R 56.4% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
+9.1pp toward D · 2008: -24.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+14.1 2016: R+21.7 2012: R+25.9 2008: R+24.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -187.04%
Current HPI
249.3797
Rent YoY
▲ 2.80%
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+173.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $99,900 MLSOK
  • 1984-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $36,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $265 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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