1178 Ironstone Dr · Union, MI 48858

$77,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,082 sqft · SingleFamily · 38 Days on market

Built 2024 Good condition $71/sqft · 27% below area Est $106k · 27% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +5.0/5.0
• Schools +4.4/10.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

COMMUNITY AND WOODED-PRIVACY! Buyers will enjoy the open concept floorplan, primary bedroom en-suite with a walk-in-closet, brand new washer and dryer, and all new appliances. Additional features include: 30-year shingles, thermal pane windows, and upgraded insulation. Seller is willing to offer one month of FREE LOT RENT Summerhill Village community offers a dog park, club house with fire pit, and playground. Lot rent is $460.00/month.

Key facts

• All new appliances
• Walk-in-closet
• 30-year shingles

Tags

• OPEN CONCEPT FLOORPLAN
• PRIMARY BEDROOM ENSUITE
• WALK-IN-CLOSET
• BRAND NEW WASHER AND DRYER
• ALL NEW APPLIANCES
• 30-YEAR SHINGLES

🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $77,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$105,829) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $77k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $489 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $77k).
• Recommended offer: $75k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 4.8% in Union — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Mt. Pleasant City School District (town): math 33% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #229 of 540 in MI (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Pullen Elementary School (327 students, 68% FRL); Fancher School (math 44% / reading 56%, grade D+, #371 of 1,397 statewide, top 27%, 406 students, 47% FRL); Mt Pleasant Senior High School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #154 of 713 statewide, top 25%, 1,058 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 36% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+16.9%/yr); 320 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 72 units permitted in Isabella County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $532 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Isabella County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($75k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 6509% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Recommended offer $74,690 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.68% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.91%
• Cash-on-cash: 27.19%
• DSCR: 2.21
• GRM: 5.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $105,829
• List price: $77,000
• Delta: -27.24%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1029 Pebble Creek Dr	0.32mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,216 (+12%)	3mo	$22,500	$19	57
1147 Barnswood Ct	0.09mi	2/2.0 (-1)	940 (-13%)	16mo	$29,500	$31	55
3729 E Millbrook Rd	0.51mi	3/1.0	1,104 (+2%)	23mo	$182,500	$165	50
5578 S Crawford Rd	0.76mi	3/1.0	1,008 (-7%)	2mo	$185,500	$184	48
5371 S Crawford Rd	0.71mi	3/1.0	1,008 (-7%)	5mo	$133,000	$132	48
1073 Hemlock Dr	0.21mi	3/2.0	1,296 (+20%)	24mo	$67,500	$52	45
4506 E Millbrook Rd	0.96mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,275 (+18%)	10mo	$238,000	$187	27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 26.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.18×
• Total profit: $25,486
• Equity at exit: $11,481

10-year hold

• IRR: 37.2%
• Equity multiple: 5.33×
• Total profit: $93,416
• Equity at exit: $6,658

Cash invested: $21,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 9 active
• Months of supply: 18.0 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $90,000 ($80/sqft)
• Median days on market: 32 d
• This list price: 11% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: +23.0% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 48858

• Home prices YoY: -31.9%
• Rents YoY: 16.9%
• Active inventory: 320
• Price-to-rent: 5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,292 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$404
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$96 /mo · $1,155/yr
• Insurance: −$32
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$271
• Net cashflow: $489

Break-even live

Break-even rent $674

Max offer price $77,000

Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $542	-5% $515	+0% $489	+5% $462	+10% $435
Rent	-10% $386	-5% $438	+0% $489	+5% $540	+10% $591
Rate	-1.0pp $527	-0.5pp $508	base $489	+0.5pp $469	+1.0pp $448

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,250
• Closing costs: $2,310
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
5280 S Mission Rd Mt Pleasant, MI	2.0–4.0	2.0	1264	$1,332	$1.05	93d	4	0.37mi
4171 E Blue Grass Rd Mt Pleasant, MI	2.0	1.0	800	$850	$1.06	93d	1	1.19mi

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Pets allowedAssociation handles trash removal

Exterior

• Parking: No parking details provided
• Security: No security features listed
• Utilities: Public waterCommunity sewerNatural gas availableCable available
• Home design: Manufactured residential homeSingle-story
• Construction: Built in 2024Vinyl siding constructionPiers foundation
• Exterior features: Vinyl sidingPorchShed on the propertyNo water features

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (6 x 15)Vinyl flooringMicrowave, Range/Oven, Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Main-level primary bedroom (14 x 11) with carpetMain-level second bedroom (8 x 8) with carpetMain-level third bedroom (approx. 9' wide) with carpetFirst-floor bedroom
• Flooring: Carpet in bedroomsVinyl in living, dining, kitchen and laundry areas
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (primary bath present)
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas)Central A/C
• Interior features: Porch
• Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (3 x 6) with vinyl flooringWasher and Dryer included

Listing history 35 events

1. 2026-08-08
   days on market $77,000 Active 38 DOM
2. 2026-08-07
   days on market $77,000 Active 37 DOM
3. 2026-08-06
   days on market $77,000 Active 36 DOM
4. 2026-08-05
   days on market $77,000 Active 35 DOM
5. 2026-08-04
   days on market $77,000 Active 34 DOM
6. 2026-08-03
   days on market $77,000 Active 33 DOM
7. 2026-07-31
   days on market $77,000 Active 30 DOM
8. 2026-07-30
   days on market $77,000 Active 29 DOM
9. 2026-07-29
   days on market $77,000 Active 28 DOM
10. 2026-07-27
    days on market $77,000 Active 26 DOM
11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $77,000 Active 24 DOM
12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $77,000 Active 23 DOM
13. 2026-07-23
    listing id $77,000 Active 22 DOM
14. 2026-07-23
    days on market $77,000 Active 22 DOM
15. 2026-07-22
    days on market $77,000 Active 21 DOM
16. 2026-07-21
    days on market $77,000 Active 20 DOM
17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $77,000 Active 17 DOM
18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $77,000 Active 15 DOM
19. 2026-07-16
    days on market $77,000 Active 14 DOM
20. 2026-07-14
    days on market $77,000 Active 13 DOM
21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $77,000 Active 12 DOM
22. 2026-07-12
    days on market $77,000 Active 11 DOM
23. 2026-07-11
    remarks 533-char remark
24. 2026-07-11
    days on market $77,000 Active 10 DOM
25. 2026-07-10
    days on market $77,000 Active 9 DOM
26. 2026-07-09
    days on market $77,000 Active 8 DOM
27. 2026-07-08
    days on market $77,000 Active 7 DOM
28. 2026-07-07
    days on market $77,000 Active 6 DOM
29. 2026-07-06
    days on market $77,000 Active 5 DOM
30. 2026-07-05
    days on market $77,000 Active 4 DOM
31. 2026-07-04
    days on market $77,000 Active 3 DOM
32. 2026-07-03
    days on market $77,000 Active 2 DOM
33. 2026-07-02
    listing id $77,000 Active 1 DOM
34. 2026-07-01
    remarks 440-char remark
35. 2026-07-01
    listed $77,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,504
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,313
• − Property taxes: −$1,155
• − Insurance: −$385
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,240
• − Management: −$1,240
• − Depreciation: −$2,240
• Taxable income: $4,930
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,183
• After-tax cash flow: $4,679/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $5,410–$16,230 screening

The home is in good condition with recent improvements and a well-maintained exterior. The community has amenities that can attract potential buyers or renters. The property is move-in ready with minor maintenance needed.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can enhance curb appeal and attract potential buyers or renters. ↑
• Both Interior updates — Fresh paint and updated appliances can make the interior more appealing and attract potential buyers or renters. ↑
• Both Exterior updates — Fresh paint and updated siding can enhance curb appeal and attract potential buyers or renters. ↑
• Both HVAC system — Upgrading the HVAC system can improve comfort and energy efficiency, which can attract potential buyers or renters. ↑
• Both Structural inspection — A structural inspection can ensure the home is safe and secure, which can attract potential buyers or renters. ↑
• Both Community amenities — The community amenities such as a dog park, club house with fire pit, and playground can enhance the overall appeal and attract potential buyers or renters. ↑
• Rental Lot rent — The seller is willing to offer one month of free lot rent, which can make the property more attractive to renters. ↑
• Both Property type — The property type is listed as ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 44/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Vowles School Middle Mt Pleasant Middle School F MI #235/493 Nat'l #6,571/14,009 High Mt Pleasant Senior High School D MI #154/713 Nat'l #5,677/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mt. Pleasant City School District
• NCES district ID: 2624750
• Math proficiency: 33% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 48% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $32,344
• Composite: 33.16/100
• National rank: #5548
• State rank: #229 of 540 in MI

Livability — Union

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Isabella County · 75,111 people
• Metro: Mount Pleasant, MI
• Population (ZIP): 42,226
• Household income: $51,267
• Rent vs Own: 50.2% rent · 49.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 12% of renters

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Population outlook (Isabella County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 75,111 people
• By 2030: 77,600 · +3.3%
• By 2040: 79,890 · +6.4%
• By 2050: 81,568 · +8.6%
• By 2075: 86,602 · +15.3%
• By 2100: 92,201 · +22.8%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (81%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 81% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 4% Black 3% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Iranian 3%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 0%

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Political lean MEDSL · Isabella

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+7.5) · D 45.5% · R 53.0% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.7pp toward R · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: -7.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+7.5 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+9.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -96.75%
• Current HPI: 206.1153
• Rent YoY: ▲ 16.89%
• Metro: Mount Pleasant, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Pets allowedAssociation handles trash removal

Exterior

• Parking: No parking details provided
• Security: No security features listed
• Utilities: Public waterCommunity sewerNatural gas availableCable available
• Home design: Manufactured residential homeSingle-story
• Construction: Built in 2024Vinyl siding constructionPiers foundation
• Exterior features: Vinyl sidingPorchShed on the propertyNo water features

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (6 x 15)Vinyl flooringMicrowave, Range/Oven, Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Main-level primary bedroom (14 x 11) with carpetMain-level second bedroom (8 x 8) with carpetMain-level third bedroom (approx. 9' wide) with carpetFirst-floor bedroom
• Flooring: Carpet in bedroomsVinyl in living, dining, kitchen and laundry areas
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (primary bath present)
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas)Central A/C
• Interior features: Porch
• Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room (3 x 6) with vinyl flooringWasher and Dryer included

Price history

-98.5% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2025-02-04 Rental Removed $1,165 TURBOTENANT
• 2025-01-04 Listed for Rent $1,165 TURBOTENANT
• 2006-07-01 Listed $77,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2006-07-01 Listed $77,000 REALCOMP