4828 Prien Bluff Rd · Lake Charles, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Built in 1968, this East Coast Colonial home is bursting with vintage charm. Downstairs features a formal dining room and a large formal living room (that could become a downstairs bedroom). The kitchen is open to the sweeping family room and breakfast nook, which gets plenty of light from the rear-facing windows. Upstairs, we find a traditional layout grouping all four bedrooms together. The primary suite is completed by a full bathroom, a walk-in closet, and a small bonus room. Be sure not to miss the secret room hidden upstairs. Stop by to look for it! This South Lake Charles home is topped with a post-laura roof. And sits on almost an acre. This is an heir property. And once an active HOA member, the new owner will gain access to a community lot with a recently renovated fishing dock and watercraft launch.
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Sweeping family room
- Formal dining room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $20 ($237/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (16.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $209k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 4.3% in Lake Charles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#95 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
- Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.1%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 282 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 282 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.34%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $312,710
- List price
- $250,000
- Delta
- -20.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4802 Riverridge Dr | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 | 2,495 (-3%) | 4mo | $382,000 | $153 | 81 |
| 4817 Riverridge Dr | 0.12mi | 4/3.5 | 2,648 (+3%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $91 | 80 |
| 5013 E Saint Charles Ave Ave E | 0.33mi | 4/3.0 | 2,858 (+11%) | 3mo | $411,700 | $144 | 62 |
| 34 Raintree Cv | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,388 (-7%) | 14mo | $270,000 | $113 | 59 |
| 4908 W St Charles Ave | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 | 2,200 (-14%) | 11mo | $337,000 | $153 | 52 |
| 4730 Riverridge Dr | 0.20mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,937 (+14%) | 23mo | $610,000 | $208 | 41 |
| 4876 Champions Dr Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,258 (-12%) | 8mo | $350,000 | $155 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-28,250
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $27,105
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70605
- Rents YoY
- 15.1%
- Active inventory
- 464
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,087 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$201 /mo · $2,409/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$13
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$438
- Net cashflow
- $20
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $161 | -5% $91 | +0% $20 | +5% $-51 | +10% $-122 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-145 | -5% $-63 | +0% $20 | +5% $102 | +10% $185 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $146 | -0.5pp $83 | base $20 | +0.5pp $-45 | +1.0pp $-111 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3291 Copper Ridge Dr Lake Charles, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $2,750 | $1.57 | 14d | 1 | 0.94mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $13 · $156/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $250,000 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $250,000 Active 280 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $250,000 Active 279 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $250,000 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $250,000 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $250,000 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $250,000 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $250,000 Active 273 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $250,000 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $250,000 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $250,000 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $250,000 Active 268 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $250,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Active 263 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $250,000 Active 260 DOM
-
2026-03-30status Active 822-char remark
Show marketing remark (822 chars)
Built in 1968, this East Coast Colonial home is bursting with vintage charm. Downstairs features a formal dining room and a large formal living room (that could become a downstairs bedroom). The kitchen is open to the sweeping family room and breakfast nook, which gets plenty of light from the rear-facing windows. Upstairs, we find a traditional layout grouping all four bedrooms together. The primary suite is completed by a full bathroom, a walk-in closet, and a small bonus room. Be sure not to miss the secret room hidden upstairs. Stop by to look for it! This South Lake Charles home is topped with a post-laura roof. And sits on almost an acre. This is an heir property. And once an active HOA member, the new owner will gain access to a community lot with a recently renovated fishing dock and watercraft launch.
-
2026-03-02status Pending 822-char remark
Show marketing remark (822 chars)
Built in 1968, this East Coast Colonial home is bursting with vintage charm. Downstairs features a formal dining room and a large formal living room (that could become a downstairs bedroom). The kitchen is open to the sweeping family room and breakfast nook, which gets plenty of light from the rear-facing windows. Upstairs, we find a traditional layout grouping all four bedrooms together. The primary suite is completed by a full bathroom, a walk-in closet, and a small bonus room. Be sure not to miss the secret room hidden upstairs. Stop by to look for it! This South Lake Charles home is topped with a post-laura roof. And sits on almost an acre. This is an heir property. And once an active HOA member, the new owner will gain access to a community lot with a recently renovated fishing dock and watercraft launch.
-
2026-02-11price $250,000 822-char remark
Show marketing remark (822 chars)
Built in 1968, this East Coast Colonial home is bursting with vintage charm. Downstairs features a formal dining room and a large formal living room (that could become a downstairs bedroom). The kitchen is open to the sweeping family room and breakfast nook, which gets plenty of light from the rear-facing windows. Upstairs, we find a traditional layout grouping all four bedrooms together. The primary suite is completed by a full bathroom, a walk-in closet, and a small bonus room. Be sure not to miss the secret room hidden upstairs. Stop by to look for it! This South Lake Charles home is topped with a post-laura roof. And sits on almost an acre. This is an heir property. And once an active HOA member, the new owner will gain access to a community lot with a recently renovated fishing dock and watercraft launch.
-
2025-12-09price $260,000 822-char remark
Show marketing remark (822 chars)
Built in 1968, this East Coast Colonial home is bursting with vintage charm. Downstairs features a formal dining room and a large formal living room (that could become a downstairs bedroom). The kitchen is open to the sweeping family room and breakfast nook, which gets plenty of light from the rear-facing windows. Upstairs, we find a traditional layout grouping all four bedrooms together. The primary suite is completed by a full bathroom, a walk-in closet, and a small bonus room. Be sure not to miss the secret room hidden upstairs. Stop by to look for it! This South Lake Charles home is topped with a post-laura roof. And sits on almost an acre. This is an heir property. And once an active HOA member, the new owner will gain access to a community lot with a recently renovated fishing dock and watercraft launch.
-
2025-11-05price $270,000 822-char remark
Show marketing remark (822 chars)
Built in 1968, this East Coast Colonial home is bursting with vintage charm. Downstairs features a formal dining room and a large formal living room (that could become a downstairs bedroom). The kitchen is open to the sweeping family room and breakfast nook, which gets plenty of light from the rear-facing windows. Upstairs, we find a traditional layout grouping all four bedrooms together. The primary suite is completed by a full bathroom, a walk-in closet, and a small bonus room. Be sure not to miss the secret room hidden upstairs. Stop by to look for it! This South Lake Charles home is topped with a post-laura roof. And sits on almost an acre. This is an heir property. And once an active HOA member, the new owner will gain access to a community lot with a recently renovated fishing dock and watercraft launch.
-
2025-08-14$275,000 Active 822-char remark
Show marketing remark (822 chars)
Built in 1968, this East Coast Colonial home is bursting with vintage charm. Downstairs features a formal dining room and a large formal living room (that could become a downstairs bedroom). The kitchen is open to the sweeping family room and breakfast nook, which gets plenty of light from the rear-facing windows. Upstairs, we find a traditional layout grouping all four bedrooms together. The primary suite is completed by a full bathroom, a walk-in closet, and a small bonus room. Be sure not to miss the secret room hidden upstairs. Stop by to look for it! This South Lake Charles home is topped with a post-laura roof. And sits on almost an acre. This is an heir property. And once an active HOA member, the new owner will gain access to a community lot with a recently renovated fishing dock and watercraft launch.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,409 · $201/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,409 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,044
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$2,409
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,004
- − Management
- −$2,004
- − HOA
- −$156
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$4,055
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$973
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,211/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Calcasieu Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200330
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -39.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -33.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,700
- Composite
- 31.45/100
- National rank
- #5979
- State rank
- #29 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lake Charles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #95
- US rank
- #9820
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lake Charles, LA
- County
- Calcasieu Parish · 170,889 people
- City population
- 133,538
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,482
- Household income
- $86,015
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1328.0
Population outlook (Calcasieu County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 212,179 people
- By 2030
- 218,199 · +2.8%
- By 2040
- 228,486 · +7.7%
- By 2050
- 236,208 · +11.3%
- By 2075
- 251,696 · +18.6%
- By 2100
- 247,848 · +16.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 12% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calcasieu
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.6) · D 29.5% · R 69.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.0pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -39.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.6 2020: R+35.2 2016: R+33.3 2012: R+28.7 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.68%
- Current HPI
- 105.1903
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 15.10%
- Metro
- Lake Charles, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-9.1% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-30 Relisted — SWLAR
- 2026-03-02 Pending — SWLAR
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $250,000 SWLAR
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $260,000 SWLAR
- 2025-11-05 Price Changed $270,000 SWLAR
- 2025-08-14 Listed $275,000 SWLAR
Property tax history
+4.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,409 · +69.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…