24316 Precious Dr · Robertsdale, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.0/30.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home, to this beautiful 2016 mobile home. It features a breath-taking built in porch! Stepping in to this home, you will notice a generous size living room and a lovely open kitchen with all black appliances. It features 2 bedrooms 2 bathrooms. Large master room with master bathroom. One owner!
Key facts
- Standup shower
- Soaking tub
- Large walk in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Mineral rights: All rights reserved; Listing broker: Skipper Realty, LLC
- HOA & community: No transfer fees; No community features listed
Exterior
- Utilities: Water service: Robertsdale Utilities; Electric service: Baldwin EMC
- Home design: Single-story (one level); Resale property; Whole ownership
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Building area approx. 960 square feet
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Less than 1 acre lot; No waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen approx. 15' x 12'; Dishwasher; Microwave; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on 1st floor; Primary bedroom approx. 13' x 13'; Second bedroom approx. 9' x 9'
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Primary bathroom with soaking tub and separate shower
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central electric cooling
- Interior features: No fireplace; Unfurnished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $350 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.4% in Robertsdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#371 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Baldwin County (rural): math 33% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #18 of 129 in AL (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Robertsdale Elementary School (math 25% / reading 51%, grade F, #263 of 627 statewide, top 42%, 1,056 students, 73% FRL); Central Baldwin Middle School (math 17% / reading 49%, grade F, #101 of 257 statewide, top 40%, 757 students, 74% FRL); Robertsdale High School (math 34% / reading 34%, grade F, #53 of 305 statewide, top 18%, 1,450 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 38% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 3,883 units permitted in Baldwin County in 2024 (481 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baldwin County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $140k implies a 126% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.72%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-443
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.72×
- Total profit
- $28,078
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36551
- Home prices YoY
- -19.6%
- Active inventory
- 166
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,503 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $549/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $350
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $139,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-05pricedays on market $139,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $149,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $149,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-21$149,900 Active
-
2020-07-30soldstatus $62,000 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
Welcome home, to this beautiful 2016 mobile home. It features a breath-taking built in porch! Stepping in to this home, you will notice a generous size living room and a lovely open kitchen with all black appliances. It features 2 bedrooms 2 bathrooms. Large master room with master bathroom. One owner!
-
2020-02-05$67,500 304-char remark
Show marketing remark (304 chars)
Welcome home, to this beautiful 2016 mobile home. It features a breath-taking built in porch! Stepping in to this home, you will notice a generous size living room and a lovely open kitchen with all black appliances. It features 2 bedrooms 2 bathrooms. Large master room with master bathroom. One owner!
-
2019-07-15$67,500
-
2017-06-08$62,900
-
2016-09-07soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $549 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $574 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- +$24/yr (+$2/mo · 4.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,039
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$549
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,443
- − Management
- −$1,443
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $1,998
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$479
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,719/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwin County
- NCES district ID
- 0100270
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,677
- Composite
- 38.61/100
- National rank
- #4157
- State rank
- #18 of 129 in AL
Livability — Robertsdale
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #371
- US rank
- #21424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 16,095
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,915
Population outlook (Baldwin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,264 people
- By 2030
- 270,315 · +8.9%
- By 2040
- 312,967 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 352,262 · +41.9%
- By 2075
- 438,841 · +76.8%
- By 2100
- 487,736 · +96.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baldwin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.2) · D 20.5% · R 78.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.7pp toward R · 2008: -51.5pp · 2024: -58.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.2 2020: R+53.8 2016: R+57.8 2012: R+55.8 2008: R+51.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.18%
- Current HPI
- 291.8584
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+1399.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $149,900 BCAR
- 2020-07-30 Sold (MLS) $62,000 BCAR
- 2020-02-05 Listed $67,500 BCAR
- 2019-07-15 Listed $67,500 BCAR
- 2017-06-08 Listed $62,900 BCAR
- 2016-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+21.1%/yrLatest (2025): $549 · +45.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…