33950 Camelia Dr · Lewes, DE 19958

$49,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 924 sqft · Manufactured · 9 Days on market

Built 1980 37 ac lot $54/sqft · 11% below area Est $56k · 11% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +12.4/15.0
• 1% rule +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +5.0/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Waterfront Community with access to deep water boating and fishing. Just a short walk tothe public crabbing bridge or to catch the local transit bus to downtown. Community boat slips and ramp available. This well kept 3 Bd. 1 bath singlewide with finished sunroom and front kitchen is ready and waiting for your immediate occupancy. Fireplace in living room rear deck with hadicapped ramp and beind sold turn-key fully furnished and raedy to go! Large storage shed and more. Boat in yard is avalible to purchase at an additional price, A must see!

Key facts

• Deep water boating
• Community boat slips
• Finished sunroom

Tags

• DEEP WATER BOATING
• PUBLIC CRABBING BRIDGE
• COMMUNITY BOAT SLIPS
• FINISHED SUNROOM
• FIREPLACE IN LIVING ROOM
• REAR DECK

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Land lease of $715 monthly with about 1 year remaining
• HOA & community: Sewer, trash and water included in association fees

Exterior

• Parking: Crushed stone driveway with two spaces; Off-street parking (total of 2 garage/parking spaces)
• Utilities: Community water available; Gravity septic field; Cable TV available; Phone service available
• Home design: Manufactured single wide; Very good condition; Estimated year built; Above-grade finished living space
• Construction: Aluminum siding; Building not winterized
• Exterior features: Cleared lot; Not in a federal flood zone

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric oven/range; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
• Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane (leased) heating fuel; Central air conditioning (electric)
• Interior features: Insulated doors; Wheelchair modifications and main-level ramp; Furnished
• Laundry & utility: Electric dryer; Washer; Propane hot water (leased tank)

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $985 ($12k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
• Cap rate 41.1% vs local median 1.7% in Lewes — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#40 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, cost of living F.
• Cape Henlopen School District (town): math 42% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #5 of 26 in DE (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 818 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.8% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $49,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 4.41% ✓
• Cap rate: 41.06%
• Cash-on-cash: 124.17%
• DSCR: 6.52
• GRM: 1.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $56,000
• List price: $49,900
• Delta: -10.89%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 1 within 2.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
33987 Sunflower Rd #3831	0.10mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,000 (+8%)	2mo	$56,000	$56	75

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.77% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 81.9%
• Equity multiple: 4.59×
• Total profit: $50,121
• Equity at exit: $7,440

10-year hold

• IRR: 84.6%
• Equity multiple: 8.63×
• Total profit: $106,645
• Equity at exit: $4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 70 Landlord-Friendly
• State Delaware: 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 19958

• Rents YoY: 0.8%
• Active inventory: 818
• Price-to-rent: 1.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,202 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax from tax record: −$11 /mo · $133/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$462
• Net cashflow: $985

Break-even live

Break-even rent $954

Max offer price $49,900

Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,475
• Closing costs: $1,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
33725 Skiff Aly #5309 Lewes, DE	2.0	2.0	844	$1,800	$2.13	21d	1	0.18mi

Listing history 1 events

1. 2026-05-11
   listed $49,900 Active 547-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $133 · $11/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $211 · $18/mo
• Expected delta: +$78/yr (+$7/mo · 58.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $26,419
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,795
• − Property taxes: −$133
• − Insurance: −$5,774
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,114
• − Management: −$2,114
• − Depreciation: −$1,452
• Taxable income: $12,038
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,889
• After-tax cash flow: $8,935/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Cape Henlopen School District
• NCES district ID: 1000170
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -14.00%
• Reading proficiency: 55% ▼ -10.00%
• Median HH income: $60,196
• Composite: 42.47/100
• National rank: #3214
• State rank: #5 of 26 in DE

Livability — Lewes

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #40
• US rank: #11077

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Sussex County · 82,708 people
• City population: 31,938
• Metro: Salisbury, MD-DE
• Population (ZIP): 31,938
• Household income: $97,197
• Rent vs Own: 16.0% rent · 84.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 545.0

Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 248,853 people
• By 2030: 264,464 · +6.3%
• By 2040: 290,980 · +16.9%
• By 2050: 311,259 · +25.1%
• By 2075: 352,488 · +41.6%
• By 2100: 367,406 · +47.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (88%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Black 2% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 6% · Canada
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sussex

• 2024 margin: R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -204.07%
• Current HPI: 299.0736
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.77%
• Metro: Salisbury, MD-DE
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-29 Sold (MLS) $49,900 BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-05-20 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
• 2026-05-11 Listed $49,900 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

-10.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $133 · -65.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.