4175 Glen Iris Dr · Cumming, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.7/30.0
- ARV discount +8.7/15.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$269,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful end-unit townhome offering added privacy, abundant natural light, and a spacious layout in a highly desirable Cumming location. This well-maintained home features dual ensuite bedrooms with spacious walk-in closets, making it ideal for roommates, guests, or a flexible lifestyle. The open-concept main level includes a bright eat-in kitchen with stainless steel appliances overlooking the large family room, creating the perfect setup for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy the benefits of end-unit living with extra outdoor space and close proximity to the community amenities, including a pool, tennis/pickleball courts, park, and walking trails. Conveniently located just minutes from GA-400, Northside Hospital Forsyth, Cumming City Center, North Georgia Premium Outlets, dining, shopping, and top-rated Forsyth County schools. This home combines comfort, convenience, and lifestyle all in one.
Key facts
- Extra outdoor space
- Large family room
- $66 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee; Community pool
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Open parking available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available
- Home design: Two levels; Resale property; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Brick front; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Screened patio/porch; Back yard fencing (fenced)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator; Other kitchen features
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on upper level; Roommate floor plan
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Walk-in closet(s); Family room fireplace; 1 common wall; Attic
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in hall
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-127 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $247k (8.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (22.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $209k (22.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 2.8% in Cumming — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#29 in GA, #3,797 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime A, housing A; Watch: employment C-, amenities D-, commute F.
- Forsyth County (suburban): math 62% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #5 of 174 in GA (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: George W. Whitlow Elementary (math 66% / reading 64%, grade B+, #90 of 1,228 statewide, top 8%, 1,181 students, 22% FRL); Otwell Middle School (math 43% / reading 51%, grade D+, #89 of 470 statewide, top 20%, 1,034 students, 44% FRL); Forsyth Central High School (math 15% / reading 37%, grade F, #175 of 424 statewide, top 42%, 2,372 students, 29% FRL) — zoned schools average 32% FRL vs 15% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 46% at this address vs 62% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Forsyth County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 904 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,525 units permitted in Forsyth County in 2024 (810 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Forsyth County population projected at +71% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $118k; list at $270k implies a 129% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.02%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $276,988
- List price
- $269,900
- Delta
- -2.56%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3665 Magnolia Walk Trl | 0.09mi | 2/2.5 | 1,200 (+3%) | 10mo | $310,000 | $258 | 80 |
| 4110 Glen Iris Dr | 0.04mi | 2/2.5 | 1,253 (+8%) | 6mo | $324,000 | $259 | 78 |
| 3750 Magnolia Walk Trl | 0.12mi | 2/2.5 | 1,200 (+3%) | 14mo | $315,000 | $263 | 75 |
| 4480 Maple Valley Dr | 0.10mi | 2/2.5 | 1,219 (+5%) | 13mo | $324,900 | $267 | 74 |
| 3845 Magnolia Walk Trl | 0.11mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,240 (+7%) | 5mo | $280,000 | $226 | 72 |
| 4130 Glen Iris Dr | 0.03mi | 2/2.5 | 1,253 (+8%) | 17mo | $319,500 | $255 | 69 |
| 3735 Magnolia Walk Trl | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,300 (+12%) | 9mo | $300,000 | $231 | 68 |
| 3790 Magnolia Walk Trl | 0.13mi | 2/2.5 | 1,206 (+4%) | 20mo | $325,500 | $270 | 68 |
| 3780 Magnolia Walk Trl | 0.13mi | 2/2.5 | 1,200 (+3%) | 23mo | $295,000 | $246 | 67 |
| 4570 Maple Valley Dr | 0.11mi | 2/2.5 | 1,240 (+7%) | 21mo | $312,000 | $252 | 64 |
| 3640 Magnolia Walk Trl | 0.10mi | 2/2.5 | 1,333 (+15%) | 20mo | $305,000 | $229 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.65% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-54,667
- Equity at exit
- $40,243
- IRR
- -17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.08×
- Total profit
- $-69,317
- Equity at exit
- $23,336
Cash invested: $75,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30040
- Home prices YoY
- -22.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 904
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,089 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,415
- Tax from tax record
- −$184 /mo · $2,207/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$66
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$439
- Net cashflow
- $-127
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $25 | -5% $-51 | +0% $-127 | +5% $-204 | +10% $-280 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-292 | -5% $-210 | +0% $-127 | +5% $-45 | +10% $38 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $9 | -0.5pp $-59 | base $-127 | +0.5pp $-197 | +1.0pp $-268 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,475
- Closing costs
- $8,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3305 Hutchinson Rd Cumming, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1327 | $1,948 | $1.47 | 3d | 11 | 0.20mi |
| 350 Bradley Park Ln Cumming, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1225 | $1,906 | $1.56 | 3d | 10 | 0.63mi |
| 98 Buford Dam Rd Cumming, GA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1147 | $2,580 | $2.25 | 0d | 28 | 1.07mi |
| 1600 Ronald Reagan Blvd Cumming, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 950 | $1,865 | $1.96 | 0d | 42 | 1.34mi |
| 326 Canton Rd Cumming, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1144 | $1,902 | $1.66 | 3d | 19 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $66 · $792/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $269,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $269,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $269,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $269,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $269,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $269,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $269,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $269,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $269,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $269,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $269,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $269,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $269,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $269,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $269,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-06$269,900 New 916-char remark
Show marketing remark (916 chars)
Beautiful end-unit townhome offering added privacy, abundant natural light, and a spacious layout in a highly desirable Cumming location. This well-maintained home features dual ensuite bedrooms with spacious walk-in closets, making it ideal for roommates, guests, or a flexible lifestyle. The open-concept main level includes a bright eat-in kitchen with stainless steel appliances overlooking the large family room, creating the perfect setup for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy the benefits of end-unit living with extra outdoor space and close proximity to the community amenities, including a pool, tennis/pickleball courts, park, and walking trails. Conveniently located just minutes from GA-400, Northside Hospital Forsyth, Cumming City Center, North Georgia Premium Outlets, dining, shopping, and top-rated Forsyth County schools. This home combines comfort, convenience, and lifestyle all in one.
-
2026-05-06$269,900 Active 914-char remark
Show marketing remark (916 chars)
Beautiful end-unit townhome offering added privacy, abundant natural light, and a spacious layout in a highly desirable Cumming location. This well-maintained home features dual ensuite bedrooms with spacious walk-in closets, making it ideal for roommates, guests, or a flexible lifestyle. The open-concept main level includes a bright eat-in kitchen with stainless steel appliances overlooking the large family room, creating the perfect setup for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy the benefits of end-unit living with extra outdoor space and close proximity to the community amenities, including a pool, tennis/pickleball courts, park, and walking trails. Conveniently located just minutes from GA-400, Northside Hospital Forsyth, Cumming City Center, North Georgia Premium Outlets, dining, shopping, and top-rated Forsyth County schools. This home combines comfort, convenience, and lifestyle all in one.
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2007-06-19soldstatus $118,000
-
2000-06-16soldstatus $291,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,207 · $184/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,483 · $207/mo
- Expected delta
- +$276/yr (+$23/mo · 12.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,070
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,119
- − Property taxes
- −$2,207
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,006
- − Management
- −$2,006
- − HOA
- −$792
- − Depreciation
- −$7,852
- Taxable loss
- −$6,260
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,502
- After-tax cash flow
- $-25/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Forsyth County
- NCES district ID
- 1302220
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 62% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $89,763
- Composite
- 56.54/100
- National rank
- #1151
- State rank
- #5 of 174 in GA
Livability — Cumming
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #29
- US rank
- #3797
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Forsyth County · 198,629 people
- City population
- 198,629
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 82,532
- Household income
- $137,211
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1056.0
Population outlook (Forsyth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 294,519 people
- By 2030
- 336,546 · +14.3%
- By 2040
- 421,220 · +43.0%
- By 2050
- 502,754 · +70.7%
- By 2075
- 683,179 · +132.0%
- By 2100
- 792,174 · +169.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Asian 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 11% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 20% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 6% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Forsyth
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 32.9% · R 66.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +24.9pp toward D · 2008: -58.0pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+33.2 2016: R+47.7 2012: R+62.9 2008: R+58.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.76%
- Current HPI
- 277.8697
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.65%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-7.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Listed $269,900 FMLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $269,900 GAMLS
- 2007-06-19 Sold (Public Records) $118,000 Public Records
- 2000-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $291,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,207 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…