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17218 12th Ave E
C+ Composite 60.08
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$270,000

17218 12th Ave E · Spanaway, WA 98387
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 956 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 35 Days on market
Built 1987 10,000 sqft lot Est $396k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Permanent affordability – that's the goal of Tacoma/Pierce County Habitat For Humanity with their new ground lease model. Interested? You must be an income-qualified, first-time home buyer and work with a Washington State Housing Finance Commission – approved lender. Up to $65,000 down payment assistance available for qualified buyers. All potential buyers must complete & agree to Habitat’s pre-submittal checklist (including a housing counseling appointment) before submitting an offer. If you thought home ownership was out of reach, this program may be the opportunity you've been waiting for. This home has been extensively renovated with new flooring, a new roof, mod

Key facts

  • Modern kitchen
  • New roof
  • New windows

Tags

EXTENSIVELY RENOVATEDMODERN KITCHENNEW ROOFNEW WINDOWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $294 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
  • Recommended offer: $262k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.5% in Spanaway — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in WA, #4,891 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, commute A-; Watch: cost of living C-, health & safety C-, crime D-.
  • Bethel School District (suburban): math 47% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #103 of 291 in WA (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Evergreen Elementary (539 students, 64% FRL); Spanaway Lake High School (1,817 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 36% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.2%/yr); 383 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,209 units permitted in Pierce County in 2024 (1,269 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pierce County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $261,900 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.60%
Cash-on-cash
4.67%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$395,784
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
17218 12th Ave E 0.00mi 3/1.0 956 (0%) 1mo $270,000 $282 99
16805 9th Ave E 0.33mi 3/1.0 936 (-2%) 0mo $350,000 $374 81
17224 E 10th Ave 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,032 (+8%) 2mo $435,000 $422 76
17220 13th Ave E 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,067 (+12%) 5mo $350,000 $328 73
17415 6th Ave E 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,016 (+6%) 0mo $429,950 $423 68
16716 16th Avenue Ct E 0.44mi 2/1.0 (-1) 920 (-4%) 1mo $410,000 $446 68
17008 E 21st Avenue Ct E 0.63mi 3/1.0 965 (+1%) 3mo $415,000 $430 67
17526 6th Avenue Ct E 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,016 (+6%) 3mo $350,000 $344 66
17513 6th Ave Ct E 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,024 (+7%) 5mo $397,000 $388 65
17012 17th Avenue Ct E 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,056 (+10%) 6mo $437,500 $414 61
16909 19th Ave E 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,055 (+10%) 3mo $365,000 $346 56
17011 21st Ave E 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,056 (+10%) 5mo $445,000 $421 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.6%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-21,530
Equity at exit
$40,258
10-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.27×
Total profit
$20,067
Equity at exit
$23,345

Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98387

Rents YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
383
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,734 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,416
Tax est. 1.5%
$338 /mo · $4,050/yr
Insurance
$112
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$574
Net cashflow
$294

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,362
Max offer price $270,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$67,500
Closing costs
$8,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17211 13th Ave E Spanaway, WA 4.0 1.0 924 $2,995 $3.24 18d 1 0.10mi
17121 B St E Spanaway, WA 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,400 $2.40 24d 1 0.71mi
16912 B St E Spanaway, WA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,795 $2.39 20d 1 0.77mi
302 163 St Ct E Unit 6 Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 793 $1,450 $1.83 21d 1 0.82mi
15909 18th Avenue Ct E Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.5 1050 $2,050 $1.95 24d 1 0.97mi
402 166th St S Unit NA Spanaway, WA 2.0 1.0 815 $2,275 $2.79 24d 1 1.21mi
402 166th St S Spanaway, WA 2.0 1.0 815 $2,275 $2.79 18d 1 1.21mi
1009 153rd St Ct E Tacoma, WA 2.0 1.0 900 $2,150 $2.39 14d 1 1.22mi
19316 Twinkle Dr E Spanaway, WA 3.0 1.0 975 $1,975 $2.03 24d 1 1.32mi
19012 B St E Spanaway, WA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,400 $1.65 24d 1 1.34mi
15417 25th Ave E Tacoma, WA 3.0 1.0 960 $2,150 $2.24 4d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-04-17
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-12
    listed $270,000 Active
  3. 2024-05-30
    soldstatus $375,000
  4. 2024-05-30
    listed $375,000
  5. 1993-12-08
    soldstatus $80,000
  6. 1988-04-01
    soldstatus $54,950
  7. 1986-09-22
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,809
− Mortgage interest
−$15,124
− Property taxes
−$4,050
− Insurance
−$1,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,625
− Management
−$2,625
− Depreciation
−$7,855
Taxable loss
−$819
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$197
After-tax cash flow
$3,725/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bethel School District
NCES district ID
5300480
Math proficiency
47% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$65,872
Composite
48.66/100
National rank
#4568
State rank
#103 of 291 in WA

Livability — Spanaway

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4891

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A- Cost of living C- Crime D- Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Spanaway, WA
County
Pierce County · 788,257 people
City population
50,774
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
50,774
Household income
$106,872
Rent vs Own
22.6% rent · 77.4% own
Severe rent burden
807.0

Population outlook (Pierce County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
956,648 people
By 2030
1,010,862 · +5.7%
By 2040
1,113,170 · +16.4%
By 2050
1,206,524 · +26.1%
By 2075
1,436,425 · +50.2%
By 2100
1,563,654 · +63.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Two or more races 18% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 10% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 7% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pierce

2024 margin
D (+10.8) · D 53.9% · R 43.1% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: 12.2pp · 2024: 10.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.8 2020: D+11.2 2016: D+7.5 2012: D+11.0 2008: D+12.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -208.94%
Current HPI
308.0462
Rent YoY
▲ 4.24%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1700.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $270,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-30 Listed $375,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-30 Sold (MLS) $375,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1993-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 1988-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $54,950 Public Records
  • 1986-09-22 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $168 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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