316 11th St N · Moorhead, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4K under assessed value! Great potential in this 2 bedroom 2 bath plus flex space home. Newer water heater, new electrical panel. Up and coming area close downtown Moorhead. Large fenced yard. Slab is ready for a garage. Some updating done. Home sold as-is. Expect personal items to remain. No water/ no heat at this time.
Key facts
- Concrete slab
- New electrical panel
- 7,405 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; One and one-half levels; Main-level entry
- Construction: Block and wood foundation; Foundation area 768; Foundation dimensions 48 x 16; Building total area 1,728
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.17 acres; Lot dimensions: 7,362
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 three-quarter bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Den on main level; Living room on main level; Utility room; Has basement with block and wood foundation features
- Laundry & utility: Utility room (laundry/utility)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $97 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (3.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $102k (3.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.7% in Moorhead — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#143 in MN, #3,111 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Moorhead Public School District (suburban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #202 of 301 in MN (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 390 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 269 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clay County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $105k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.95%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $197,767
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -46.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-12,441
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- -5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-9,232
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56560
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 390
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,015 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,330/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$213
- Net cashflow
- $97
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $156 | -5% $127 | +0% $97 | +5% $67 | +10% $37 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $17 | -5% $57 | +0% $97 | +5% $137 | +10% $177 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $150 | -0.5pp $124 | base $97 | +0.5pp $70 | +1.0pp $42 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1205 Main Ave Moorhead, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 933 | $1,098 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1521 1st Ave N Moorhead, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1050 | $975 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 810 4th Ave S Unit 225 Moorhead, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $895 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 2409 4th Ave N Unit 15 Moorhead, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $650 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 419 3rd St N Fargo, ND | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1023 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 14d | 21 | 0.98mi |
| 908 8th St S Unit 12 Moorhead, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $800 | $1.11 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 727 1/2 3rd St N Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 915-918 1/2 St S Moorhead, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 575 | $640 | $1.11 | 14d | 10 | 1.14mi |
| 405 Broadway N Fargo, ND | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 973 | $1,450 | $1.49 | 14d | 24 | 1.20mi |
| 1106 18th St S Unit 2 Moorhead, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $675 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 23 Broadway N Fargo, ND | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 912 | $935 | $1.02 | 21d | 5 | 1.22mi |
| 408 Broadway N Unit 6 Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $895 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 344 6th Ave S Unit 2 Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $875 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 624 2nd Ave N Fargo, ND | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 914 | $1,392 | $1.52 | 14d | 32 | 1.27mi |
| 630 1st Ave N Fargo, ND | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1098 | $950 | $0.86 | 14d | 6 | 1.29mi |
| 408 Roberts St N Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,445 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 620 Main Ave Fargo, ND | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 697 | $800 | $1.15 | 14d | 5 | 1.32mi |
| 1209 Broadway N Unit 3 Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $895 | $0.90 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 315 7th St S Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $875 | $0.92 | 14d | 2 | 1.46mi |
| 21 8th St N Fargo, ND | 4.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 949 | $964 | $1.02 | 14d | 6 | 1.46mi |
| 801-807 2nd Ave S Unit 17 Fargo, ND | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $795 | $0.80 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 337 10th Ave S Fargo, ND | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $748 | $0.76 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 102 9th St S Apt 10 Fargo, ND | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $975 | $1.03 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $105,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $105,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $105,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $105,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $105,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $105,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $105,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $105,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $105,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $105,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $105,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-05-05$105,000 Active 851-char remark
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2025-05-20soldstatus $50,000
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2025-05-16soldstatus $50,000 Sold 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
4K under assessed value! Great potential in this 2 bedroom 2 bath plus flex space home. Newer water heater, new electrical panel. Up and coming area close downtown Moorhead. Large fenced yard. Slab is ready for a garage. Some updating done. Home sold as-is. Expect personal items to remain. No water/ no heat at this time.
-
2025-04-29status Pending 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
4K under assessed value! Great potential in this 2 bedroom 2 bath plus flex space home. Newer water heater, new electrical panel. Up and coming area close downtown Moorhead. Large fenced yard. Slab is ready for a garage. Some updating done. Home sold as-is. Expect personal items to remain. No water/ no heat at this time.
-
2025-04-22historical Contingent - Inspection 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
4K under assessed value! Great potential in this 2 bedroom 2 bath plus flex space home. Newer water heater, new electrical panel. Up and coming area close downtown Moorhead. Large fenced yard. Slab is ready for a garage. Some updating done. Home sold as-is. Expect personal items to remain. No water/ no heat at this time.
-
2025-03-18status Active 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
4K under assessed value! Great potential in this 2 bedroom 2 bath plus flex space home. Newer water heater, new electrical panel. Up and coming area close downtown Moorhead. Large fenced yard. Slab is ready for a garage. Some updating done. Home sold as-is. Expect personal items to remain. No water/ no heat at this time.
-
2025-02-19historical Contingent - Inspection 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
4K under assessed value! Great potential in this 2 bedroom 2 bath plus flex space home. Newer water heater, new electrical panel. Up and coming area close downtown Moorhead. Large fenced yard. Slab is ready for a garage. Some updating done. Home sold as-is. Expect personal items to remain. No water/ no heat at this time.
-
2025-02-11price $70,000 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
4K under assessed value! Great potential in this 2 bedroom 2 bath plus flex space home. Newer water heater, new electrical panel. Up and coming area close downtown Moorhead. Large fenced yard. Slab is ready for a garage. Some updating done. Home sold as-is. Expect personal items to remain. No water/ no heat at this time.
-
2025-01-06$90,000 Active 322-char remark
Show marketing remark (322 chars)
4K under assessed value! Great potential in this 2 bedroom 2 bath plus flex space home. Newer water heater, new electrical panel. Up and coming area close downtown Moorhead. Large fenced yard. Slab is ready for a garage. Some updating done. Home sold as-is. Expect personal items to remain. No water/ no heat at this time.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,330 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,330 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,184
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,330
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$975
- − Management
- −$975
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable loss
- −$557
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$134
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,296/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moorhead Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2721420
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,009
- Composite
- 36.83/100
- National rank
- #4560
- State rank
- #202 of 301 in MN
Livability — Moorhead
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #143
- US rank
- #3111
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Moorhead, MN
- County
- Clay County · 44,405 people
- City population
- 44,405
- Metro
- Fargo, ND-MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,405
- Household income
- $75,406
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2229.0
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 67,880 people
- By 2030
- 70,881 · +4.4%
- By 2040
- 76,865 · +13.2%
- By 2050
- 83,205 · +22.6%
- By 2075
- 98,719 · +45.4%
- By 2100
- 111,657 · +64.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Black 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 26% Lithuanian 3% Scottish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.2% · R 48.8% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 16.0pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+4.1 2016: R+2.0 2012: D+8.0 2008: D+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.32%
- Current HPI
- 177.038
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.41%
- Metro
- Fargo, ND-MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+16.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $105,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2025-05-16 Sold (MLS) $50,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-29 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-22 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-18 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-19 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-11 Price Changed $70,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-06 Listed $90,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,330 · +14.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…