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9380 Brunswick Ave
D+ Composite 47.28
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.7/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.3/10.0
  • DSCR +1.8/10.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$249,900

9380 Brunswick Ave · Kimberly, AL 35091
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,740 sqft · SingleFamily
Built 2026 Excellent condition 10,018 sqft lot Est $285k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Experience the ultimate in flexible single-level living with the Langford ranch. This home features an open-concept design, highlighted by an open kitchen that seamlessly flows into the spacious family room. Enjoy dining in a light-filled area with stunning backyard views and easy access to a covered patio. The owner’s suite is a private sanctuary tucked away at the back of the home, boasting a spa-like bath and a sizable walk-in closet. With 9ft high ceilings, the sense of space is elevated throughout. An extra-large laundry room adds convenience and connects directly to the owner’s suite. You can even personalize your finishes to make this home truly yours. For those needing m

Key facts

  • 0.23 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2026

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k. Condition is rated excellent.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-354 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $199k (20.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (27.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (27.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#99 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Jefferson County (suburban): math 9% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #104 of 129 in AL (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Bryant Park Elementary (math 13% / reading 38%, grade F, #411 of 627 statewide, top 66%, 708 students, 62% FRL); Mortimer Jordan High School (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #114 of 305 statewide, top 38%, 861 students, 45% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $182,170 (27.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.73%
Cap rate
4.91%
Cash-on-cash
-4.94%
DSCR
0.78
GRM
11.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$285,360
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9332 Brunswick Ave 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,740 (0%) 4mo $279,195 $160 94
9324 Brunswick Ave 0.04mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,754 (+1%) 4mo $289,850 $165 88
9510 Pharris Ln 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,753 (+1%) 4mo $267,000 $152 80
9331 Brunswick Ave 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,535 (-12%) 2mo $252,685 $165 79
9340 Brunswick Ave 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,933 (+11%) 1mo $288,625 $149 79
9312 Brunswick Ave 0.02mi 3/2.5 1,933 (+11%) 3mo $275,995 $143 76
1708 Bone Dry Rd 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,748 (+0%) 4mo $287,000 $164 71
2004 Darwin Cir 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,610 (-8%) 1mo $295,000 $183 67

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
2.62×
Total profit
$113,604
Equity at exit
$225,130
10-year hold
IRR
18.3%
Equity multiple
6.04×
Total profit
$352,427
Equity at exit
$485,501

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35091

Home prices YoY
8.8%
Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,822 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,748/yr
Insurance
$104
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$383
Net cashflow
$-354

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,270
Max offer price $198,630
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,475
Closing costs
$7,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-04-05
    listed $249,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,860
− Mortgage interest
−$13,998
− Property taxes
−$3,748
− Insurance
−$2,047
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,749
− Management
−$1,749
− Depreciation
−$7,270
Taxable loss
−$8,701
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,088
After-tax cash flow
$-2,164/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Excellent 95/100 None rehab

This home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It is move-in ready and would benefit from landscaping and painting to further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can make a home more appealing
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can make a home more appealing
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jefferson County
NCES district ID
0101920
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$51,712
Composite
18.4/100
National rank
#8937
State rank
#104 of 129 in AL

Livability — Kimberly

Score
66/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#11415

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Kimberly, AL
Population (ZIP)
3,632

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
669,185 people
By 2030
669,694 · +0.1%
By 2040
661,388 · -1.2%
By 2050
643,086 · -3.9%
By 2075
577,267 · -13.7%
By 2100
474,758 · -29.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Black 5% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 7% Slovak 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
99% English-only · Korean 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 21.37%
Current HPI
265.4636
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-05 Listed $249,900 Greater Alabama MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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