133 Jasper Kemp · Pitkin, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.6/30.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 133 Jasper Kemp, Pitkin, LA 70656 -- a versatile property offering flexibility, affordability, and room to make it your own. This home provides a great opportunity for buyers looking for a starter home, investment property, or downsizing option. With a functional layout and flexible spaces, it can easily adapt to fit your needs. Situated in a quiet, rural setting, you'll enjoy the peace of country living. The property offers plenty of outdoor space to relax, garden, or room for pets making it ideal for those who appreciate country living and privacy. Whether you're an investor seeking potential or a buyer looking for a place to personalize, 133 Jasper Kemp delivers value and versatility at an approachable price point.
Key facts
- Flexible spaces
- Versatile property
- Quiet rural setting
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#102 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Vernon Parish (rural): math 35% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #18 of 98 in LA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Vernon Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
- Vernon County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 179 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 179 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.07%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.23% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $30,568
- Equity at exit
- $51,791
- IRR
- 18.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.03×
- Total profit
- $84,370
- Equity at exit
- $85,799
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70656
- Home prices YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,108 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$124 /mo · $1,492/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$233
- Net cashflow
- $187
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $256 | -5% $222 | +0% $187 | +5% $153 | +10% $119 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $100 | -5% $144 | +0% $187 | +5% $231 | +10% $275 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $238 | -0.5pp $213 | base $187 | +0.5pp $162 | +1.0pp $135 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,500 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,500 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,500 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $99,500 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $105,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-03-29price $105,000 738-char remark
Show marketing remark (738 chars)
Welcome to 133 Jasper Kemp, Pitkin, LA 70656 -- a versatile property offering flexibility, affordability, and room to make it your own. This home provides a great opportunity for buyers looking for a starter home, investment property, or downsizing option. With a functional layout and flexible spaces, it can easily adapt to fit your needs. Situated in a quiet, rural setting, you'll enjoy the peace of country living. The property offers plenty of outdoor space to relax, garden, or room for pets making it ideal for those who appreciate country living and privacy. Whether you're an investor seeking potential or a buyer looking for a place to personalize, 133 Jasper Kemp delivers value and versatility at an approachable price point.
-
2025-12-12$119,000 Active 738-char remark
Show marketing remark (738 chars)
Welcome to 133 Jasper Kemp, Pitkin, LA 70656 -- a versatile property offering flexibility, affordability, and room to make it your own. This home provides a great opportunity for buyers looking for a starter home, investment property, or downsizing option. With a functional layout and flexible spaces, it can easily adapt to fit your needs. Situated in a quiet, rural setting, you'll enjoy the peace of country living. The property offers plenty of outdoor space to relax, garden, or room for pets making it ideal for those who appreciate country living and privacy. Whether you're an investor seeking potential or a buyer looking for a place to personalize, 133 Jasper Kemp delivers value and versatility at an approachable price point.
-
2025-09-24price $127,000
-
2025-09-01price $130,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,292
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$1,492
- − Insurance
- −$498
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,063
- − Management
- −$1,063
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable income
- $707
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$170
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,079/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This manufactured home in Pitkin, LA is in good condition with a cosmetic rehab level, offering a great opportunity for buyers seeking a starter home or investment property.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
- Both Replace worn-out flooring — Fresh flooring improves aesthetics and value
- Both Update kitchen appliances — Modern appliances increase appeal and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value ↑
- Both Replace worn-out flooring — Fresh flooring improves aesthetics and value ↑
- Both Update kitchen appliances — Modern appliances increase appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Vernon Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201830
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -42.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -32.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,822
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4674
- State rank
- #18 of 98 in LA
Livability — Pitkin
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #102
- US rank
- #10090
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pitkin, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,488
Population outlook (Vernon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 45,401 people
- By 2030
- 43,015 · -5.3%
- By 2040
- 38,171 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 34,087 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 28,267 · -37.7%
- By 2100
- 25,486 · -43.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 7% Native American 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Vernon
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+67.9) · D 15.6% · R 83.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.5pp toward R · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -67.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+67.9 2020: R+64.9 2016: R+65.0 2012: R+57.5 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.23%
- Current HPI
- 91.0868
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-19.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-29 Price Changed $105,000 GFPAR
- 2025-12-12 Listed $119,000 GFPAR
- 2025-09-24 Price Changed $127,000 GFPAR
- 2025-09-01 Price Changed $130,000 GFPAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…