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38 W 13th St
D Composite 41.77
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.2/30.0
  • DSCR +5.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$114,900

38 W 13th St · San Angelo, TX 76903
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 576 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1959 5,009 sqft lot $199/sqft · 45% above area Est $79k · 45% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Price Improvement! Fully renovated cottage near downtown, hospital, and dining. Move-in ready with modern updates throughout. Whether you're a first-time buyer or looking to simplify, this home delivers affordable ownership without sacrificing convenience. Located in an established neighborhood in San Angelo, ideal for homeowners or investors seeking a low-maintenance, income-producing property, this home has consistently rented and offers immediate usability with long-term potential. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • 5,009 sq ft lot
  • Built 1959
  • Listed 50 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $103 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (4.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (4.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Reagan El (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 311 students, 88% FRL); Lone Star Middle (math 28% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,056 of 1,662 statewide, top 65%, 903 students, 63% FRL); Central H S (math 22% / reading 43%, grade F, #1,029 of 1,632 statewide, top 64%, 3,065 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 229 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 11390% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,670 (4.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.37%
Cash-on-cash
3.84%
DSCR
1.17
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$79,332
List price
$114,900
Delta
44.83%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
18 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1914 Hudson St 0.59mi 2/1.0 633 (+10%) 15mo $75,000 $118 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-6,272
Equity at exit
$17,132
10-year hold
IRR
9.7%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$29,346
Equity at exit
$9,934

Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76903

Rents YoY
8.5%
Active inventory
229
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,097 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax from tax record
$113 /mo · $1,357/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$103

Break-even live

Break-even rent $966
Max offer price $114,900
Occupancy floor 86%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $168 -5% $135 +0% $103 +5% $70 +10% $38
Rent -10% $16 -5% $60 +0% $103 +5% $146 +10% $190
Rate -1.0pp $161 -0.5pp $132 base $103 +0.5pp $73 +1.0pp $43

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,725
Closing costs
$3,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
42 W 26th St Apt In San Angelo, TX 1.0 1.0 500 $750 $1.50 22d 1 0.98mi
121 N Van Buren St Unit A San Angelo, TX 2.0 1.0 715 $1,095 $1.53 22d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $114,900 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $114,900 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $114,900 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $114,900 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $114,900 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $114,900 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $114,900 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $114,900 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $114,900 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $114,900 Active 39 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $114,900 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $114,900 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $114,900 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $114,900 Active 31 DOM
  15. 2026-05-05
    price $119,900 518-char remark
  16. 2026-04-29
    listed $124,900 Active 518-char remark
  17. 2025-04-17
    historical $900
  18. 2025-04-17
    listed $900
  19. 2025-03-11
    price $109,500
  20. 2025-02-12
    price $114,500
  21. 2024-12-02
    listed $115,000 Active
  22. 2022-11-15
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,357 · $113/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,103 · $175/mo
Expected delta
+$746/yr (+$62/mo · 54.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,160
− Mortgage interest
−$6,436
− Property taxes
−$1,357
− Insurance
−$574
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,053
− Management
−$1,053
− Depreciation
−$3,343
Taxable loss
−$656
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$157
After-tax cash flow
$1,392/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Angelo ISD
NCES district ID
4838700
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,501
Composite
25.56/100
National rank
#7427
State rank
#627 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Angelo

Score
73/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#5030

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Angelo, TX
County
Tom Green County · 113,188 people
City population
81,357
Metro
San Angelo, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,947
Household income
$49,498
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
1255.0

Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
135,110 people
By 2030
144,090 · +6.6%
By 2040
162,561 · +20.3%
By 2050
182,158 · +34.8%
By 2075
232,274 · +71.9%
By 2100
268,218 · +98.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 56% White 36% Two or more races 26% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 49% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 33%

Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -164.90%
Current HPI
217.0406
Rent YoY
▲ 8.46%
Metro
San Angelo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-99.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Rental Removed $1,000 SAARTX
  • 2026-06-09 Listed for Rent $1,000 SAARTX
  • 2026-05-20 Price Changed $114,900 SAAR TX
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $119,900 SAAR TX
  • 2025-04-17 Rental Removed $900 SAARTX
  • 2025-04-17 Listed for Rent $900 SAARTX
  • 2025-03-11 Price Changed $109,500 SAAR TX
  • 2025-02-12 Price Changed $114,500 SAAR TX
  • 2024-12-02 Listed $115,000 SAAR TX
  • 2022-11-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+16.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,357 · +113.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…