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613 Catalpa Ave
B Composite 73.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$73,500

613 Catalpa Ave · Dothan, AL 36301
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,162 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1942 6,969 sqft lot Est $91k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Calling all Investors!!! This 1162 sqft. 3 bed, 1 bath home is a great rental opportunity with a long-term tenant. Central HVAC, Refinished hardwood floor. Crawl space. Rent is $600 per month. Property is part of a larger investment portfolio with a total of 8 properties.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Backyard
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSCOVERED FRONT PORCHBACKYARDREFRESHED INTERIOR PAINTUPDATED BATHROOM

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Wood siding
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Waterfront property

Interior

  • Kitchen: No listed built-in appliances
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Double-pane windows; Fireplace in the living room (1)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $74k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $277 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($915 rent vs $74k).
  • Recommended offer: $72k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 4.4% in Dothan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#146 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Dothan City (urban): math 19% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #73 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Girard Intermediate School (math 2% / reading 20%, grade F, #560 of 627 statewide, top 90%, 321 students, 95% FRL); Dothan Preparatory Academy (math 12% / reading 38%, grade F, #163 of 257 statewide, top 64%, 1,133 students, 78% FRL); Dothan High School (math 16% / reading 24%, grade F, #163 of 305 statewide, top 54%, 1,454 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 59% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 410 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $508 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($72k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $74k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $72,397 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
10.82%
Cash-on-cash
16.15%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$90,636
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
706 Westmead St A & B St 0.10mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,102 (-5%) 0mo $20,000 $18 77
607 Arlington Ave 0.12mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,278 (+10%) 1mo $55,000 $43 72
610 Catalpa Ave 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,296 (+12%) 21mo $61,148 $47 58
503 W Powell St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,260 (+8%) 5mo $55,000 $44 57
618 Langley Dr 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,100 (-5%) 11mo $90,000 $82 56
803 Dogwood Trl 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,225 (+5%) 6mo $105,000 $86 56
601 Langley Dr 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,035 (-11%) 14mo $74,500 $72 50
613 Virginia Dr 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,053 (-9%) 19mo $129,900 $123 48
303 Lakeview Dr 0.66mi 3/1.5 1,244 (+7%) 10mo $97,500 $78 47
707 S Lena St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,101 (-5%) 14mo $50,000 $45 42
846 S Park Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,295 (+11%) 20mo $140,000 $108 36
1210 Decatur St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,005 (-14%) 10mo $121,000 $120 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$5,710
Equity at exit
$10,959
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
2.34×
Total profit
$27,592
Equity at exit
$6,355

Cash invested: $20,580 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36301

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
410
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$915 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$385
Tax from tax record
$29 /mo · $353/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$192
Net cashflow
$277

Break-even live

Break-even rent $564
Max offer price $73,500
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $319 -5% $298 +0% $277 +5% $256 +10% $235
Rent -10% $205 -5% $241 +0% $277 +5% $313 +10% $349
Rate -1.0pp $314 -0.5pp $296 base $277 +0.5pp $258 +1.0pp $239

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,375
Closing costs
$2,205
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
500 Morgan St Unit C16 Dothan, AL 3.0 2.0 800 $750 $0.94 44d 1 0.14mi
500 Morgan St Dothan, AL 2.0 1.0 850 $725 $0.85 44d 1 0.14mi
403 Holly Ln Dothan, AL 2.0 1.0–2.0 1175 $1,350 $1.15 44d 4 0.26mi
310 W Lafayette St Dothan, AL 3.0 1.0 1459 $995 $0.68 44d 1 0.43mi
193 S Saint Andrews St Dothan, AL 2.0 2.0 1100 $2,100 $1.91 44d 1 0.70mi
1658 W Main St Dothan, AL 2.0 1.0 1000 $875 $0.88 44d 1 0.79mi
706 Chinook St Dothan, AL 3.0 2.0 1214 $850 $0.70 44d 1 0.89mi
806 S Ussery St Dothan, AL 3.0 1.0 934 $895 $0.96 44d 1 1.05mi
1308 Sioux St Dothan, AL 2.0 2.0 1004 $850 $0.85 44d 1 1.15mi
1809 Haisten Dr Dothan, AL 3.0 2.0 1345 $1,300 $0.97 44d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $73,500 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $73,500 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $73,500 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $73,500 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $73,500 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $73,500 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $73,500 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $73,500 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $73,500 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $73,500 Active 8 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $73,500 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $73,500 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $73,500 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $73,500 Active 2 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    remarks 391-char remark
  16. 2026-05-31
    listed $73,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$353 · $29/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$353 · $29/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,975
− Mortgage interest
−$4,117
− Property taxes
−$353
− Insurance
−$368
− Repairs & maintenance
−$878
− Management
−$878
− Depreciation
−$2,138
Taxable income
$2,243
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$538
After-tax cash flow
$2,786/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dothan City
NCES district ID
0101230
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,279
Composite
24.56/100
National rank
#7640
State rank
#73 of 129 in AL

Livability — Dothan

Score
64/100
State rank
#146
US rank
#13662

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dothan, AL
City population
47,783
Population (ZIP)
38,627

Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,280 people
By 2030
112,668 · +2.2%
By 2040
116,149 · +5.3%
By 2050
117,805 · +6.8%
By 2075
118,577 · +7.5%
By 2100
110,940 · +0.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Houston

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.46%
Current HPI
161.1212
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+36.4% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $73,500 SAMLS
  • 2024-01-26 Sold (MLS) $40,000 SAMLS
  • 2023-12-11 Pending SAMLS
  • 2023-08-25 Contingent SAMLS
  • 2023-08-16 Delisted SAMLS
  • 2023-03-07 Listed $53,900 SAMLS

Property tax history

+6.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $353 · +13.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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