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8349 Morning Grv
C Composite 55.15
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

8349 Morning Grv · Converse, TX 78109
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,328 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 1996 5,052 sqft lot $120/sqft · 21% below area Est $201k · 21% under $22/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor special with solid bones and tons of potential! This estate sale property is being sold as-is and is perfect for buyers looking to add value with a little TLC. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and over 1,300 square feet, this one-story home offers a functional layout with a spacious living area, eat-in kitchen, and all bedrooms conveniently located on the main level. Major systems are in good condition, including the AC, water heater, and water softener-giving you a strong head start on improvements. The home also includes a one-car garage, an interior utility room, and a large walk-in pantry for added storage. Multiple walk-in closets provide great space and functionality throug

Key facts

  • One story home
  • Spacious living area
  • Eat in kitchen

Tags

ONE STORY HOMEFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTSPACIOUS LIVING AREAEAT IN KITCHENMAIN LEVELINTERIOR UTILITY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Association transfer fee applies
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Community pool; Park/playground; HOA fee charged annually

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Utilities: City water and sewer
  • Home design: Pre-owned single-family home; Approximately 30 years old
  • Construction: Brick and siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio slab; Privacy fence; Mature trees

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen; Stove/Range; Dishwasher; Walk-in pantry
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom with walk-in closet, ceiling fan and full bath; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3
  • Flooring: Carpeting; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Master bath with tub/shower combination
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Chandelier; Eat-in kitchen; Walk-in pantry; Utility room inside; Washer and dryer connections; Stove/Range; Dishwasher; Ground level / no steps; Cable TV available; High speed internet; All bedrooms on main level; All window coverings remain
  • Laundry & utility: Washer connection; Dryer connection; Utility room inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.4% in Converse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#649 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: schools C-, crime C-, amenities F.
  • Judson ISD (suburban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #660 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 1152 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,308 units permitted in Bexar County in 2024 (2,506 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bexar County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $159,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
7.37%
Cash-on-cash
3.86%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$201,390
List price
$159,900
Delta
-20.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8349 Morning Grv 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,328 (0%) 0mo $159,900 $120 100
6555 Beech Trl 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,408 (+6%) 2mo $195,000 $138 75
11548 Chestnut Rose 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,354 (+2%) 3mo $192,999 $143 66
11572 Chestnut Rose 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,354 (+2%) 3mo $199,999 $148 66
6852 Flatstone Pass 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,211 (-9%) 2mo $189,000 $156 66
6630 Snow Mdw 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,525 (+15%) 0mo $215,000 $141 65
11520 Chestnut Rose 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,380 (+4%) 3mo $159,999 $116 63
6670 Snow Meadow Dr 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,513 (+14%) 2mo $169,900 $112 62
8207 Tortoise Trl 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,436 (+8%) 4mo $270,000 $188 58
11508 Chestnut Rose 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,213 (-9%) 4mo $182,999 $151 54
11532 Chestnut Rose 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,213 (-9%) 4mo $180,999 $149 54
11540 Chestnut Rose 0.60mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,483 (+12%) 4mo $197,999 $134 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.9%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-21,690
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-26,174
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78109

Home prices YoY
-17.8%
Rents YoY
-1.1%
Active inventory
1152
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,719 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$287 /mo · $3,440/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$22
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$361
Net cashflow
$144

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,536
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $234 -5% $189 +0% $144 +5% $99 +10% $53
Rent -10% $8 -5% $76 +0% $144 +5% $212 +10% $280
Rate -1.0pp $224 -0.5pp $185 base $144 +0.5pp $102 +1.0pp $60

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6623 Meadow Dawn Dr Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1513 $1,600 $1.06 44d 1 0.15mi
6827 Cypress Mist Dr Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1698 $1,449 $0.85 3d 1 0.15mi
8335 Bent Meadow Dr Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1513 $1,595 $1.05 44d 1 0.16mi
6822 Eden Grove Dr Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1435 $1,490 $1.04 44d 1 0.17mi
6863 Cypress Mist Dr Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1735 $1,550 $0.89 11d 1 0.22mi
6846 Columbia Ridge Dr Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1307 $1,430 $1.09 5d 1 0.24mi
8304 Heights Vly Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1249 $1,450 $1.16 15d 1 0.28mi
6491 Beech Trail Dr Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1520 $2,100 $1.38 44d 1 0.28mi
6870 Flaming Ridge Dr Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1698 $1,695 $1.00 13d 1 0.31mi
6870 Flaming Ridge Dr Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1698 $1,695 $1.00 24d 1 0.31mi
8210 Steep Vly Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1757 $1,485 $0.85 44d 1 0.33mi
8011 Chestnut Barr Dr Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1520 $1,665 $1.10 44d 1 0.33mi
7038 Cole Creek Dr Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1582 $1,695 $1.07 24d 1 0.34mi
8732 Seneca Crk Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1582 $1,445 $0.91 44d 1 0.36mi
6802 Canary Meadow Dr Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1734 $1,550 $0.89 24d 1 0.38mi
8162 Heights Vly Converse, TX 4.0 2.5 1828 $1,680 $0.92 44d 1 0.38mi
8206 Longhorn Ridge Dr Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1386 $1,525 $1.10 3d 1 0.39mi
6439 Beech Trail Dr Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1520 $1,450 $0.95 13d 1 0.40mi
6907 Saharastone Dr Converse, TX 3.0 3.0 1211 $1,416 $1.17 13d 1 0.40mi
6907 Saharastone Dr Converse, TX 3.0 3.0 1211 $1,310 $1.08 5d 1 0.40mi
8151 Cheryl Meadow Dr Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1698 $1,730 $1.02 5d 1 0.51mi
8127 Ocean Meadow Dr Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1520 $1,700 $1.12 44d 1 0.51mi
6610 Eastern Clouds Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1496 $1,660 $1.11 5d 1 0.54mi
8818 Slumber Ln Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1259 $1,700 $1.35 2d 1 0.58mi
8206 Talkenhorn Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1584 $1,895 $1.20 24d 1 0.59mi
8206 Talkenhorn Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1584 $1,595 $1.01 44d 1 0.59mi
6123 Ironmill Crk Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1590 $1,595 $1.00 44d 1 0.59mi
8039 Sunshine Trail Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1774 $1,745 $0.98 5d 1 0.60mi
8827 Slumber Ln Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1292 $2,000 $1.55 44d 1 0.60mi
7611 Overview Pl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1451 $1,750 $1.21 15d 1 0.63mi
8914 Kestrel Oak Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1582 $1,600 $1.01 24d 1 0.69mi
8848 Staghorn Ml Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1212 $1,500 $1.24 5d 1 0.69mi
6414 Kensinger Pass Converse, TX 3.0 2.5 1582 $2,100 $1.33 44d 1 0.70mi
6027 Kensinger Pass Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1332 $1,480 $1.11 5d 1 0.70mi
8251 Sunshine Trail Dr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1627 $1,695 $1.04 24d 1 0.71mi
7135 Grassy Trl San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.0 1422 $2,000 $1.41 44d 1 0.73mi
6106 Secret Shrs San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1698 $1,500 $0.88 24d 1 0.75mi
5736 Brook Pr San Antonio, TX 3.0 2.5 1497 $1,500 $1.00 24d 1 0.76mi
5735 Cool River Way San Antonio, TX 3.0–5.0 2.0–3.5 2059 $1,929 $0.94 2d 5 0.78mi
8003 Chestnut Manor Dr Converse, TX 3.0 2.0 1641 $1,795 $1.09 17d 1 0.79mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$22 · $264/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 1118-char remark
  2. 2026-04-24
    listed $159,900 New 1118-char remark
  3. 1996-10-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,440 · $287/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,440 · $287/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,624
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$3,440
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,650
− Management
−$1,650
− HOA
−$264
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable loss
−$788
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$189
After-tax cash flow
$1,916/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Judson ISD
NCES district ID
4824990
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$57,542
Composite
24.39/100
National rank
#7689
State rank
#660 of 826 in TX

Livability — Converse

Score
66/100
State rank
#649
US rank
#12250

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Bexar County · 1,990,555 people
City population
63,067
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
Population (ZIP)
63,067
Household income
$91,320
Rent vs Own
25.1% rent · 74.9% own
Severe rent burden
1732.0

Population outlook (Bexar County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,336,851 people
By 2030
2,560,728 · +9.6%
By 2040
3,020,569 · +29.3%
By 2050
3,493,522 · +49.5%
By 2075
4,668,459 · +99.8%
By 2100
5,533,242 · +136.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 44% White 27% Two or more races 21% Black 21% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
71% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bexar

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.8) · D 54.3% · R 44.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: 9.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.8 2020: D+18.2 2016: D+13.5 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.02%
Current HPI
236.4923
Rent YoY
▼ -1.08%
Metro
San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Sold (MLS) LERA
  • 2026-06-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2026-05-06 Pending LERA
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $159,900 LERA
  • 1996-10-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+13.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,440 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…