901 6530 Rd #1600 · Montrose, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.2/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$162,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Brand New Home in the well established subdivision of Cimarron Creek on a corner lot. It features 3 bedrooms, 2 baths and an open floorplan with a walk-in shower in the main bedroom and walk-in shower. The home also comes with a One Year Warranty. The community offers access to all amenities i. e. Walk Paths, Basketball Court, Enclosed Playground, 2 Dog Parks, Community Garden and the Community Center for resident events. The Seller is also offering Owner Carry for qualified Buyers.
Key facts
- Dog parks
- Community garden
- Basketball court
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association: Cimarron Creek; Community playground; Community park
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cellular phone reception; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Double wide mobile home; Single-story; Skirted foundation
- Construction: Masonite exterior; Composition roof; Skirt foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Porch; Shed; Corner lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Laminate; Partially carpeted
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Walk-in closet(s); Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $162k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $516 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $162k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 1.9% in Montrose — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#109 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D+, employment D+.
- Montrose County School District Re-1J (town): math 22% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #55 of 86 in CO (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 371 active listings in the ZIP; 271 units permitted in Montrose County in 2024 (22 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montrose County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 213 days — a 12% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 213 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.65%
- DSCR
- 1.61
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,328
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 901 6530 Rd #2802 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (-1%) | 5mo | $119,900 | $105 | 94 |
| 901 6530 Rd #2803 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,140 (-1%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $114 | 90 |
| 901 6530 Rd #1106 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,149 (-0%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $74 | 90 |
| 901 6530 Rd #1603 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,178 (+2%) | 9mo | $159,000 | $135 | 88 |
| 901 6530 Rd #4101 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+6%) | 5mo | $80,000 | $66 | 87 |
| 901 6530 Rd #1312 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,188 (+3%) | 4mo | $161,000 | $136 | 87 |
| 901 6530 Rd #2813 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,190 (+3%) | 4mo | $137,500 | $116 | 86 |
| 901 6530 Rd #1404 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+6%) | 7mo | $123,000 | $101 | 85 |
| 901 6530 Rd #3602 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+6%) | 12mo | $124,000 | $102 | 81 |
| 901 6530 Rd #1206 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+12%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $69 | 72 |
| 901 6530 Rd #1303 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,296 (+12%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $127 | 64 |
| 1367 Corral Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,269 (+10%) | 8mo | $340,000 | $268 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $6,556
- Equity at exit
- $24,155
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $47,778
- Equity at exit
- $14,007
Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 81401
- Active inventory
- 371
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,882 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$850
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $645/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$395
- Net cashflow
- $516
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $608 | -5% $562 | +0% $516 | +5% $470 | +10% $424 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $367 | -5% $442 | +0% $516 | +5% $590 | +10% $665 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $598 | -0.5pp $557 | base $516 | +0.5pp $474 | +1.0pp $431 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,500
- Closing costs
- $4,860
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $162,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $162,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $162,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $162,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $162,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $162,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $162,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $162,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $162,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $162,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $162,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $162,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $162,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $162,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2025-11-18$162,000 Active
-
2025-11-10historical
-
2025-07-11price $165,000
-
2025-03-20$175,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $645 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $891 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- +$246/yr (+$21/mo · 38.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,585
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,075
- − Property taxes
- −$645
- − Insurance
- −$810
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,807
- − Management
- −$1,807
- − Depreciation
- −$4,713
- Taxable income
- $3,730
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$895
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,298/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Montrose County School District Re-1J
- NCES district ID
- 0805790
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,650
- Composite
- 24.9/100
- National rank
- #7577
- State rank
- #55 of 86 in CO
Livability — Montrose
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #109
- US rank
- #9310
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Montrose, CO
- County
- Montrose County · 24,228 people
- City population
- 24,228
- Metro
- Montrose, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,228
- Household income
- $71,286
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 682.0
Population outlook (Montrose County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,229 people
- By 2030
- 37,791 · -3.7%
- By 2040
- 33,829 · -13.8%
- By 2050
- 29,530 · -24.7%
- By 2075
- 20,559 · -47.6%
- By 2100
- 12,144 · -69.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 13% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montrose
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.6) · D 32.6% · R 65.2% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.8pp toward R · 2008: -29.8pp · 2024: -32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.6 2020: R+36.5 2016: R+42.1 2012: R+36.4 2008: R+29.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -210.94%
- Current HPI
- 373.4909
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Montrose, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
||
Price history
-7.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-18 Listed $162,000 cren
- 2025-11-10 Listing Removed — cren
- 2025-07-11 Price Changed $165,000 cren
- 2025-03-20 Listed $175,000 cren
Property tax history
+63.7%/yrLatest (2025): $645 · +136.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…