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1065 Crestwoods Dr
D- Composite 39.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +11.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.7/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +0.9/10.0

$289,000

1065 Crestwoods Dr · Pocono Pines, PA 18350
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,440 sqft · Townhouse public records · 71 Days on market
Built 1984 435 sqft lot $201/sqft · 8% below area Est $315k · 8% under $855/mo HOA · 30% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A picturesque lake view setting complimenting the extraordinary, relaxed aura of Pinecrest Lake Golf & Country Club. Appealing townhome living with 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths. Welcoming living with stone woodburning fireplace and wet bar. Blended dining with lake views opens to the peaceful deck. Spacious kitchen with breakfast area. Primary bedroom with lake views and a woodburning fireplace add the perfect touch to getaway ambiance. Updates include luxury flooring, stainless appliances, quartz counters and comfortable ductless air conditioning. Take the woodland trails to tennis, pickleball, beach, lake and the gorgeous new pool. The scenic 18 hole private golf course, driving range and intimate clubhouse close by enrich the beautiful amenities. Truly a recognized lifestyle of premium services and pristine appeal.

Key facts

  • Wet bar
  • Lake view
  • Peaceful deck

Tags

LAKE VIEWSTONE WOODBURNING FIREPLACEWET BARDINING WITH LAKE VIEWSPEACEFUL DECKBREAKFAST AREA

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $289k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-468 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (28.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $286k (0.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $206k (28.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#532 in PA, #4,925 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $150k; list at $289k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 30% of rent.
Recommended offer $206,323 (28.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
4.35%
Cash-on-cash
-6.94%
DSCR
0.69
GRM
8.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$315,099
List price
$289,000
Delta
-8.28%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1055 Crestwoods Dr 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,440 (0%) 10mo $270,000 $188 90
846 Crest Pines Ln 0.07mi 3/2.5 1,440 (0%) 14mo $230,000 $160 85
823 Crest Pines Ln Ln 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,488 (+3%) 10mo $299,000 $201 84
833 Crest Pines Ln 0.06mi 3/2.5 1,440 (0%) 16mo $340,000 $236 84
513 Rondaxe Ln 0.21mi 3/2.5 1,488 (+3%) 3mo $335,000 $225 82
423 Woods Lake Ln 0.13mi 3/2.5 1,488 (+3%) 16mo $200,000 $134 74
1532 Assembly Lodge Ln 0.28mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,468 (+2%) 10mo $285,000 $194 71
1061 Crestwoods Dr 0.01mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,631 (+13%) 4mo $300,000 $184 69
325 Chickagami Ln 0.26mi 3/2.5 1,564 (+9%) 22mo $240,000 $153 55

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-28.1%
Equity multiple
0.06×
Total profit
$-76,145
Equity at exit
$43,091
10-year hold
IRR
-26.0%
Equity multiple
-0.27×
Total profit
$-102,682
Equity at exit
$24,987

Cash invested: $80,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18350

Home prices YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
8.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,864 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,516
Tax from tax record
$240 /mo · $2,875/yr
Insurance
$120
HOA
$855
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$601
Net cashflow
$-468

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,456
Max offer price $206,323
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-304 -5% $-386 +0% $-468 +5% $-550 +10% $-632
Rent -10% $-694 -5% $-581 +0% $-468 +5% $-355 +10% $-242
Rate -1.0pp $-322 -0.5pp $-395 base $-468 +0.5pp $-543 +1.0pp $-619

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$72,250
Closing costs
$8,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$855 · $10,260/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $289,000 Active 71 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $289,000 Active 68 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $289,000 Active 67 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $289,000 Active 66 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $289,000 Active 65 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $289,000 Active 63 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $289,000 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $289,000 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $289,000 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $289,000 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $289,000 Active 57 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $289,000 Active 52 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $289,000 Active 51 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $289,000 Active 50 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $289,000 Active 49 DOM
  16. 2026-04-11
    listed $289,000 Active 829-char remark
    Show marketing remark (829 chars)

    A picturesque lake view setting complimenting the extraordinary, relaxed aura of Pinecrest Lake Golf & Country Club. Appealing townhome living with 3 bedrooms, 2.5 baths. Welcoming living with stone woodburning fireplace and wet bar. Blended dining with lake views opens to the peaceful deck. Spacious kitchen with breakfast area. Primary bedroom with lake views and a woodburning fireplace add the perfect touch to getaway ambiance. Updates include luxury flooring, stainless appliances, quartz counters and comfortable ductless air conditioning. Take the woodland trails to tennis, pickleball, beach, lake and the gorgeous new pool. The scenic 18 hole private golf course, driving range and intimate clubhouse close by enrich the beautiful amenities. Truly a recognized lifestyle of premium services and pristine appeal.

  17. 2025-04-24
    price $295,000
  18. 2025-03-14
    listed $305,000 Active
  19. 2005-01-04
    soldstatus $150,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,875 · $240/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,721 · $310/mo
Expected delta
+$845/yr (+$70/mo · 29.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,368
− Mortgage interest
−$16,188
− Property taxes
−$2,875
− Insurance
−$1,445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,749
− Management
−$2,749
− HOA
−$10,260
− Depreciation
−$8,407
Taxable loss
−$10,307
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,474
After-tax cash flow
$-3,143/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Pocono Pines

Score
74/100
State rank
#532
US rank
#4925

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment A+ Housing A Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pocono Pines, PA
City population
595
Population (ZIP)
595

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Asian 12% Two or more races 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 6% Russian 3%
Foreign-born
15% · South Korea
Languages at home
82% English-only · Korean 12% Other Indo-European 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.00%
Current HPI
215.5562
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+92.7% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-11 Listed $289,000 PMAR
  • 2025-04-24 Price Changed $295,000 PMAR
  • 2025-03-14 Listed $305,000 PMAR
  • 2005-01-04 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-5.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,875 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…