165 Warner St · Rochester, NY 14606

$85,000

4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,627 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1882 5,550 sqft lot Est $91k · 7% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +10.5/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.1/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.9/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Great value here with this beautifully maintained cape cod! You'll love the spacious and versatile layout. Large eat in kitchen area with plenty of cabinet space and a great dining area. The downstairs bedroom and full bathroom offer a perfect first floor living situation. 2nd floor features 3 extra rooms and an open landing area. Open front porch and an enclosed back porch to go along with a large, fully fenced yard. This is city living at its finest and you cant beat the price!

Key facts

• Large living spaces
• Off-street parking
• Hardwood floors

Tags

• LARGE LIVING SPACES
• HARDWOOD FLOORS
• SPACIOUS KITCHEN LAYOUT
• OFF-STREET PARKING
• STRONG RENTAL POTENTIAL
• OWNER-OCCUPANT POTENTIAL

Property features AI

Exterior

• Home design: House
• Exterior features: Lot of approximately 5,550 sq ft

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $768 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
• Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
• Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $50k; list at $85k implies a 70% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1882 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $85,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1882 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.96% ✓
• Cap rate: 17.13%
• Cash-on-cash: 38.70%
• DSCR: 2.72
• GRM: 4.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $91,112
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
46 Rogers Ave	0.04mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,458 (-10%)	3mo	$81,000	$56	74
515 Emerson St	0.39mi	4/1.5	1,536 (-6%)	4mo	$129,900	$85	68
170 Otis St	0.09mi	5/3.0 (+1)	1,830 (+12%)	0mo	$190,000	$104	61
309 Emerson St	0.50mi	4/1.5	1,725 (+6%)	4mo	$65,000	$38	61
64 Cameron St	0.31mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,440 (-12%)	2mo	$68,000	$47	58
91 Pool St	0.59mi	4/1.0	1,458 (-10%)	1mo	$162,500	$111	54
7 Rugraff St	0.60mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,487 (-9%)	2mo	$78,000	$52	51
460 Glenwood Ave	0.63mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,524 (-6%)	4mo	$65,000	$43	50
241 Curtis St	0.35mi	5/1.5 (+1)	1,395 (-14%)	5mo	$65,000	$47	49
88 Sherman St	0.44mi	3/1.0 (-1)	1,412 (-13%)	5mo	$63,500	$45	48
371 Glenwood Ave	0.64mi	4/2.0	1,830 (+12%)	5mo	$168,000	$92	41
64 Lisbon St	0.51mi	3/1.5 (-1)	1,392 (-14%)	5mo	$115,000	$83	41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 38.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.71×
• Total profit: $40,792
• Equity at exit: $12,674

10-year hold

• IRR: 46.5%
• Equity multiple: 6.19×
• Total profit: $123,413
• Equity at exit: $7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14606

• Home prices YoY: -17.9%
• Rents YoY: 6.3%
• Active inventory: 124
• Price-to-rent: 4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,667 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$446
• Tax from tax record: −$68 /mo · $816/yr
• Insurance: −$35
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$350
• Net cashflow: $768

Break-even live

Break-even rent $695

Max offer price $85,000

Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $21,250
• Closing costs: $2,550
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 12 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
85 Cameron St Unit B Rochester, NY	3.0	1.0	1138	$1,650	$1.45	43d	1	0.28mi
327 Glenwood Ave Rochester, NY	3.0	1.0	2012	$1,690	$0.84	3d	1	0.66mi
385 Ames St Rochester, NY	3.0	1.5	1738	$1,500	$0.86	21d	1	0.69mi
649 Jay St Rochester, NY	5.0	2.0	2144	$2,000	$0.93	3d	1	0.70mi
629 Jay St Rochester, NY	3.0	1.0	1193	$1,250	$1.05	19d	1	0.72mi
108 Wetmore Park Rochester, NY	3.0	2.0	1278	$1,900	$1.49	10d	1	0.74mi
98 Pierpont St Rochester, NY	3.0	1.0	1973	$1,295	$0.66	43d	1	1.01mi
19 Garland Ave Rochester, NY	3.0	1.0	1104	$1,850	$1.68	2d	1	1.01mi
28-30 Carthage Dr Unit 28 Rochester, NY	3.0	1.0	1415	$1,600	$1.13	23d	1	1.22mi
2 Jay St Unit 2 Rochester, NY	3.0	1.0	1252	$1,045	$0.83	43d	1	1.23mi
48 Thorndale Ter Rochester, NY	4.0	1.5	1700	$1,400	$0.82	14d	1	1.32mi
1016 Lake Ave Unit 1 Rochester, NY	3.0	1.0	1300	$1,600	$1.23	43d	1	1.32mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-05
   remarks 699-char remark
2. 2026-06-05
   listed $85,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $816 · $68/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,126 · $94/mo
• Expected delta: +$310/yr (+$26/mo · 38.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $20,000
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,761
• − Property taxes: −$816
• − Insurance: −$425
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,600
• − Management: −$1,600
• − Depreciation: −$2,473
• Taxable income: $8,325
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,998
• After-tax cash flow: $7,212/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Rochester City School District
• NCES district ID: 3624750
• Math proficiency: 21% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 26% ▲ 4.00%
• Median HH income: $30,923
• Composite: 18.98/100
• National rank: #8850
• State rank: #589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #222
• US rank: #3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Rochester, NY
• County: Monroe County · 674,131 people
• City population: 432,803
• Metro: Rochester, NY
• Population (ZIP): 25,538
• Household income: $55,807
• Rent vs Own: 38.2% rent · 61.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 986.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 759,460 people
• By 2030: 757,154 · -0.3%
• By 2040: 740,644 · -2.5%
• By 2050: 714,443 · -5.9%
• By 2075: 645,883 · -15.0%
• By 2100: 547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
• Race & ethnicity: White 51% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

• 2024 margin: D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -62.59%
• Current HPI: 287.6868
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.28%
• Metro: Rochester, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+183.3% since first listed

13 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-04 Listed $85,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
• 2018-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
• 2018-11-28 Sold (MLS) $50,000 UNYREIS
• 2018-09-12 Pending — UNYREIS
• 2018-08-28 Relisted — UNYREIS
• 2018-08-20 Pending — UNYREIS
• 2018-08-09 Listed $49,900 UNYREIS
• 2017-01-11 Sold (MLS) $34,000 UNYREIS
• 2016-12-15 Pending — UNYREIS
• 2016-12-01 Relisted — UNYREIS
• 2016-10-28 Pending — UNYREIS
• 2016-10-11 Listed $35,900 UNYREIS
• 2002-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $816 · -7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.