3119 Houston Dr · Columbus, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +10.9/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This residence in the Southfield neighborhood features a functional layout with a central living area, kitchen, and dining space. The interior is well-lit with natural light and maintains a neutral aesthetic throughout. The exterior includes a level backyard and established lawn. The property is located near major transit routes and local amenities in Columbus.
Key facts
- Central living area
- Level backyard
- Local amenities
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Built in 1960
- Construction: No common walls
- Exterior features: Slab foundation; Lot approximately 0.16 acres; Subdivision: Southfield Addition
Interior
- Bedrooms: Four main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic/porcelain
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced-air heating
- Interior features: Insulated windows throughout
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $222 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.8% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in OH, #1,491 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Columbus City School District (urban): math 15% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #626 of 656 in OH (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 196 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 8,139 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (5,940 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $83k; list at $165k implies a 99% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.78%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $178,200
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3172 Weirton Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,240 (+4%) | 3mo | $209,900 | $169 | 80 |
| 1584 Watkins Rd | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+1%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $125 | 77 |
| 3046 Weirton Dr | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,168 (-2%) | 9mo | $129,000 | $110 | 75 |
| 3390 Norwalk Rd | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,202 (+1%) | 3mo | $219,500 | $183 | 68 |
| 2901 Nuway Rd | 0.42mi | 4/1.0 | 1,200 (+1%) | 11mo | $199,000 | $166 | 66 |
| 2882 Fairwood Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,232 (+4%) | 12mo | $185,000 | $150 | 57 |
| 1271 Moundview Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,268 (+7%) | 11mo | $252,000 | $199 | 54 |
| 1292 Moundview Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,352 (+14%) | 7mo | $310,500 | $230 | 47 |
| 1473 Venice Dr | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,362 (+15%) | 12mo | $189,500 | $139 | 46 |
| 2797 Key Pl | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,349 (+14%) | 6mo | $182,000 | $135 | 41 |
| 1249 Evergreen Rd | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,012 (-15%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $119 | 39 |
| 2766 Fairwood Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,352 (+14%) | 7mo | $136,000 | $101 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-13,693
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,713
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43207
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 196
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,676 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$168 /mo · $2,016/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $222
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1503 Southfield Dr S Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 7d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1584 Southfield Dr S Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 934 | $1,495 | $1.60 | 3d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1559 Orson Dr Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $2,000 | $1.46 | 2d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1285 Evergreen Rd Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 888 | $1,750 | $1.97 | 19d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1386 Faber Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,649 | $1.32 | 7d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3047 Baker Hill Rd Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,300 | $1.45 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 820 Hilock Rd Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,640 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2491 Wilson Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,649 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1074 Tobi Dr Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $1,495 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 838 Lock Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,578 | $1.60 | 1d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2737 Proclamation Way Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1356 | $1,873 | $1.38 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 2475 Lawndale Ave Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $1,945 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 363-char remark
-
2026-06-13$164,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,016 · $168/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,294 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- +$278/yr (+$23/mo · 13.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,110
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$2,016
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,609
- − Management
- −$1,609
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable income
- $17
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,665/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbus City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904380
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,483
- Composite
- 17.19/100
- National rank
- #9105
- State rank
- #626 of 656 in OH
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #97
- US rank
- #1491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, OH
- County
- Franklin County · 1,351,780 people
- City population
- 612,189
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,272
- Household income
- $63,310
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1679.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,456,139 people
- By 2030
- 1,556,890 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 1,757,349 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 1,950,539 · +34.0%
- By 2075
- 2,376,171 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 2,636,796 · +81.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 28% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.4) · D 63.7% · R 35.3% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.7pp toward D · 2008: 20.7pp · 2024: 28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.4 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+21.7 2008: D+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -244.33%
- Current HPI
- 268.3028
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.32%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+335.1% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $164,900 CBRMLS
- 2019-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $83,000 Public Records
- 2018-06-12 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2018-05-24 Relisted — CBRMLS
- 2018-05-17 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2018-05-15 Listed $59,999 CBRMLS
- 2016-04-29 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2016-04-28 Listed $69,900 CBRMLS
- 2014-10-14 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2014-07-24 Listed $35,000 CBRMLS
- 2007-05-31 Sold (MLS) $21,000 CBRMLS
- 2007-05-17 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2007-03-21 Listed $21,900 CBRMLS
- 2002-03-06 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2001-11-14 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2001-10-02 Listed $64,900 CBRMLS
- 2001-06-15 Listed $64,900 CBRMLS
- 2001-05-13 Sold (MLS) $37,000 CBRMLS
- 2001-02-28 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2001-02-09 Listed $37,900 CBRMLS
Property tax history
-3.5%/yrLatest (2024): $2,016 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…